Tuesday, April 29, 2014

Trend Resumes as SPX, DJIA Near All-Time Highs...Z Zips...UAL Flys...RCL Cruisin'...Financials Bounce...


After-hours Alert:  TWTR -11.24%, ESRX -5.56%, PNRA -4.40% and EBAY -4.33% down on earning reactions.


Seven of nine sectors moved higher on Tuesday…XLF, XLB and XLK were the strongest sectors…XLP was the weakest sector.  Defensive sectors XLP, XLU pause with bearish harami.

Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 1.49 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.12 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – strengthened, mixed
Friday - weakened, decliners led
Thursday – strengthened, decliners led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led


SPY up .88 at 187.75 on 84 million shares, below average volume
VIX down. 26 at 13.71…
TNX up .18 at 26.95…
TLT down .15 at 110.64...
XLF up .21 at 21.93 on 27.7 million shares, below average volume

AAPL down 1.76 at 592.33 on 12 million shares
FB up 2.01 at 58.15…on 75.4 million share


Technical Commentary:
QQQ + 0.80%, DIA + 0.51%, SPY + 0.47%, IWM + 0.25%.

SPY and DIA had a bull flag bounce on Tuesday and both are less than one dollar away from their all-time high.  AAPL pauses as YHOO earnings flag, WYNN, TRIP, TSLA, FB, EXPE and GILD bounce.

MU Bull Flag...


                    (click image to enlarge)


CHRW +3.59%, FISV +3.08%, MAR +1.20% up in after-hours trading on positive earning reactions.

TWTR -11.24%, ESRX -5.56%, PNRA -4.40% and EBAY -4.33% down in after-hours trading on negative earning reactions.

There are several hundred more earning announcements this week.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your protective stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term up trend Chart Targets:
SPY = 187.17, 189.70…
QQQ = 86.90, 87.88…
IWM = 113.84, 115.25…

Support Levels
SPY = 183.37, 181.38
QQQ = 85.09, 84.16, 83.15, 82.03
IWM = 110.12, 108.91, 106.99


Earnings This Week:
Monday: BWLD, GLW, SOHU
Tuesday:  DDD, ADM, BMY, CHRW, CHKP, COH, CNX, EBAY, ESRX, FISV, MAR, MRK, MGM, NOK, PCAR, PNRA, STX, SWI, SAVE, S, GT, TWTR, X, VLO, VRSK
Wednesday: GRMN, JDSU, MET, TSO, TWX, WDC, YELP
Thursday:  AKAM, ANR, CTRX, CLX, DVA, EXPE, XOM, ESI, K, KRFT, LNKD, MDC, MA, TMUS, TPX, VRTX, VIAB, WYNN
Friday:  LNG

Q1 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – CNX, MGM, MRK, NOK, S, BWLD, AAPL, AET, ALXN, ANGI, BA, BHI, BIDU, BTU, BX, C,COG, CTXS,  DAL, DAVE, DECK, DHI, DO, DV, ETFC, FCX, GE, GILD, GME, HOG, HAL, HAS, HOG, IBKR, INTC, JNJ, KO, LPNT, LRCX, MS, NXPI, POT, RF, SCHW, SNDK, SPWR, STI, SWK, SWKS, TKR, TRV, UNP, URI, WFC, XRX, YHOO

Negative Reactions – ADM, BMY, CHKP, COH, DDD, GT, PCAR, SAVE, SOHU, ACI, AKS, ALTR, AMGN, AMZN, ATI, BAC, BBRY, BIIB, BRCM, CELG, CLF, CREE, F, FAST, FFIV, GOOG, IBM, JCI, JPM, KLAC, KMB, LLTC, LLY, LVS, LXK, MMM, MU, MXIM, NSC, NUE, P, PG, QCOM, SIRI, STLD, STT, T, UA, UNH, UPS, V, VMW, VZ, XLNX, YNDX, ZIOIN, ZNGA,  

Reversal in progress – ATI, IBM, LLTC, STLD, ZION

Reversal of Initial Reaction – AKS, BAC, MU, PG, ANGI, BIDU, NFLX, RF, INTC


The SPY Market Forecast green line is flat at 71.

____________________

Setups
H Breakout: ATI, CELG, CMCSA, COST, DTV, GILD, MSFT,
Diagonal Breakout: GME, SPY, LVS, TBT, MNST, NTAP, ROST,
Bull Flag: SWKS, TLT, NTES,
One Day: XLP, XLU
Potential Bullish Divergence: TSL, BAC, BX, DDD, QIHU, SCTY, SINA, SPLK, SSYS,
Gap Up: CHRW, FISV, MAR,
Gap Down: EBAY, ESRX, PNRA, TWTR,
Bear Flag: 
At Support: SCTY, WDC,   
C- Pattern:   

Moves
New Highs: HOG,  
Gap Up: CNX,
Gap Down: DDD, GOGO, COH, CHKP, ADM, GT,
H Breakout: UNG,      
Diagonal Breakout
Breakout Test:
Bull Flag Bounce:   
Bounce: AAL, C, CTRP, FAS, KKD, MS, MTW, NKE, PANW, RCL, SPY, TPX, Z, ZION, ANGI, ANR, CIEN, CRM, CSIQ, ESI, LVS, NTES, RAX, SFUN, SINA, SOHU, SWI, UBNT, YNDX, AMZN, BIDU, FFIV, INTC, MU, NFLX, PCLN, TSLA, TXN, YHOO,
MACD Divergence Bounce: JDSU, JNPR, UAL, X, BAC, LNKD, P, QIHU, SPLK, TWTR, YELP, ADBE, AKAM, EBAY, ESRX, FB, GRMN, STX, TRIP, WYNN,   
Bear Flag:
Support Break: SSYS 

______________________


72 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday and two were unchanged.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: REGN, YHOO, WYNN, VRTX, TRIP, TSLA, ALXN, FB, EQIX, EXPE, GILD, FFIV, BIDU

Lagging NDX stocks included: CHKP, PCAR, CHTR, ISRG, WFM

Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday included: Z, UAL, CTRP, RCL, FAS, X, MTW YNDX, YELP, LVS, ANR, SPLK, P, TWTR, LNKD, QIHU, CRM, UBNT, SOHU

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: DDD, SSYS


Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 24
MAR, KRFT, INTC, CSCO, CHRW, SPLS, NVDA, COST, EXPD, SIAL, MDLZ, MU, SNDK, CMCSA, ORLY, GILD, CHTR, MYL, AAPL, CTXS, SRCL,VOD, DTV, MSFT

Moving Above 30 DMA = 8
ADP, ALXN, CELG, FISV, SYMC, YHOO, EQIX, NXPI

Moving Below 30 DMA = 1
DLTR

Staying Below 30 DMA
BIDU, LINTA, FOXA, AVGO, BRCM, CHKP, FAST, GRMN, MXIM, PCAR, TXN, ADI, WDC, ILMN, FFIV, QCOM, VIP, EXPE, STX, FB, REGN, SBAC, TSLA, ISRG, AMAT, KLAC, LLTC, MAT, NTAP, XLNX,BBBY, ROST, DISH, ALTR, AMGN, ATVI, CTSH, HSIC, PAYX, VIAB, DISCA, SBUX,TSCO, INTU, AKAM, EBAY, ESRX, WFM, LMCA, TRIP, ADBE, AMZN, BIIB, GMCR, CERN, PCLN, WYNN, LBTYA, MNST, NFLX, CA, VRSK, BRTX, SIRI, CTRX, GOOG

Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral/Up

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