Tuesday, April 15, 2014

Stocks Rally into the Close After Strong Earnings from KO, JNJ, SCHW...After-hours YHOO, INTC Higher on Earnings...

All nine sectors moved higher on Tuesday…XLU, XLE and XLV were the strongest sectors…XLY was the weakest sector.    

Breadth weakened as advancers led decliners 1.56 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.08 to 1 on the NASDAQ…where decliners led advancers.

Tuesday – weakened, mixed
Monday – strengthened, advancers led
Friday – strengthened, decliners led
Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY up 1.26 at 184.20 on 156.9 million shares, above average volume
VIX down .50 at 15.61…
TNX down .11 at 26.28…
TLT up .69 at 111.13...
XLF up .20 at 21.65 on 84.3 million shares, above average volume

AAPL down 3.72 at 517.96 on 9.5 million shares
FB up .20 at 59.09…on 108.4 million shares, above average volume


Technical Commentary: 
SPY + 0.69%, DIA + 0.56%, IWM + 0.39%, QQQ + 0.33%.

Stocks started higher and moved lower after reports of Russian troops near the Ukrainian border and then rallied to a higher close during the last three hours of trading.

Leading the SPX was TRIP +3.53, +4.43%, KO, TSO, SEE, TDC and SCWHSPX weakest stocks PETM, WYNN, FSLR, BBY, NTRS and NEM.

KO +1.45, +3.74%, JNJ +2.06, +2.12% which led all Dow stocks and SCHW +0.81, +3.20% moved higher after positive earnings before the open on Tuesday.   SCHW led financial stocks higher.  BAC +0.39, +2.44% reports tomorrow before the open.

YHOO +2.34, +6.84% and INTC, +0.40, 1.49%, in after-hours trading on positive earnings reactions Tuesday after the close.

The NDX +13.22 was led in NDX points by MSFT, GILD, BIIB, AMGN, ESRX and GOOG which combined for 10.5 NDX points.

MACD histogram divergences look good on Monday, make good on Tuesday.

(click image to enlarge)

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your protective stops.  Continue to follow your rules.

Short-term up trend Chart Targets:
SPY = 183.59, 184.96…
QQQ = 84.95, 86.46…
IWM = 112.08…

Support Levels
SPY = 181.38, 180.01, 177.80
QQQ = 84.16, 83.15, 82.03, 80.23
IWM = 110.12, 108.91, 106.99


Earnings This Week:
Monday: C
Tuesday: KO, INTC, JNJ, LLTC, SCHW, YHOO
Wednesday: AXP, BAC, GOOG, IBM, KSU, SNDK, STLD, URI
Thursday: BHI, DD, GE, GS, MAT, MS, BTU, SCSS, SLB, BX, UNP, UNH

Q1 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – KO, JNJ, C, GME, WFC,

Negative Reactions – BBRY, FAST, JPM, MU

Reversal in progress –


Reversal of Initial Reaction –


The SPY Market Forecast (formed a cluster on Friday) green line is pointed up at 24.
____________________

Setups
H Breakout: C, KKD, SCHW, SCSS, ANGI, SPLK, INTC,  
Diagonal Breakout: FAS, GME, JNPR, MS, MTW, NKE, PANW, SWKS, BAC, LNKD, NTES, QIHU, SSYS, TWTR, V, WLT, ADBE, AKAM, BIDU, CTSH, ESRX, FFIV, MSFT, MU, NTAP, QCOM, SNDK, WDC, YHOO,
Bull Flag:   
One Day:  
Potential Bullish Divergence: BBRY, P, RAX, SINA,
Gap Up
Gap Down:     
Bear Flag: 
At Support: CTRP, RCL, YOKU, EBAY,
C- Pattern:   

Moves
New Highs:    
Gap Up:    
Gap Down: GLD,   
H Breakout:   
Diagonal Breakout: SCHW, SPLK,     
Breakout Test:
Bull Flag Bounce:  
Bounce: JDSU, SPY, UAL, DDD, SOHU, SPWR, SWI, VRSN, TXN,
MACD Divergence Bounce: CREE, ETFC, Z, ZION, CRM, TSL, TWTR, UBNT, YELP, ADSK, AKAM, AMZN, PCLN, TRIP,
Bear Flag
Support Break: FSLR, LVS, RAX, SCTY, SFUN, WYNN,   
______________________


60 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: TRIP, ALXN, LINTA, YHOO, NXPI, ADSK, BIIB, CERN, GILD  

Lagging NDX stocks included: WYNN, VIP, TSLA, ISRG, NFLX

Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday included: Z, PANW, SCHW, FAS, ETFC, UAL, TWTR, SPLK,UBNT, TSL, WLT, QIHU, P, LNKD

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: CTRP, FSLR, GOGO, CSIQ


Stocks to Watch on Wednesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 14
MAR, GRMN, KRFT, FAST, INTC, QCOM, STX, WDC, CSCO, CHRW, SPLS,NVDA, SYMC, ADI

Moving Above 30 DMA = 2
LINTA, MSFT

Moving Below 30 DMA = 1
MDLZ

Staying Below 30 DMA
ISRG, AMAT, BRCM, CHKP, DTV, EXPD, KLAC, LLTC, MAT, MXIM, NTAP, PCAR, SIAL, SNDK, XLNX, TXN, FOXA,NXPI, BBBY, ROST, DISH, AAPL, ALTR, AMGN, ATVI, AVGO, CMCSA, CTSH, FISV, HSIC, PAYX, VIAB, DISCA, ADP, EXPE, MU, SBUX, CHTR, TSCO, CTXS, INTU, AKAM,EBAY, ESRX,FFIV, MYL, WFM, LMCA, TSLA, TRIP, ADBE, AMZN, BIIB, DLTR, BMCR, ALXN, CERN, YHOO, FB, REGN, PCLN, WYNN, LBTYA, SBAC, COST, BIDU, MNST, ORLY, SRCL, EQIX, NFLX, ILMN, CA, VRSK, ADSK, VOD, CELG, GILD, VRTX, SIRI, CTRX, VIP, GOOG

Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral/Up

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