Friday, January 23, 2009
Support Holds Again
DJIA - 45.24, -0.56%
SP500 + 4.45, +0.54%
NASDAQ Comp. + 11.80, +0.81%
Russell 2000 + 1.51, +0.34%
Exchange NYSE NASD
Advancing 2,046 1,308
Declining 1,737 1,453
Oil $46.47 +$2.80
Gold $895.80 +$37.00
SOX 208.28 +8.29
VIX 47.27 -0.02
The VIX moved down slightly confirming the modest rise in the SPX on Friday.
Strongest Sectors: XLF +3.33%...XLE +2.91%...XLB +1.52%
Weakest Sectors: XLI -3.01%...XLP -0.97%...XLY -0.30%
Sector Watch
Up Trending:
Sideways: XLE, XLP, XLU, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK
Down Trending: XLF
The combination of weaker earnings in the financial sector and stronger earnings in other companies seems to offset each other and keep the indices holding above support. The weakness in bank stocks seemed to prevent a significant support bounce in the broad indices.
The SOX, +4.15%, was stronger than the broad indices as it formed a bullish engulfing pattern on Friday.
Oil appears to be forming a potential double bottom and potential trend change. See our comment below on USO. Gold had a horizontal breakout Friday suggesting trend continuation.
Index Commentary
The DJIA formed a hammer in the 7,900 to 8,100 support area.
The SPX formed a hammer in the 800 to 830 support area.
The Nasdaq formed a bullish harami in the 1,450 support area.
The RUT formed a white spinning top in the 430 to 450 support area.
Earning releases had a large impact with stock prices this past week beginning with STT on Tuesday and other financial stocks missing estimates and leading the financial sector lower. On the positive side IBM, AAPL and GOOG experienced strong support bounces.
Earnings announcements continue this coming week. We have listed below many of the announcements that we’ll be watching.
Earnings
Friday, Jan 23
GE +0.37 inline +0.37 estimates
HOG +0.34 below +0.57 est.
SLB +1.03 below +1.05 est.
XRX +0.30 below +0.34 est.
Monday, Jan 26:
BMO - BOH, CAT, FCX, HAL, KMB, MCD, DGX,
AMC - AXP, AMGN, CNW, JEC, NFLX, QLGC, STLD, TXN, VMW, ZION
Tuesday, Jan 28:
BMO - AKS, BMY, CHKP, DAL, DD, EMC, ENR, HSY, KCI, LXK, NUE, BTU, STJ, TRV, X
AMC – ALTR, AMLN, BBOX, CHRW, DV, ETFC, GILD, JBHT, MOLX, NSC, STM, SYK, JAVA, WBSN, YHOO
Wednesday, Jan 29
BMO – T, BHI, BDX, BA, COP, GLW, GD, HES, LM, PM, PJC, PX, USG, WLP, WFC
AMC – ARG, ALL, CTXS, KEX, LRCX, MTW, OI, QCOM, SBUX, WDC
Thursday, Jan 30
BMO – MMM, ALK, BUD, AZN, BDK, CELG, CHTT, CL, CNX, CAL, EK, LLY, F, HP, JBLU, LLL, ERIC, OXY, RTN, TROW, UA, LCC
AMC – AMZN, BRCM, BCR, CA, DRIV, JNPR, KLAC, MXIM, MCHP, VAR
Friday, Jan 31
BMO – AME, ACI CVX, XOM, HON, IVZ, KLIC, FSTR, PCAR, PG
Stock Commentary
AET – potential horizontal breakout bull flag support bounce
GME – support bounce in narrow trading range, potential breakout
HP – bullish engulfing
JEC – piercing line
MOS – bullish engulfing
MYGN – Up trend consolidation near horizontal resistance, potential horizontal bull flag, <>
PCLN – bullish engulfing on 50 DMA support
USO – bullish engulfing support bounce at potential double bottom with bullish divergence in the 14/5 stochastic
Stocks to Watch on Monday
Leading Stocks:
Holding Above 30 DMA
JOSB…BCO…ROST…ESI…JW.A…MYGN…AMED…BCR…MON…RIMM…SYNA…BLUD…AME…APH…DLTR…DV…STRA…AYE…K…PCP…AET…CCC…GES…GME…HP…IIVI…NE…RIO…SWN…URBN…POT
Moving Above 30 DMA = 10
ATW…CAM…CHTT…CTSH…DNA…LAYN…MOS…NIHD…NOV…RIG
Moving Below 30 DMA = 8
AGN, ATK, BIIB, GILD, GIS, ICLR, RTN, TEVA
Staying Below 30 DMA
CERN, FLIR, HLF, MTD, QSII, CIR, JEC, KEX, OSIP, PCLN, PCR, PETS, SHW, SPN, TECH, UTX, VAR, BAP, NGS, WCG, ACL, AMZN, BYI, CL, FLS, FWLT, HDB, LNN, OI, ADBE, AMX, CBST, DECK, FLR, MBT, SNA, VMI, WMS, AAPL, AFAM, EPR, FSTR, HAS, LFC, MMM, MTW, NEU, RCI, SOHU, VIP, JCOM, MCRS, NDAQ, ANSS, CHU, EZPW, NILE, PSSI, PSYS, VIVO, WAB, CELG, ENDP, IRIS, ISRG, SPTN, ESRX, PPD, PRGO, SINA, AXYS
Friday’s Action
Moving Up: AEM, GS, GDX, CF, FWLT, AGU, MOS, NDAQ, POT, PCLN, MS, CLF, BRCM, IPI, PNRA, SCHN, X
Moving Down: MA, AFAM, STRA
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral – DJIA, SPX, Nasdaq, RUT
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral
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2 comments:
Dave:
Thanks
Robert
CANI_212
Robert,
You're welcome!
DJ
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