Friday, May 24, 2013

Pre-Market Stock Futures Remain Down on Friday...


BMO – ES – 9.75 and NQ – 15.75…futures point to a lower open in pre- market
SPY is down .87…

XLF is 
Euro is unchanged…
TLT is …

Follow your rules for entry and exit…adjust stops to protect profits at this time according to your rules...

Quoting Up: P, FSLR, 

Quoting Down:  GOOG, PCLN, LNKD, AMZN, BIDU, NFLX, SHLD,

Thursday, May 23, 2013

HPQ Soars, TSLA, DLTR Up, IWM, SPY and More Form Bull Flag...SHLD, CRM Crushed After-hours...


Two of nine sectors moved higher on Thursday…XLB, XLE, and XLE were the strongest sectors…XLU was the weakest sector.

Breadth strengthened slightly decliners led advancers…1.39 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.09 to 1 on the NASDAQ…where advancers led decliners…

Thursday – strengthened, mixed
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – weakened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, advancers led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led

SPY down .48 at 165.45volume 210.8 million shares
VIX up .25 at 14.07
TNX down .03 at 20.23
TLT up .55 at 116.64...
XLF down .12 at 19.71volume 59.8 million shares                 

AAPL up .79 at 442.14volume 12.6 million shares
FB down .10 at 25.06volume 37.6 million shares


Technical Commentary:
IWM + 0.12%, QQQ – 0.23%, SPY – 0.29% and DIA – 0.05%.

Futures continued to drop Wednesday night and stocks opened lower on Thursday found support at overnight lows and rallied with many individual stocks like WDC, STX and TSLA with gains on Thursday.

The SPY, IWM, QQQ and DIA all formed bull flag patterns on Thursday.  Sectors XLB, XLE, XLF, XLI, XLK, XLP, XLV and XLY formed bull flag patterns.  XLU is a MACD bullish divergence setup.

DLTR +1.82 gained following earnings before the open on Thursday.

HPQ +3.63, +17.10% gapped up and soared on Thursday following earnings after the close on Wednesday.

P +1.40, +8.16% in after-hours trading following earnings after the close on Thursday.

SHLD -7.17, -12.33% and CRM -2.70, -5.91% crushed in after-hours trading following earnings after the close on Thursday.


Many stocks and ETFs are in bull flag setups positioning for possible reentry.  See Bull Flag Setups below.

AAPL +78 cents and GOOG gained while PCLN, AMZN, BIDU and NFLX moved lower in in bull flag patterns.

GILD formed a potential low day in a bull flag pattern.  TSLA +5.49 formed a bullish engulfing pattern on day xix of a bull flag setup.

The Euro moved up 78 pips to 1.2930TNX interest rates near unchanged as TLT bonds +55 cents formed a hammer candle.


Trade what you see on the chart of your position.  The intermediate term trend is up with short-term trend neutral.  Traders should lock in profits when targets are reachedAs always look for re-entry according to your rules.  Thursday was a re-entry day on stocks like TSLA and many others are setup for potential entry on Friday.


Chart Signals Strategy Guidelines
Technical setups for short-term option trades be in and out by earnings release.
Over earnings release use earnings option strategies such as straddles, strangles, OTM calls or puts.
After earnings look for bullish setups in positive reaction stocks and bearish setups in negative reaction stocks.



EPS Reaction Summary
EPS Gainers –  HPQ, P, NTAP, AZO, MDT, CSCO, A, MCP, WCRX, NVDA, PCLN, GMCR, GRPN, TSLA, EA, DVA, WFM, CTSH, DTV, LBTYA, AIG, ADP, CBOE, REGN, FB, BZH, EXPD, GM, MDC, STX, V, YELP, ICE, JRCC, VIAB, CMCSA, DDD, AVP, HLF, CERN, CVX, DHI, TWC, ANGI, AKAM, ALXN, ALTR, BIIB, COG, CLF, CROX, DOW, ESI, FFIV, HOG, LRCX, LVS, MO, PHM, RCL, SIAL, XLNX, BA, BRCM, GLW, HES, DAL, COH, DD, NFLX, ILMN, VECO, LCC, RF, ZION, TRV, LMT, CAT, CHKP, HAL, HAS, CMG, GOOG, KMB, STI, MSFT, BTU, PEP, UNP, VZ, MAT, AXP, JNJ, INTC, KO, C, APOL

EPS Losers – DISH, XRAY, ATVI, RAX, MNST, Z, LNKD, TPX, ZAGG, CTRX, GRMN, MRK, SWI, AMZN, BIDU, CRUS, DECK, EXPE, HSY, KLAC, MXIM, QCOM, PTEN, ABC, MMM, AMGN, T, JNPR, PNRA, VMW, GE, IBM, ISRG, MCD, MS, PM, UNH, SNDK, EBAY, BAC, USB, GS, LLTC


Key Earnings this week:
CRM, GME, HPQ, P, NTAP, ROST, SHLD,


The Market Forecast Green Line is in the Upper Zone.

____________________

Setups
H Breakout:  BBBY, FAST, SIRI, CNX,

Diagonal Breakout:  AMGN, CTSH, DELL, GLD,

Bull Flag: AKAM, AMAT, BIDU, BRCM, CELG, CMCSA, DTV, EBAY, FFIV, GOOG, GRMN, MSFT, NVDA, ORCL, PCLN, QCOM, SNDK, ATI, BAC, CIEN, CRM, DDD, FAS, FIVE, FSLR, GLW, GMCR, JNPR, NFLX, NTES, RCL, SINA, STI, YELP, ZION,

Potential Bullish Divergence: XLU, AMGN

Gap Up: P

Gap Down:  CRM, SHLD

Bear Flag:  

At Support:  ADSK, FB, ALK, ANGI, LNKD, Z,

Moves
New Highs:  ESRX, MU, MYL, STX, WDC, P,

Gap Up:  HPQ

Gap Down:   SBUX, WYNN, YHOO, LVS,   

H&D Breakout:   

Bounce: TSLA, UAL,   

MACD Divergence Bounce:

Bear Flag:  

Support Break:  ADBE,  

______________________


42 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday…one was unchanged…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: EXPD, MU, DLTR, WDC, GOLD, STX, BBBY, ISRG, ATVI, NVDA, FAST, AMGN, WFM, EXPE

Lagging NDX stocks included:  REGN, SYMC, WYNN, QCOM, YHOO, AVGO, MDLZ, CTSH, CHKP, EQIX, MSFT

Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday included: TSLA, UAL, HLF, SSYS

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  CRUS, GMCR, CLF, AKS, MCP, URE, CSTR, FCX, RVBD, DECK, CHL, ESI


Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 75
ADP, GILD, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, YHOO, SBAC, MSFT, SRC, REGN, LIFE, ROST, WYNN, INTC, DTV, NWSA, SBUX, VRTX, WFM, COST, WDC, AKAM, AMAT, GOOG, NVDA, SIAL, SIRI, STX, BMC, BRCM, CA, ALXN, ESRX, ORLY, PCAR, XLNX, CERN, AAPL, FOSL, KLAC, LINTA, CHKP, ORCL, SHLD, VIAB, VMED, LBTYA, CELG, EXPD, GRMN, LLTC, MYL, PCLN, ADI, MU, NTAP, SPLS, ALTR, BIDU, HSIC, FISV, SNDK, AVGO, FFIV, ATVI, CSCO, FAST,  MNST, DISCA, BBBY, CHRW, MDLZ, DLTR, EBAY, GOLD

Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
DLTR, EBAY, GOLD

Moving Below 30 DMA = 3
QCOM, TXN, LBTYA

Staying Below 30 DMA
AMZN, CMCSA, CTXS, MCHP, VOD, XRAY, EQIX, VRSK, STRZA, PRGO, ADSK, ADBE, AMGN, EXPE, SYMC, MXIM, FB, ISRG, CTRX, NUAN, CTSH, DELL, INTU

Five Month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

Stock Futures In Pre-Market Weakens Sharply...After Asian Markets Fall And Weak Data Release...


BMO – ES – 16.00 and NQ – 23.50…futures point to a lower open in pre- market
SPY is down 1.24…

XLF is down 19 cents…
Euro is up 49 pips…
TLT is up .59…

Follow your rules for entry and exit…adjust stops to protect profits at this time according to your rules...

Quoting Up: DLTR, GOLD, FAZ, URE

Quoting Down:  GILD, ATVI, AKAM, MU, NVDA, BIDU, MNST, YHOO, LNKD, NFLX, CMG, GS, SOHU, FAS, TSLA, V, GMCR


Wednesday, May 22, 2013

Stocks Soar on Bernanke Comments...Then Drop After FOMC Minutes...HPQ Gaps Up in After-hours...


All nine sectors moved lower on Wednesday…XLU, XLB, and XLE were the strongest sectors…XLV was the weakest sector.

Breadth weakened …decliners led advancers…3.62 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.86 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – weakened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, advancers led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – weakened, decliners led


SPY down 1.24 at 165.93volume 243.8 million shares
VIX up .45 at 13.82
TNX up .82 at 20.26
TLT down 1.75 at 116.09...
XLF down .21 at 19.83volume 95.9 million shares                 

AAPL up 1.69 at 441.35volume 15.8 million shares
FB down .50 at 25.16volume 45.2 million shares


Technical Commentary:
IWM – 1.46%, QQQ – 0.88%, SPY – 0.74% and DIA – 0.44%.

Bernanke’s testimony before Congress along with the release on FOMC minutes set of off a wide range of volatile trading on Wednesday.  The SPY climbed to a new high of 169.07 during the first hour of trading and just as rapidly pulled back during the second hour of the morning.  During the afternoon the SPY gave up all gains and finished negative after FOMC minutes indicated some variant views on the Fed’s asset purchasing strategy.

The SPY, IWM, QQQ and DIA all formed bearish engulfing patterns on Wednesday.  Sectors XLB, XLE, XLF, XLI and XLK also formed bearish engulfing patterns.

Short-term trend shifts to neutral as today’s close is just below last Wednesday’s close six trading days ago.

NTAP +65 cents gained following earnings after the close on Tuesday.

HPQ +2.96 gained following earnings after the close on Wednesday.  Look for a potential gap up on Thursday morning.

Many stocks are still in bull flag setups positioning for possible reentry.  See Bull Flag Setups below.

AAPL +1.69 gained while GOOG, PCLN, AMZN, BIDU and NFLX had big selloffs.

GILD broke out of resistance only to give back the gains by the close.  TSLA -35 cents is in day five of a bull flag setup.

The Euro moved down 53 pips to 1.2852TNX interest rates jumped as TLT bonds -1.75 broke short-term support.

Traders that had been moving stops likely had many positions stop out on Wednesday.  Continue to move stops up to protect profits on stocks forming bearish candles.

Trade what you see on the chart of your position.  The intermediate term trend is up with short-term trend turning neutral.  Traders should lock in profits when targets are reachedAs always look for re-entry according to your rules.


Chart Signals Strategy Guidelines
Technical setups for short-term option trades be in and out by earnings release.
Over earnings release use earnings option strategies such as straddles, strangles, OTM calls or puts.
After earnings look for bullish setups in positive reaction stocks and bearish setups in negative reaction stocks.


EPS Reaction Summary
EPS Gainers –  NTAP, AZO, MDT, CSCO, A, MCP, WCRX, NVDA, PCLN, GMCR, GRPN, TSLA, EA, DVA, WFM, CTSH, DTV, LBTYA, AIG, ADP, CBOE, REGN, FB, BZH, EXPD, GM, MDC, STX, V, YELP, ICE, JRCC, VIAB, CMCSA, DDD, AVP, HLF, CERN, CVX, DHI, TWC, ANGI, AKAM, ALXN, ALTR, BIIB, COG, CLF, CROX, DOW, ESI, FFIV, HOG, LRCX, LVS, MO, PHM, RCL, SIAL, XLNX, BA, BRCM, GLW, HES, DAL, COH, DD, NFLX, ILMN, VECO, LCC, RF, ZION, TRV, LMT, CAT, CHKP, HAL, HAS, CMG, GOOG, KMB, STI, MSFT, BTU, PEP, UNP, VZ, MAT, AXP, JNJ, INTC, KO, C, APOL

EPS Losers – DISH, XRAY, ATVI, RAX, MNST, Z, LNKD, TPX, ZAGG, CTRX, GRMN, MRK, SWI, AMZN, BIDU, CRUS, DECK, EXPE, HSY, KLAC, MXIM, QCOM, PTEN, ABC, MMM, AMGN, T, JNPR, PNRA, VMW, GE, IBM, ISRG, MCD, MS, PM, UNH, SNDK, EBAY, BAC, USB, GS, LLTC

Key Earnings this week:
CRM, GME, HPQ, P, NTAP, ROST, SHLD,


The Market Forecast Green Line is in the Upper Zone.

____________________

Setups
H Breakout:  FAST, MNST, NTAP,

Diagonal Breakout: AMGN, BBBY, CTSH, Z,

Bull Flag:   AKAM, AMAT, BIDU, BRCM, CELG, CMCSA, CSCO, DTV, EBAY, GOOG, GRMN, INTC, MSFT, MU, ORCL, QCOM, SNDK, ANGI, ATI, BAC, CIEN, CRM, FIVE, GMCR, NTES, STI, TSLA, UAL,

Potential Bullish Divergence:

Gap Up: HPQ

Gap Down: 

Bear Flag:  

At Support:  ADBE, FB, SYMC, ALK, UAL, YELP,

Moves
New Highs:  ESRX, MYL, SIRI, STX, XLNX, CREE, GRPN,

Gap Up:  

Gap Down: PCLN, SWI,    

H&D Breakout:  AMZN, NFLX, RCL, SSYS,

Bounce:  

MACD Divergence Bounce: GLD, NUAN

Bear Flag:  

Support Break:   TPX

______________________


19 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: SPLS, MDLZ, ESRX, NTAP, STX, INTU, MYL REGN, CTSH

Lagging NDX stocks included:  BIDU, CTRX, NVDA, FOSL, PCLN, ALTR, ISRG, CTSX, VOD, GRMN, CSCO, ORCL, MU, SBAC

Leading stocks > +2% on Wednesday included: FAZ, TBT

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  LDK, TSL, SWI, TPX, ESI, SSYS, HLF, YELP, MCP, URE, ATI, GMCR, SOHU, JDSU


Stocks to Watch on Thursday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 74
ADP, GILD, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, YHOO, SBAC, MSFT, SRC, REGN, LIFE, ROST, WYNN, INTC, DTV, NWSA, SBUX, VRTX, WFM, COST, WDC, AKAM, AMAT, GOOG, NVDA, SIAL, SIRI, STX, TXN, BMC, BRCM, CA, ALXN, ESRX, ORLY, PCAR, XLNX, CERN, AAPL, FOSL, KLAC, LINTA, CHKP, ORCL, SHLD, VIAB, VMED, LBTYA, CELG, EXPD, GRMN, LLTC, MYL, PCLN, ADI, MU, NTAP, SPLS, ALTR, BIDU, HSIC, FISV, SNDK, AVGO, FFIV, AMZN, ATVI, CSCO, FAST, QCOM, MNST, DISCA, BBBY, CHRW

Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
MDLZ

Moving Below 30 DMA = 11
AMZN, CMCSA, CTXS, DLTR, EBAY, MCHP, VOD, XRAY, EQIX, VRSK, STRZA

Staying Below 30 DMA
PRGO, ADSK, ADBE, AMGN, EXPE, SYMC, MXIM, FB, GOLD, ISRG, CTRX, NUAN, CTSH, DELL INTU

Five Month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

Pre-Market Stock Futures Trading Up...NTAP Up 5.79%...


BMO – ES + 4.25 and NQ + 9.25…futures point to a higher open in pre- market
SPY is up 26 cents…

XLF is up 7 cent…
Euro is up 25 pips…
TLT is down .09…

Follow your rules for entry and exit…adjust stops to protect profits at this time according to your rules...

Quoting Up: NTAP, APPL, GOLD, BIIB, GILD, MNST, EBAY, GOOG, SBUX, CREE, V, FAS, CRM, FCX, ANR, CRUS, SPY

Quoting Down:  SPLS, VOD, VMED, TXN, CHL, FAZ, BBRY

Tuesday, May 21, 2013

SPY New High Close, JPM, WFC, GS, GILD Rise as PCLN, GOOG, BIDU and AAPL Pause


Six of nine sectors moved higher on Tuesday…XLV, XLY, and XLF were the strongest sectors…XLK was the weakest sector.

Breadth weakened slightly…advancers led decliners…1.18 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.06 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Tuesday – weakened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, advancers led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday – weakened, advancers led


SPY up .24 at 167.17volume 95.7 million shares
VIX up .35 at 13.37
TNX down .21 at 19.44
TLT up .92 at 117.84...
XLF up .05 at 20.04volume 36.2 million shares                 

AAPL down 3.27 at 439.66volume 16.2 million shares
FB down .10 at 25.66volume 26.2 million shares


Technical Commentary:
IWM + 0.02%, QQQ + 0.11%, SPY + 0.14% and DIA + 0.31%.

The SPY has made its 41st new high close of 2013 on Tuesday.  on 40 of the 95 trading days in 2013.  Financial stocks were led by JPM, WFC and GS.  Solar stocks were sizzling at the open and led the market early before cooling off.  LDK, TSL, SOL, YGE and FSLR still had big gains on Tuesday.

Bernanke will testify before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress shortly after the open at 10 a.m. on Wednesday.

NTAP +1.33 gained in after-hours trading following earnings after the close.

Many stocks are in bull flag setups positioning for possible reentry.  See Bull Flag Setups below.

AAPL -3.27 paused on Tuesday after rising on Monday in a bull flag bounce.

NUAN bounced off support in a bullish divergence setup. 

GILD gained closing 12 cents above its May 3 high in a horizontal resistance breakout setup.  JCP rallied to horizontal resistance.  TSLA is in day four of a bull flag setup.

The Euro moved up 22 pips to 1.2905TNX interest rates drifted lower and TLT bonds rallied 91 cents at support.

Continue to move stops up to protect profits as traders stay with the trend.

Trade what you see on the chart of your position.  The intermediate term trend is up with a horizontal resistance breakout setup.  Traders should lock in profits when targets are reached.  As always look for re-entry according to your rules.


Chart Signals Strategy Guidelines
Technical setups for short-term option trades be in and out by earnings release.
Over earnings release use earnings option strategies such as straddles, strangles, OTM calls or puts.
After earnings look for bullish setups in positive reaction stocks and bearish setups in negative reaction stocks.


EPS Reaction Summary
EPS Gainers –  AZO, MDT, CSCO, A, MCP, WCRX, NVDA, PCLN, GMCR, GRPN, TSLA, EA, DVA, WFM, CTSH, DTV, LBTYA, AIG, ADP, CBOE, REGN, FB, BZH, EXPD, GM, MDC, STX, V, YELP, ICE, JRCC, VIAB, CMCSA, DDD, AVP, HLF, CERN, CVX, DHI, TWC, ANGI, AKAM, ALXN, ALTR, BIIB, COG, CLF, CROX, DOW, ESI, FFIV, HOG, LRCX, LVS, MO, PHM, RCL, SIAL, XLNX, BA, BRCM, GLW, HES, DAL, COH, DD, NFLX, ILMN, VECO, LCC, RF, ZION, TRV, LMT, CAT, CHKP, HAL, HAS, CMG, GOOG, KMB, STI, MSFT, BTU, PEP, UNP, VZ, MAT, AXP, JNJ, INTC, KO, C, APOL

EPS Losers – DISH, XRAY, ATVI, RAX, MNST, Z, LNKD, TPX, ZAGG, CTRX, GRMN, MRK, SWI, AMZN, BIDU, CRUS, DECK, EXPE, HSY, KLAC, MXIM, QCOM, PTEN, ABC, MMM, AMGN, T, JNPR, PNRA, VMW, GE, IBM, ISRG, MCD, MS, PM, UNH, SNDK, EBAY, BAC, USB, GS, LLTC


Key Earnings this week:
CRM, GME, P, NTAP, ROST, SHLD,


The Market Forecast Green Line is in the Upper Zone.

____________________

Setups
H Breakout:  ATVI, FAST, GILD, INTC, ROST, SIRI, STX, CMG, CNX, DDD, GRPN, JCP, LVS, SSYS, UAL, YELP,

Diagonal Breakout:  BBBY, CTSH, DELL, ANR, GLD, TLT,

Bull Flag:   AKAM, AMAT, BIDU, CELG, CMCSA, CSCO, DTV, EBAY, ESRX, GOOG, GRMN, MNST, MU, MYL, NTAP, QCOM, SNDK, TXN, ALK, ANGI, C, CIEN, CREE, CRM, FIVE, JNPR, NFLX, NTES, P, TSLA, UAL,

Potential Bullish Divergence: GLD

Gap Up:

Gap Down: 

Bear Flag:  

At Support:   ADBE, FB, SYMC,

Moves
New Highs:  COST, NVDA, ORCL, SBUX, WDC, WFM, XLNX, CMG, FAS, FSLR, GS, SPLK, SPY,

Gap Up:   

Gap Down: RCL,    

H&D Breakout:  GS, MAT, SHLD,

Bounce:   YHOO

MACD Divergence Bounce: NUAN

Bear Flag:  

Support Break:   

______________________


67 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday…one was unchanged…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: SHLD, NUAN, CHRW, BIIB, VRTX, ALXN, ATVI, WDC, AMGN

Lagging NDX stocks included:  INTU, PCLN, EBAY, NTAP, BIDU, REGN, AKAM, AMAT, AAPL

Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday included: LDK, TSL, VECO, AKS, ESI, DECK, HLF, GRPN

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  CDE, FCX, UAL, TSLA, RCL


Stocks to Watch on Wednesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 79
ADP, GILD, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, YHOO, SBAC, MSFT, SRCL ,REGN, VOD, LIFE, ROST, WYNN, DLTR, INTC, DTV, NWSA, SBUX, VRTX, WFM, COST, WDC, AKAM, AMAT, GOOG, NVDA, SIAL, SIRI, STX, TXN, BMC, BRCM, CA, ALXN, ESRX, ORLY, PCAR, XLNX, CERN, AAPL, FOSL, KLAC, LINTA, MCHP, XRAY, CHKP, ORCL, SHLD, VIAB, EQIX, VMED, LBTYA, CELG, EXPD, GRMN, LLTC, MYL, PCLN, ADI, MU, NTAP, SPLS, ALTR, BIDU, HSIC, FISV, SNDK, AVGO, EBAY, FFIV, AMZN, ATVI, CSCO, FAST, QCOM, MNST, DISCA, CTXS

Moving Above 30 DMA = 5
BBBY, CHRW, CMCSA, VRSK, STRZA

Moving Below 30 DMA = 1
PRGO

Staying Below 30 DMA
MDLZ, ADSK, ADBE, AMGN, EXPE, SYMC, STRZA, MXIM, FB, GOLD, ISRG, CTRX, NUAN, CTSH, DELL, INTU

Five Month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up