Monday, April 28, 2014

Trading Session Today...Roller Coaster...Stocks Mostly Ended Up For Day...

Six of nine sectors moved higher on Monday…XLP, XLK and XLV were the strongest sectors…XLF was the weakest sector.   

Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 1.09 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.67 to 1 on the NASDAQ where decliners led advancers.

Monday – strengthened, mixed
Friday - weakened, decliners led
Thursday – strengthened, decliners led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY up .59 at 186.88 on 134.1 million shares
VIX down. 09 at 13.97…
TNX up .11 at 26.77…
TLT down .54 at 110.79...
XLF down .13 at 21.72 on 43.8 million shares

AAPL up 22.15 at 594.09 on 23.8 million shares, above average volume
FB down 1.57 at 56.14…on 107.4 million share, above average volume


Technical Commentary:
DIA + 0.50%, SPY + 0.31%, QQQ + 0.32%, IWM – 0.58%.

DIA, SPY and QQQ each formed an outside day hammer type candle pulling back from a higher high to a higher low in a bull flag pattern.  Outside days are often short-term trend reversal patternsIWM formed a higher low pulling back from a similar high, a potential W bottom pattern.


GLW rose while SOHU fell after releasing earnings before the open.  After the close BWLD +7.01, +5.26% gained on a positive earnings reaction.

There are several hundred more earning announcements this week.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your protective stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term up trend Chart Targets:
SPY = 187.17, 189.70…
QQQ = 86.90, 87.88…
IWM = 113.84, 115.25…

Support Levels
SPY = 183.37, 181.38
QQQ = 85.09, 84.16, 83.15, 82.03
IWM = 110.12, 108.91, 106.99


Earnings This Week:
Monday: BWLD, GLW, SOHU
Tuesday:  DDD, ADM, BMY, CHRW, CHKP, COH, CNX, EBAY, ESRX, FISV, MAR, MRK, MGM, NOK, PCAR, PNRA, STX, SWI, SAVE, S, GT, TWTR, X, VLO, VRSK
Wednesday: GRMN, JDSU, MET, TSO, TWX, WDC, YELP
Thursday:  AKAM, ANR, CTRX, CLX, DVA, EXPE, XOM, ESI, K, KRFT, LNKD, MDC, MA, TMUS, TPX, VRTX, VIAB, WYNN
Friday:  LNG


Q1 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – DV, LPNT, ALXN, AET, BIDU, COG, DECK, DHI, DO, FCX, BTU, POT, SWK, SPWR, TKR, AAPL, CTXS, LRCX, NXPI, AET, ANGI, ETFC, DAVE, SWKS, BA, DAL, GILD, NFLX, HOG, RF, TRV, XRX, HAL, HAS, STI, BHI, BX, C, GE, GME, IBKR, INTC, JNJ, KO, MS, SCHW, SNDK, UNP, URI, WFC, YHOO

Negative Reactions – F, STT, ALTR, AMZN, BRCM, CLF, KLAC, MXIM, SIRI, MMM, LLY, V, VZ, LVS, NUE, P, UA, UPX, YNDX, BIIB, CELG, FFIV, QCOM, UA, XLNX, YNDX, ZNGA, PG, AMGN, CREE, JCI, JNPR, NSC, T, VMW, LXK, KMB, ZION, AKS, ATI, ACI, BAC, BBRY, FAST, GOOG, IBM, JPM, LLTC, MU, STLD, UNH

Reversal in progress – ATI, IBM, LLTC, STLD, ZION

Reversal of Initial Reaction – AKS, BAC, MU, PG, ANGI, NFLX, RF, INTC


The SPY Market Forecast green line is flat at 71.

____________________

Setups
H Breakout: GLW, HOG, SPWR, CMCSA, COST, GILD,
Diagonal Breakout:  
Bull Flag: MU, TXN,  
One Day:  
Potential Bullish Divergence:  
Gap Up: BWLD
Gap Down:
Bear Flag: 
At Support: FSLR, IWM, SCHW, ZION, ESI, QIHU, SCTY, SFUN, TSL, TWTR, ADBE, EBAY, FB,  
C- Pattern:   

Moves
New Highs:  
Gap Up: UNG,  
Gap Down: TLT, BAC, SOHU,  
H Breakout: IBM, BBRY, MSFT,     
Diagonal Breakout:  
Breakout Test:
Bull Flag Bounce:   
Bounce: UPL, V, MNST,  
MACD Divergence Bounce: GME, MFRM, ROST,  
Bear Flag:
Support Break: JDSU, JNPR, X, CRM, LNKD, SPLK, WLT, YOKU, AKAM, ESRX, FFIV, NFLX, PCLN, TRIP, WDC, WYNN,

______________________


47 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Monday.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: CHTR, AAPL, MSFT, SPLS, BRCM

Lagging NDX stocks included: BIDU, ILMN, WYNN, DISH, MYL, FB, MU, FOXA, AVGO, NFLX, AMZN

Leading stocks > +2% on Friday included: GME, BBRY, XONE, UNG


Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: FSLR, X, PANW, CREE, JDSU, ETFC, AAL, KKD, CSIQ, TSL, ANGI, CRM, SOHU, LNKD, BAC, YOKU, QIHU



1 comment:

Scott Avery said...

Your trading room was GREAT Monday night. You have the ablility to standardize things like......determining when an index is switching to sideways. Your 2 step clues/process of checking the 10 day MA and noticing when time first time when either a higher high or higher low fails to appear TAKES A LOT OF THE GUESS WORK out of it. You are able to extract/simplify the process of trading to remove guesswork in each needed area.