Tuesday, January 27, 2009

Stocks Rise, Gold and Oil Fall

DJIA + 58.70, +0.72% SP500 + 9.14, +1.09% NASDAQ Comp. + 15.44, +1.04% Russell 2000 + 5.52, +1.23% Exchange NYSE NASD Advancing 2,579 1,729 Declining 1,169 1,047 Oil $41.58 -$4.15 Gold $899.50 -$9.30 SOX 217.28 +7.39 VIX 42.25 -3.44 The VIX moved down confirming the rise in the SPX on Tuesday. Strongest Sectors: XLF +3.51%...XLV +2.08%...XLI +1.82% Weakest Sectors: XLY -0.30%...XLE +0.17%...XLk +0.60% Sector Watch Up Trending: Sideways: XLE, XLP, XLU, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK Down Trending: XLF Today was a classic example of the “bad new was good news” that we have spoken about in the past. AXP which missed analysts estimates yesterday by one cent rose 9.74% today and was the strongest stock in the Dow. Apparently, traders were relieved the news was not worse than it was. Another great example that it is not the news, rather how the market decides to interpret the news that counts. Financial stocks were the strongest sector on Tuesday with regional bank ZION rising +15.5%, insurance companies AFL +12.84% and TRV +6.15%, banks BAC +8.33%, C +6.61%, WFC +4.59% and USB +5.3%. Steel stocks STLD +15.04%, NUE +6.25%, SCHN +7.24% and X +6.89% moved higher. Semiconductor stocks were also strong: NVLS, MRVL, XLNX, NSM, ALTR, LLTC, TXN Index Commentary The DJIA formed a spinning top that further confirmed Friday’s hammer…short-term resistance still 8,250 The SPX formed an inside day that further confirmed Friday’s hammer…short-term resistance still 860. The Nasdaq formed a white spinning top…short-term resistance 1,525. The RUT formed a white spinning top…short-term resistance 468. Earnings Tuesday, Jan 28: AKS -3.88 below +0.02 estimates BMY +0.46 beat + 0.41 est. CHKP +0.50 beat + 0.47 est. DAL -0.50 below + -0.34 est. DD -0.28 below -0.24 est. EMC +0.24 beat +0.23 est. ENR +1.93 beat +1.73 est. HSY +0.59 beat +0.54 est. KCI +0.98 beat +0.85 est. LXK +0.75 inline +0.75 est. NUE +0.34 beat +0.13 est. BTU +1.11 beat +0.74 est. STJ +0.60 beat +0.58 est. TRV +1.58 beat +1.46 est. X +2.00 beat +0.71 est. ALTR +0.28 beat +0.27 est. AMLN -0.36 beat -0.49 est. BBOX +0.88 beat +0.82 est. CHRW +0.52 inline +0.52 est. DV +0.59 inline +0.59 est. GILD +0.56 beat +0.55 MOLX +0.20 beat +0.14 est. NSC +1.21 beat +1.18 est. STM -0.06 below +0.03 est. SYK +0.74 inline +0.74 est. JAVA 0.15 beat -0.10 est. WBSN +0.31 beat +0.29 est. YHOO +0.17 beat +0.13 est. Numbers exclude non-recurring items. Wednesday, Jan 29 BMO – T, BHI, BDX, BA, COP, GLW, GD, HES, LM, PM, PJC, PX, USG, WLP, WFC AMC – ARG, ALL, CTXS, KEX, LRCX, MTW, OI, QCOM, SBUX, WDC Thursday, Jan 30 BMO – MMM, ALK, BUD, AZN, BDK, CELG, CHTT, CL, CNX, CAL, EK, LLY, F, HP, JBLU, LLL, ERIC, OXY, RTN, TROW, UA, LCC AMC – AMZN, BRCM, BCR, CA, DRIV, JNPR, KLAC, MXIM, MCHP, VAR Friday, Jan 31 BMO – AME, ACI CVX, XOM, HON, IVZ, KLIC, FSTR, PCAR, PG Stocks to Watch on Wednesday Leading Stocks: Holding Above 30 DMA JOSB…BCO…ROST…ESI…JW.A…MYGN…AMED…BCR…MON…RIMM…SYNA…BLUD…AME…APH…DLTR…DV…STRA…AYE…K…PCP…AET…GES…GME…HP…IIVI…NE…RIO…SWN…URBN…POT…ATW…CAM…CTSH…MOS…NIHD…NOV…RIG… AAPL…BIIB…GIS…JCOM…WCG Moving Above 30 DMA = 5 ATK…CHTT…DNA…HLF…VAR Moving Below 30 DMA = 2 LAYN, RTN Staying Below 30 DMA CCC, AGN, GILD, ICLR, TEVA, CERN, FLIR, MTD, QSII, CIR, JEC, KEX, OSIP, PCLN, PCR, PETS, SHW, SPN, TECH, UTX, BAP, NGS, ACL, AMZN, BYI, CL, FLS, FWLT, HDB, LNN, OI, ADBE, AMX, CBST, DECK, FLR, MBT, SNA, VMI, WMS, AFAM, EPR, FSTR, HAS, LFC, MMM, MTW, NEU, RCI, SOHU, VIP, MCRS, NDAQ, ANSS, CHU, EXPW, NILE, PSSI, PSYS, VIVO, WAB, CELG, ENDP, IRIS, ISRG, SPTN, ESRX, PPD, PRGO, SINA, AXYS Tuesday’s Action Moving Up: GS, MA, BTU, SCHN, X, NUE, FSLR, ZION, CNX, V, AFAM, ANR, ESRX, HANS, CLF, MS Moving Down: AEM, ONXX, SOHU, UAUA, LCC, CF, PNRA Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral – DJIA, SPX, Nasdaq, RUT Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

Semiconductors and Steel Stocks Strong on Tuesday

Semiconductor and steel stocks are moving big on Tuesday morning. ALTR NVLS MRVL XLNX NSM TXN Steel stocks STLD X NUE SCHN Sideways Trading Range Support Bounce: JOYG

Monday, January 26, 2009

Indices Move Higher

DJIA + 38.47, +0.48% SP500 + 4.62, +0.56% NASDAQ Comp. + 12.17, +0.82% Russell 2000 + 5.70, +1.28% Exchange NYSE NASD Advancing 2,483 1,725 Declining 1,312 1,056 Oil $45.73 -$0.74 Gold $908.80 +$13.00 SOX 209.89 +1.61 VIX 45.69 -1.58 The VIX moved down confirming the rise in the SPX on Mondday. Strongest Sectors: XLU +2.40%...XLE +1.85%...XLK +1.21% Weakest Sectors: XLF -1.78%...XLB -1.18%...XLV -0.54% Sector Watch Up Trending: Sideways: XLE, XLP, XLU, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK Down Trending: XLF Indices formed a higher high and higher low on Monday before closing below the day’s high. Prices held above support and moved slightly higher on the day. Utility, Energy and Technology sectors moved higher. AAPL gave 3 Green Arrows. Index Commentary The DJIA formed a spinning top that confirmed Friday’s hammer by just 8 Dow points…intra-day break above the high of the low day. The SPX formed an inverted hammer that confirmed Friday’s hammer by 5 SPX points. The Nasdaq formed an inverted hammer that confirmed Friday’s bullish harami by 12 Nasdaq points. The RUT formed an inverted hammer that confirmed Friday’s white spinning top by 6 RUT points. Earnings Monday, Jan 26: ACV +0.41 beat +0.34 estimates BOH +0.82 below +0.87 est. CAT +1.08 below +1.21 est. FCX +0.06 beat -1.12 est. HAL +0.87 beat +0.73 est. KMB +1.01 below +1.03 est. MCD +0.87 beat +0.83 est. DGX +0.87 beat +0.80 est. AXP +0.21 below +0.22 est. AMGN +1.06 below +1.07 est. CNW +0.10 beat -0.03 est. JEC +0.90 beat +0.89 est. NFLX +0.38 beat +0.34 est. QLGC +0.34 beat +0.29 est. STLD -0.45 below -0.33 est. TXN +0.21 beat +0.12 est. VMW +0.36 beat +0.26 est. ZION -0.32 below -0.30 est. Tuesday, Jan 28: BMO - AKS, BMY, CHKP, DAL, DD, EMC, ENR, HSY, KCI, LXK, NUE, BTU, STJ, TRV, X AMC – ALTR, AMLN, BBOX, CHRW, DV, ETFC, GILD, JBHT, MOLX, NSC, STM, SYK, JAVA, WBSN, YHOO Wednesday, Jan 29 BMO – T, BHI, BDX, BA, COP, GLW, GD, HES, LM, PM, PJC, PX, USG, WLP, WFC AMC – ARG, ALL, CTXS, KEX, LRCX, MTW, OI, QCOM, SBUX, WDC Thursday, Jan 30 BMO – MMM, ALK, BUD, AZN, BDK, CELG, CHTT, CL, CNX, CAL, EK, LLY, F, HP, JBLU, LLL, ERIC, OXY, RTN, TROW, UA, LCC AMC – AMZN, BRCM, BCR, CA, DRIV, JNPR, KLAC, MXIM, MCHP, VAR Friday, Jan 31 BMO – AME, ACI CVX, XOM, HON, IVZ, KLIC, FSTR, PCAR, PG Stocks to Watch on Tuesday Leading Stocks: Holding Above 30 DMA JOSB…BCO…ROST…ESI…JW.A…MYGN…AMED…BCR…MON…RIMM…SYNA…BLUD…AME…APH…DLTR…DV…STRA…AYE…K…PCP…AET…GES…GME…HP…IIVI…NE…RIO…SWN…URBN…POT…ATWCAM…CTSH…LAYN…MOS…NIHD…NOV…RIG Moving Above 30 DMA = 6 AAPL…BIIB…GIS…JCOMRTNWCG Moving Below 30 DMA = 3 CCC…CHTT…DNA Staying Below 30 DMA AGN, ATK, GILD, ICLR, TEVA, CERN, FLIR, HLF, MTD, QSII, CIR, JEC, KEX, OSIP, PCLN, PCR, PETS, SHW, SPN, TECH, UTX, VAR, BAP, NGS, ACL, AMZN, BYI, CL, FLS, FWLT, HDB, LNN, OI, ADBE, AMX, CBST, DECK, FLR, MBT, SNA, VMI, WMS, AFAM, EPR, FSTR, HAS, LFC, MMM, MTW, NEU, RCI, SOHU, VIP, MCRS, NDAQ, ANSS, CHU, EXPW, NILE, PSSI, PSYS, VIVO, WAB, CELG, ENDP, IRIS, ISRG, SPTN, ESRX, PPD, PRGO, SINA, AXYS Monday’s Action Moving Up: PNRA, FSLR, POT, MOS, MEE, HANS, DRYS Moving Down: STRA, MA, NUE, V, AFAM, PCLN, AEM, X, SCHN, ZION, ONXX, GS Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral – DJIA, SPX, Nasdaq, RUT Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

Friday, January 23, 2009

Support Holds Again

DJIA - 45.24, -0.56% SP500 + 4.45, +0.54% NASDAQ Comp. + 11.80, +0.81% Russell 2000 + 1.51, +0.34% Exchange NYSE NASD Advancing 2,046 1,308 Declining 1,737 1,453 Oil $46.47 +$2.80 Gold $895.80 +$37.00 SOX 208.28 +8.29 VIX 47.27 -0.02 The VIX moved down slightly confirming the modest rise in the SPX on Friday. Strongest Sectors: XLF +3.33%...XLE +2.91%...XLB +1.52% Weakest Sectors: XLI -3.01%...XLP -0.97%...XLY -0.30% Sector Watch Up Trending: Sideways: XLE, XLP, XLU, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK Down Trending: XLF The combination of weaker earnings in the financial sector and stronger earnings in other companies seems to offset each other and keep the indices holding above support. The weakness in bank stocks seemed to prevent a significant support bounce in the broad indices. The SOX, +4.15%, was stronger than the broad indices as it formed a bullish engulfing pattern on Friday. Oil appears to be forming a potential double bottom and potential trend change. See our comment below on USO. Gold had a horizontal breakout Friday suggesting trend continuation. Index Commentary The DJIA formed a hammer in the 7,900 to 8,100 support area. The SPX formed a hammer in the 800 to 830 support area. The Nasdaq formed a bullish harami in the 1,450 support area. The RUT formed a white spinning top in the 430 to 450 support area. Earning releases had a large impact with stock prices this past week beginning with STT on Tuesday and other financial stocks missing estimates and leading the financial sector lower. On the positive side IBM, AAPL and GOOG experienced strong support bounces. Earnings announcements continue this coming week. We have listed below many of the announcements that we’ll be watching. Earnings Friday, Jan 23 GE +0.37 inline +0.37 estimates HOG +0.34 below +0.57 est. SLB +1.03 below +1.05 est. XRX +0.30 below +0.34 est. Monday, Jan 26: BMO - BOH, CAT, FCX, HAL, KMB, MCD, DGX, AMC - AXP, AMGN, CNW, JEC, NFLX, QLGC, STLD, TXN, VMW, ZION Tuesday, Jan 28: BMO - AKS, BMY, CHKP, DAL, DD, EMC, ENR, HSY, KCI, LXK, NUE, BTU, STJ, TRV, X AMC – ALTR, AMLN, BBOX, CHRW, DV, ETFC, GILD, JBHT, MOLX, NSC, STM, SYK, JAVA, WBSN, YHOO Wednesday, Jan 29 BMO – T, BHI, BDX, BA, COP, GLW, GD, HES, LM, PM, PJC, PX, USG, WLP, WFC AMC – ARG, ALL, CTXS, KEX, LRCX, MTW, OI, QCOM, SBUX, WDC Thursday, Jan 30 BMO – MMM, ALK, BUD, AZN, BDK, CELG, CHTT, CL, CNX, CAL, EK, LLY, F, HP, JBLU, LLL, ERIC, OXY, RTN, TROW, UA, LCC AMC – AMZN, BRCM, BCR, CA, DRIV, JNPR, KLAC, MXIM, MCHP, VAR Friday, Jan 31 BMO – AME, ACI CVX, XOM, HON, IVZ, KLIC, FSTR, PCAR, PG Stock Commentary AET – potential horizontal breakout bull flag support bounce GME – support bounce in narrow trading range, potential breakout HP – bullish engulfing JEC – piercing line MOS – bullish engulfing MYGN – Up trend consolidation near horizontal resistance, potential horizontal bull flag, <> PCLN – bullish engulfing on 50 DMA support USO – bullish engulfing support bounce at potential double bottom with bullish divergence in the 14/5 stochastic Stocks to Watch on Monday Leading Stocks: Holding Above 30 DMA JOSB…BCO…ROST…ESI…JW.A…MYGNAMED…BCR…MON…RIMM…SYNA…BLUD…AME…APH…DLTR…DV…STRA…AYE…K…PCPAET…CCC…GES…GMEHPIIVINERIO…SWN…URBN…POT Moving Above 30 DMA = 10 ATWCAMCHTTCTSHDNALAYNMOSNIHDNOVRIG Moving Below 30 DMA = 8 AGN, ATK, BIIB, GILD, GIS, ICLR, RTN, TEVA Staying Below 30 DMA CERN, FLIR, HLF, MTD, QSII, CIR, JEC, KEX, OSIP, PCLN, PCR, PETS, SHW, SPN, TECH, UTX, VAR, BAP, NGS, WCG, ACL, AMZN, BYI, CL, FLS, FWLT, HDB, LNN, OI, ADBE, AMX, CBST, DECK, FLR, MBT, SNA, VMI, WMS, AAPL, AFAM, EPR, FSTR, HAS, LFC, MMM, MTW, NEU, RCI, SOHU, VIP, JCOM, MCRS, NDAQ, ANSS, CHU, EZPW, NILE, PSSI, PSYS, VIVO, WAB, CELG, ENDP, IRIS, ISRG, SPTN, ESRX, PPD, PRGO, SINA, AXYS Friday’s Action Moving Up: AEM, GS, GDX, CF, FWLT, AGU, MOS, NDAQ, POT, PCLN, MS, CLF, BRCM, IPI, PNRA, SCHN, X Moving Down: MA, AFAM, STRA Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral – DJIA, SPX, Nasdaq, RUT Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

Update on Thursday's Earnings Releases

2:50 ET Just a review of Thursday's earnings releases that beat estimates BAX, IGT, ESI, NITE, POT, CBST, EZPW, GOOG and SYNA are up. GOOG is up over $22, any surprise? Only LMT, UNP and LUV are lower. ISRG that was inline is lower.

Nasdaq, SPX, RUT Turn Positive

The Nasdaq Composite, SPX and RUT all turned positive for the day in afternoon trading. The Dow is still in negative territory. Obviously more stocks are turning positive in our Action watch list. Friday's Afternoon Action Moving Up: AEM, GDX, PCLN, STRA, FSLR, CF, CLF, GS, POT, FWLT, MOS, SCHN, AGU, X, NDAQ, BRCM, SINA, MS, MON, IPI, INFY, KMT, ESRX, NIHD, SOHU, BTU, MEE, GRMN, ANR Moving Down: AFAM, MA

Support Holds As Markets Open Lower, Gold Higher

The SPX opened about 20 points lower around 807 bounced and rose to the 827 area during the first two hours of trading. Since that time it has become range bound between 818 and 827. The SPX is just below even for the day at 12:50 ET. Gold is higher trading up over $34 around the 893 level. Many gold and commodity related stocks are moving higher in Friday tradubg. Airline stocks also are stronger. Friday's Early Action: Moving Up: AEM, GDX, PCLN, CF, CLF, POT, FWLT, GS, MOS, AGU, X, SCHN Moving Down: MA, MON, FSLR, V, STRA, AFAM

Thursday, January 22, 2009

Stocks Pull Back and Bounce Again

DJIA - 105.30, -1.28% SP500 - 12.74, -1.52% NASDAQ Comp. - 41.58, -2.76% Russell 2000 - 13.91, -3.05% Exchange NYSE NASD Advancing 930 696 Declining 2,835 2,070 Oil $43.67 +$0.12 Gold $858.80 +$8.70 SOX 199.99 -5.19 VIX 47.29 +0.87 The VIX moved up confirming the move down in the SPX on Thursday. Strongest Sectors: XLV +0.42%...XLU -0.03%...XLP -0.09% Weakest Sectors: XLF -6.15%...XLE -2.74%...XLK -2.26% Sector Watch Up Trending: Sideways: XLE, XLP, XLU, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK, XLF Down Trending: Indices fell near Wednesday’s lows and bounced creating an inside day o the DJIA, SPX, Nasdaq and RUT. Weakness in financial stocks again contributed to the drop in stocks. BAC, C and MSFT contributed to the drop in the DJIA. Weakness in ADBE, EBAY, JOYG and MSFT contributed to the weakness in the NDX. AAPL rose 6.68% on Thursday after earnings reported after the close on Wednesday beat estimates. Airline stocks LUV, UAUA, DAL, LCC and ALK also moved higher. IBM retraced a portion of yesterday's gain to the S1 level of Wednesday's large white candle.

POT formed a bullish engulfing pattern after earnings beat estimates.

The 7,900 support area on the DJIA continues to hold. Earnings Thursday, Jan 22 BAX +0.91 beat +0.89 estimate CIT -0.54 below -0.48 est. CY -0.08 inline -0.08 est. IBKR +0.49 below +0.53 IGT +0.29 beat +0.27 est. ESI +1.61 beat +1.44 est. KEY – 1.13 below -0.02 est. NITE +0.56 beat +0.38 est. LMT +2.05 beat +1.92 est. MSFT +0.47 below +0.49 est. POT +2.56 beat +2.28 est. SHW +0.50 below +0.53 est. LUV +0.08 beat +0.05 est. STI -1.08 below +0.07 est. UNP +1.31 beat +1.23 est. UNH +0.78 inline +0.78 est. AMD -0.68 below -0.54 est. COF -1.59 below +0.33 est. CBST +0.71 beat + 0.52 est. EZPW +0.35 beat +0.34 est. GOOG +5.10 beat +4.95 est. ISRG +1.27 inline +1.27 est. SYNA +0.84 beat +0.62 est. Friday: GE, HOG, MBFI, SLB, XRX Stocks to Watch on Friday Leading Stocks: Holding Above 30 DMA JOSB…BIIB…BCO…ROST…ESI…JW.A…MYGN…AGN…AMED…BCR…MON…RIMM…ICLR…SYNA…BLUD…RTN…AME…APH…DLTR…DV…STRA…AYE…GIS…K…PCP…AET…ATK…CCC…GES…GILD…GME…HP…IIVI…NE…RIO…SWN…TEVA…URBN Moving Above 30 DMA = 1 POT Moving Below 30 DMA = 9 CAM…CERN…CTSH…DNA…FLIR…HLF…LAYN…MTD…QSII Staying Below 30 DMA AXYS…SINA…PRGO…PPD…ESRX…SPTN…ISRG…IRIS…CHTT…ENDP…CELG…WAB…VIVO…PSYS…PSSI…NILE…EZPW…CHU…ANSS…NDAQ…MCRS…JCOM…VIP…SOHU…RCI…NEU…MTW…MMM…LFC…HAS…FSTR…EPR…AFAM…AAPL…WMS…VMILLLSNA…MBT…FLR…DECK…CBST…AMX…ADBE…RIG…OI…NOV…LNN…HDB…FWLT…FLS…CL…BYI…ATW…AMZN…ACL…WCG…NGS…BAP…VAR…UTX…TECH…SPN…SHW…PETS…PCR…PCLN…OSIP…NIHD…MOS…MOS…KEX…JEC…CIR Thursday’s Action Moving Up: STRA, POT, GS, PNRA, IPI, ESRX, MS Moving Down: DRYS, FSLR, MA, EBAY, KRE, NUE, INFY, ZION, CF, X, FWLT, MEE, BTU, CNX, KMT, SOHU, KBE, ANR, RF Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral – DJIA, SPX, Nasdaq, RUT Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

Wednesday, January 21, 2009

IBM, Financial Stocks Lead Market Higher From Support

DJIA + 279.01, +3.51% SP500 + 35.02, +4.35% NASDAQ Comp. + 66.21, +4.60% Russell 2000 + 23.11, +5.33% Exchange NYSE NASD Advancing 2,936 2,104 Declining 877 716 Oil $43.55 +$2.71 Mar 09 contract Gold $850.10 -$5.10 SOX 205.18 +6.11 VIX 46.42 -10.23 The VIX moved down confirming the move up in the SPX on Tuesday. Strongest Sectors: XLF +14.73%...XLE +6.72%...XLK +4.82% Weakest Sectors: XLP +0.49%...XLU +1.13%...XLV +2.12% Sector Watch Up Trending: Sideways: XLE, XLP, XLU, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK, XLF Down Trending: Indices rebounded from Tuesday’s sell off. IBM shares which rose in after-market trading on Tuesday after earnings beat estimates, continued to rise on Wednesday gaining $9.44 or 11.52%. Financial stocks including JPM, BAC, WFC and GS rose sharply on Tuesday. Earnings Wednesday Jan 21 ABT +1.06 inline +1.06 estimate ATI +1.15 beat 0.90 est. AMR -0.77 inline -0.77 est. COH +0.67 inline +0.67 est. IIVI +0.28 inline +0.28 est. UAUA -4.22 inline -4.22 est. UTX +1.23 beat +1.22 est. USB +0.15 below +0.22 est AAPL +1.78 beat +1.39 est. BNI +1.79 beat +1.74 est EBAY +0.41 beat +0.39 est. FFIV +0.40 inline +0.40 est. SLM +0.08 below +0.19 est. Thur: BK, BAX, CIT, CY, F, IGT, ESI, KEY, NITE, KLIC, LMT, POT, SHW, LUV, STI, UNP, UNH, LCC AMC – AMD, COF, CBST, EZPW, GOOG, IBKR, ISRG, MSFT, SYNA, Fri: GE, HOG, MBFI, SLB, XRX Index Commentary The DJIA and SPX formed a piercing line pattern with a new support bounce…closed below their 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The Nasdaq and RUT formed a bullish harami…closed below their 20, 30 and 50 DMA. Stocks to Watch on Thursday Leading Stocks: Holding Above 30 DMA JOSB…BIIB…BCO…ROST…ESI…JW.A…MYGN…DNA…AGN…AMED…BCR…CTSH…MON…RIMM…ICLR…SYNA…BLUD…CERN…RTN…AME…APH…DLTR…DV…STRA…AYE…GIS…K…PCP Moving Above 30 DMA = 19 AET…ATK…CAM…CCC…FLIR…GES…GILD…GME…HLF…HP…IIVI…LAYN…MTD…NE…QSII…RIO…SWN…TEVA…URBN Moving Below 30 DMA = 0 Staying Below 30 DMA AXYS…SINA…PRGO…PPD…ESRX…SPTN…ISRG…IRIS…CHTT…ENDP…CELG…WAB…VIVO…PSYS…PSSI…NILE…EZPW…CHU…ANSS…NDAQ…MCRS…JCOM…VIP…SOHU…RCI…NEU…MTW…MMM…LFC…HAS…FSTR…EPR…AFAM…AAPL…WMS…VMILLLSNA…MBT…FLR…DECK…CBST…AMX…ADBE…RIG…OI…NOV…LNN…HDB…FWLT…FLS…CL…BYI…ATW…AMZN…ACL…WCG…NGS…BAP…VAR…UTX…TECH…SPN…SHW…POT…PETS…PCR…PCLN…OSIP…NIHD…MOS…MOS…KEX…JEC…CIR Wednesday’s Action Moving Up: MA, GS, STRA, MS, FSLR, MON, CLF, CNX, SCHN, NDAQ, ANR, BTU, MEE, AEM, ADM, PCLN, DRYS, V, ZION, SOHU, ESRX, KRE, KMT, PNRA, SINA, IPI, NIHD, KBE, X, POT, MOS, AGU, GRMN, FWLT, BRCM, LAMR, ONXX, NUE, EBAY, GDX Moving Down: COH, UAUA Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral – DJIA, SPX, Nasdaq, RUT Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

Financial Stocks Pull Market Lower

DJIA - 332.13, -4.01% SP500 - 44.90, -5.28% NASDAQ Comp. - 88.47, -5.78% Russell 2000 - 32.80, -7.03% Exchange NYSE NASD Advancing 442 407 Declining 3,369 2,400 Oil $40.84 -$1.73 Mar 09 contract Gold $854.60 +$15.30 SOX 199.07 -15.35 VIX 56.65 +10.54 The VIX moved up confirming the move down in the SPX on Tuesday. Strongest Sectors: XLP -1.18%...XLU -1.73%...XLV -2.42% Weakest Sectors: XLF -16.53%...XLY -5.87%...XLB -5.63% Sector Watch Up Trending: Sideways: XLE, XLP, XLU, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK Down Trending: XLF Indices fell from the open starting with disappointing news from STT. See our early Tuesday post. The Financial Sector ETF, XLF, fell -16.53%. Indices fell below Thursday's low creating a failed support bounce. IBM shares rose in after-market trading after earnings beat estimates. Dave was traveling Tuesday to teach an AT Workshop. Earnings Tuesday, Jan 20: FAST +0.43 beat +0.41 estimates JNJ +0.94 beat +0.92 est. LOGI -0.22 below +0.43 est. PETS +0.21 beat +0.20 est., PCP +1.74 beat 1.70 est., AMTD +0.31 in line +0.31, BK +0.92 beat +0.69 est., CREE +0.12 beat +0.09 est., IBM +3.28 beat +3.03 est. Wed: BMO – ABT, ATI, AMR, COH, DAL, FCX, IIVI, PJC, UAUA, UTX, USB AMC – AAPL, EBAY, FFIV, NE, SLM, TER Thur: BK, BAX, CIT, CY, F, IGT, ESI, KEY, NITE, KLIC, LMT, POT, SHW, LUV, STI, UNP, UNH, LCC AMC – AMD, COF, CBST, EZPW, GOOG, IBKR, ISRG, MSFT, SYNA, Fri: GE, HOG, MBFI, SLB, XRX Index Commentary The DJIA formed a large black candle and broke Thursday’s support…support bounce failed…closed below its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The SPX formed a large black candle and broke Thursday’s suppor… support bounce failed…closed below its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The Nasdaq formed a large black candle and broke Thursday’s support…support bounce failure…closed below its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The RUT formed a large black candle and broke Thursday’s support…closed below its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. Stocks to Watch on Wednesday Leading Stocks: Holding Above 30 DMA JOSB…BIIB…BCO…ROST…ESI…JW.A…MYGN…DNA…AGN…AMED…BCR…CTSH…MON…RIMM…ICLR…SYNA…BLUD…CERN…RTN…AME…APH…DLTR…DV…STRA…AYE…GIS…K Moving Above 30 DMA = 1 PCP Moving Below 30 DMA = 30 AET…ATK…CAM…CCC…CIR…FLIR…GES…GME…HLF…HP…JEC…KEX…LAYN…MOS…MTD…NIHD…OSIP…PCLN…PCR…PETS…POT…QSII…RIO…SHW…SPN…TECH…TEVA…URBN…UTX…VAR Staying Below 30 DMA GIS…PTNR…AXYS…SINA…PRGO…PPD…ESRX…CHTT…IRIS…ISRG…SPTN…ENDP…ANSS…CHU…EZPW…NILE…PSSI…PSYS…VIVO…WAB…JCOM…MCRS…NDAQ…AAPL…AFAM…EPR…FSTR…HAS…LFC…MMM…MTW…NE…NEU…RCI…SOHU…VIP…AMX…CBST…DECK…FLR…MBT…SNA…VMI…WMS…ADBE…ACL…AMZN…ATW…BYI…CL…FLS…FWLT…GILD…HDB…LNN…NOV…OI…RIG…SWN…BAP…NGS…WCG…IIVI Tuesday’s Action Moving Up: None Moving Down: GS, MA, FSLR, PCLN, V, POT, MON, ZION, MOS, KBE, AGU, SCHN, X, NDAQ, FWLT, ANR, PNRA, CF, ESRX, MS, KRE, SOHU, NUE, STRA, AEM, DRYS, CNX, INFY, SINA, RF, KMT, LAMR, BRCM, NIHD, CLF, COH, BTU, MEE, GRMN, IPI, ONXX, LCC, HANS, EBAY Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral – DJIA, SPX, Nasdaq, RUT Short Term Market Trend: Down

STT Sends Bank Stocks and Markets Lower in Early Trading

STT reported fourth quarter operating income of +1.18 per share ahead of estimates of +1.14, however net income including non-recurring charges were +0.15 down from +0.57 in the year ago period. STT also stated they expected 2009 revenues to approximate 2008 below their long term growth of 8% to 12%. This warning of no growth sent STT lower in pre-market trading and shares gapped down $16 on the open as 4 million shares traded in the first 4 minutes. After falling to $16.31 in those first 4 minutes, shares have stablized and started to rise from that low during the first 60 minutes of trading. The STT has sent bank stocks lower once again and indices have slipped below Friday's low and held above Thursday's low during the first half hour of trading. During the second half of trading stocks have begun to rally and are now above Friday's lows. This certainly is making for an interesting trading day on this historical Inauguration Day. 10:40 ET - DJIA -134 , SPX -18, Nasdaq -38

Friday, January 16, 2009

Thursday's Reversal Confirmed as Stocks Move Higher

DJIA + 68.73, +0.84% SP500 + 6.38, +0.76% NASDAQ Comp. + 17.49, +1.16% Russell 2000 + 3.83, +0.83% Exchange NYSE NASD Advancing 2,499 1,521 Declining 1,276 1,229 Oil $36.51 +$1.11 Gold $839.30 +$32.60 SOX 214.42 +7.35 VIX 46.11 -4.89 The VIX moved down confirming the move up in the SPX on Friday. Take notice of the fact that the SPX on Thursday reached all but it lowest low for November, however the VIX was 10 to 25 points below its November highs. Strongest Sectors: XLU +1.98%...XLY+1.18%...XLB +1.12% Weakest Sectors: XLF -3.01%...XLI +0.55%...XLK +0.67% Sector Watch Up Trending: Sideways: XLE, XLP, XLU, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK, XLF Down Trending: Did you catch Friday's Weekly Wrap with Tom Sosnoff and Dave Johnson? More than 1,000 other traders did! Markets rallied on Friday confirming Thursday's key reversal day. Friday was the break of the high of the low day on the DJIA, SPX, Nasdaq, RUT and several individual stocks. This is an entry signal for some short-term traders. Oil rallied on Friday after making a new multi-year low on Thursday. Oil is forming a potential double bottom. Gold formed a large bullish engulfing pattern on Friday breaking out of a bull flag pattern. Several gold stocks bounced in a bull flag pattern including: GDX, AEM, GG, GOLD, ABX, NEM Earnings Friday, Jan 16 - BAC -0.48 missed estimates +0.08, SCHW in line at +0.26, C -1.72 missed -1.31, JCI -0.14 missed +0.01. Tues: BMO - FAST, JNJ, LOGI, PETS, PCP, STT, AMTD AMC – CREE, IBM Wed: BMO – ABT, ATI, AMR, COH, DAL, FCX, IIVI, PJC, UAUA, UTX, USB AMC – AAPL, EBAY, FFIV, NE, SLM, TER Thur: BMO - BK, BAX, CIT, CY, F, IGT, ESI, KEY, NITE, KLIC, LMT, POT, SHW, LUV, STI, UNP, UNH, LCC AMC – AMD, COF, CBST, EZPW, GOOG, IBKR, ISRG, MSFT, SYNA, Fri: BMO - GE, HOG, MBFI, SLB, XRX Index Commentary The DJIA formed a white candle that confirmed Thursday’s hammer…continuation of support bounce…closed below its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The SPX formed a white spinning top that confirmed Thursday’s hammer…made higher low and higher high on continuation of support bounce…closed below its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The Nasdaq formed dragonfly doji-like pattern that confirmed Thursday’s bullish harami pattern…made a daily higher low and higher high in its support bounce continuation…closed just below its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The RUT formed a white hammer pattern that confirmed Thursday’s bullish harami hammer pattern…daily higher low and higher high…closed just below its 50 DMA and below its 20 and 30 DMA. Stocks to Watch on Monday If you read our comment on Tuesday Jan. 13 under Stocks to Watch you are likely to be paying closer attention to the number of stocks Moving Above versus Moving Below. On Monday Above was 1 and Below was 17, Wednesday was Above 2 and Below 30. Did you notice Thursday and Friday Above 14 and 13, Below 4 and 1. Hopefully you understand our Tuesday comment and why we have been showing the number each day. Leading Stocks: Holding Above 30 DMA PCLN…JOSB…BIIB…QSII…BCO…ROST…AET…ESI…GES…JW.A…MYGN…DNA…HLF…OSIP…AGN…LAYN…AMED…BCR…CAM…FLIR…CTSH…HP…GMEMONRIMMICLR…SYNA…BLUD…CERN…RTN…TEVA…AME…APH…DLTR…DV…KEX…MOS…MTD…NIHD…RIO…SPN…STRA…TECH…URBN Moving Above 30 DMA = 13 ATK…AYE…CCCCIR…GIS…JECK…PCR…PETS…POT…SHWUTX…VAR Moving Below 30 DMA = 1 IIVI Staying Below 30 DMA PTNR…AXYS…SINA…PRGO…PPD…ESRX…CHTT…IRIS…ISRG…SPTN…ENDP…ANSS…CHU…EZPW…NILE…PSSI…PSYS…VIVO…WAB…JCOM…MCRS…NDAQ…AAPL…AFAM…EPR…FSTR…HAS…LFC…MMM…MTW…NE…NEU…RCI…SOHU…VIP…AMX…CBST…DECK…FLR…MBT…SNA…VMI…WMS…ADBE…PCP…ACL…AMZN…ATW…BYI…CL…FLS…FWLT…GILD…HDB…LNN…NOV…OI…RIG…SWN…BAP…NGS…WCG Friday’s Action Moving Up: STRA, AEM, SOHU, FSLR, PNRA, POT, GDX, HANS, AGU, ESRX, NUE, CF, MON, LCC, UAUA, MOS, NDAQ, Moving Down: MA, V, ZION, GS, KBE Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral – DJIA, SPX, Nasdaq, RUT Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

Support Bounce Follows Through on Friday

Friday's Action Leading Stocks: GDX, AEM, HANS, STRA, LCC, SOHU, UAUA, PNRA, NUE, ESRX, FSLR, SINA, BRCM, AGU, NDAQ, POT, MOS, MEE Stock's to Watch Leading Stocks: CCC, SOHU, DV, AET, K, NDAQ, CIR, MYGN, LAYN, ATK, SWN, BIIB, POT, DECK, PCR, JOSB, RIMM, FLS, GME, MOS, ESRX Market's are closed Monday, January 19 in observance of Martin Luther King, Jr. Day. We'll be back later with Friday's Comments and what to watch for on Tuesday.

Thursday, January 15, 2009

Key Reversal Day?

DJIA + 12.35, +0.15% SP500 + 1.12, +0.13% NASDAQ Comp. + 22.20, +1.49% Russell 2000 + 9.45, +2.09% Exchange NYSE NASD Advancing 2,006 1,602 Declining 1,787 1,183 Oil $35.40 -$1.88 Gold $806.70 -$1.50 SOX 207.07 +5.06 VIX 51.00 +1.86 The VIX moved up and did not confirm the move up in the SPX on Thursday. Strongest Sectors: XLB +3.79%...XLB+2.96%...XLY +2.46% Weakest Sectors: XLF -4.59%...XLP +0.44%...XLU +0.53% Sector Watch Up Trending: Sideways: XLE, XLP, XLU, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK, XLF Down Trending: Stocks rallied off of support lows for each of the broad indices on Thursday forming a potential key reversal day. Watch for confirmation and a higher low and a higher high on Friday's candle. Focus on leading stocks. Friday earnings: C, JCI Earnings reports increase significantly next week. Index Commentary The DJIA formed a hammer…fell to 8,000 support and bounced…closed below its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The SPX formed a hammer…fell to 817 support and bounced…closed below its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The Nasdaq formed a bullish harami hammer pattern…fell to 1,450 support and bounced…closed below its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The RUT formed a bullish harami hammer pattern…fell to 440 support and bounced…closed below its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. Stocks to Watch on Friday Check out the support bounce with volume increase on AME, ESI, GES, MON, PCLN, RIMM Leading Stocks: Holding Above 30 DMA PCLN…JOSB…BIIB…QSII…BCO…ROST…AET…ESIGES…JW.A…MYGN…DNA…HLF…OSIP…AGN…LAYN…AMED…BCR…CAM…FLIR…CTSH…HP…GME…MONRIMM…ICLR…SYNA…BLUD…CERN…RTN…TEVA Moving Above 30 DMA = 14 AME…APH…DLTR…DV…IIVI…KEX…MOS…MTD…NIHD…RIO…SPN…STRA…TECH…URBN Moving Below 30 DMA = 4 BAP…NGS…POT…WCG Staying Below 30 DMA GIS…PTNR…AXYS…SINA…PRGO…PPD…ESRX…CHTT…IRIS…ISRG…SPTN…ENDP…ANSS…CHU…EZPW…NILE…PSSI…PSYS…VIVO…WAB…JCOM…MCRS…NDAQ…AAPL…AFAM…EPR…FSTR…HAS…LFC…MMM…MTW…NE…NEU…RCI…SOHU…VIP…AMX…CBST…DECK…FLR…MBT…SNA…VMI…WMS…ADBE…ATK…PCP…PETS…ACL…AMZN…ATW…AYE…BYI…CCC…CIR…CL…FLS…FWLT…GILD…HDB…JEC…K…LNN…NOV…OI…PCR…RIG…SHW…SWN…UTX…VAR Thursday’s Action Moving Up: STRA…FSLR…CF…MON…AEM…SCHN…X…MOS…AGU…PCLN…HANS…CLF…NUE…IPI…ONXX…ADM…FWLT…UAUA…COH…INFY…GDX… Moving Down: MA…ZION…V…SOHU…GS…KBE…AFAM…MS…RF Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral – DJIA, SPX, Nasdaq, RUT Short Term Market Trend: Down

Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Stocks Break Recent Lows

DJIA - 248.42, -2.94% SP500 - 2917, -3.35% NASDAQ Comp. - 56.82, -3.67% Russell 2000 - 20.62, -4.35% Exchange NYSE NASD Advancing 486 513 Declining 3,330 2,287 Oil $37.28 -$0.50 Gold $808.20 -$11.90 SOX 202.01 -8.78 VIX 49.14 +5.87 The VIX moved up confirming the move down in the SPX on Wednesday. Strongest Sectors: XLU -1.23%...XLV-1.42%...XLP -2.20% Weakest Sectors: XLF -5.77%...XLE -4.78%...XLY -3.91% Sector Watch Up Trending: Sideways: XLE, XLP, XLU, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK, XLF Down Trending: The broad indices broke below the Dec 29 horizontal support level and moved lower after a weaker -2.7% than forecast -1.2% retail sales report for December. News about Steve Jobs taking a leave of absence for health reasons drove down another 7% in after-hours trading after falling almost 3% during regular trading hours. Decliners led advancers by more than 6 to 1 on the NYSE and more than 4 to 1 on the Nasdaq. All nine sector ETFs closed lower on Wednesday. Selling drove prices below Tuesday’s low making Wednesday the new low day in the current move down from resistance. Downward momentum accelerated after Tuesday’s slowdown in downward momentum. Earnings On Wednesday SHFL reported +0.12 better than expected +0.08 earnings. XLNX reported +0.32 in line earnings. Thursday earnings: JPM, DNA, INTC Friday earnings: C, JCI Earnings reports increase significantly next week. Index Commentary The DJIA formed a large black candle breaking below its Dec 29 low and falling to its Dec 5 horizontal support area…closed below its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The SPX formed a large black candle falling below its Dec 12 horizontal support…closed at it Oct 10 horizontal support low…next horizontal support Dec 1 low of 815…closed below its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The Nasdaq formed a large black candle falling to its Dec 12, Dec 29 horizontal support low …moved and closed above its 30 DMA…next horizontal support from Dec 5 at 1,400 area…closed below its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The RUT form a large black candle breaking below its Oct 10 and Dec 29 lows…next horizontal support from Oct 29 and Dec 12 at 440…closed below its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. Stocks to Watch on Thursday Check out the support bounce with volume increase on AGN and RTN Leading Stocks: Holding Above 30 DMA PCLN…BAP…JOSB…BIIB…QSII…BCO…ROST…AET…POT…ESI…GES…JW.A…MYGN…DNA…HLF…OSIP…AGN…WCG…LAYN…AMED…BCR…CAM…FLIR…NGS…CTSH…HP…GME…MON…RIMM…ICLR…SYNA…BLUD…CERN Moving Above 30 DMA = 2 RTN…TEVA Moving Below 30 DMA = 30 ACL…AMZN…ATW…AYE…BYI…CCC…CIR…CL…FLS…FWLT…GILD…HDB…IIVI…JEC…K…KEX…LNN…MOS…MTD…NIHD…NOV…OI…PCR…RIG…RIO…SHW…SPN…SWN…UTX…VAR Staying Below 30 DMA GIS…PTNR…AXYS…URBN…SINA…PRGO…PPD…ESRX…CHTT…IRIS…ISRG…SPTN…CELG…ENDP…TECH…ANSS…CHU…EZPW…NILE…PSSI…PSYS…VIVO…WAB…JCOM…MCRS…NDAQ…AAPL…AFAM…AME…DLTR…EPR…FSTR…HAS…LFC…MMM…MTW…NE…NEU…RCI…SOHU…VIP…AMX…CBST…DECK…DV…FLR…MBT…SNA…VMI…WMS…ADBE…APH…ATK…PCP…PETS…STRA Wednesday’s Action Moving Up: None (for the second time this week) Moving Down: FSLR, POT, STRA, MA, CLF, SCHN, ADM, PNRA, CF, CNX, NUE, V, MON, X, BTU, FWLT, GS, AGU, AEM, PCLN, GDX, HANS, MS, SOHU, ONXX, LAMR, KRE, NIHD, EBAY, COH, KMT, IPI, MOS, ANR, NDAQ, GRMN, KBE, MEE, INFY, ZION, LCC, ESRX, UAUA, AFAM Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral – DJIA, SPX, Nasdaq, RUT Short Term Market Trend: Down

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Stocks Stabalize at Horizontal Support Levels

DJIA - 25.41, -1.46% SP500 + 1.53, +0.18% NASDAQ Comp. + 7.67, +0.50% Russell 2000 + 4.99, +1.06% Exchange NYSE NASD Advancing 1,947 1,538 Declining 1,829 1,242 Oil $37.78 +$0.19 Gold $820.10 -$0.20 SOX 210.79 +1.70 VIX 43.27 -2.57 The VIX moved down confirming the move up in the SPX on Tuesday. Strongest Sectors: XLE +2.50%...XLF+1.37%...XLV +0.85% Weakest Sectors: XLU -1.89%...XLI -1.72%...XLY -1.29% Sector Watch Up Trending: Sideways: XLE, XLP, XLU, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK, XLF Down Trending: The broad indices traded in a relatively narrow range on Tuesday suggesting the recent drop in stock prices was slowing as price levels reached the Dec 29 horizontal support area. Advancers led decliners on both the NYSE and Nasdaq. Five of the nine sector ETFs close higher on Tuesday. Today is the low day in the current pull back, indices are at horizontal support and downward momentum abated today. A break above the high of the low day is an entry signal for some short-term traders. Watch for a potential support bounce on Wednesday. Earnings Earnings season started on Monday with AA -0.28 and LPHI +0.51 reporting lower than expected earnings. On Tuesday BMO (Before Market Open) INFY +0.56 and IIIN -0.08 reported better than expected earnings. After the close, LLTC +0.38 also reported better than expected earnings. Wednesday earnings: SCHW, XLNX Thursday earnings: JPM, DNA, INTC Friday earnings: JCI Earnings reports increase significantly next week. Index Commentary The DJIA formed a spinning top as buyers appeared near the Dec 29 low…Tuesday is the low of its recent pullback…closed below its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The SPX formed a white spinning top…Tuesday is the low day of the recent pullback… closed below its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The Nasdaq formed a white spinning top with the low a fraction of a point lower than Monday’s low…moved and closed above its 30 DMA…closed below its 20 and 50 DMA. The RUT fell below Thursday’s low…closed just above its 20 and 50 DMA and just below its 30 DMA. Stocks to Watch on Wednesday Have you been watching the number of stocks moving above and below the 30 DMA each day? If you have you might notice how this number in each direction expands and contracts near resistance and support levels. On Monday there was only one moving above and 17 moving below. Notice today’s numbers. Just a clue on why we have been including that number each day. Enjoy! Leading Stocks: Holding Above 30 DMA AYE…PCLN…BAP…PCR…JOSB…AMZN…BIIB…BYI…QSII…OI…FLS…BCO…MOS…ROST…AET…POT…UTX…CAM…CCC…CIR…CL…ESI…GES…JW.A…MYGN…ACL…DNA…HLF…OSIP…AGN…KEX…LAYN…RIO…SHW…AMED…BCR…CAM…FLIR…NGS…NOV…SPN…CTSH…K…NIHD…HP…ATW…GME…MON…RIMM…ICLR…SYNA…BLUD…CERN Moving Above 30 DMA = 10 FWLT…GILD…HDB…IIVI…JEC…LNN…MTD…RIG…SWN…VAR. Moving Below 30 DMA = 8 ADBE…APH…ATK…PCP…PETS…RTN…STRA…TEVA Staying Below 30 DMA GIS…PTNR…AXYS…URBN…SINA…PRGO…PPD…ESRX…CHTT…IRIS…ISRG…SPTN…CELG…ENDP…TECH…ANSS…CHU…EZPW…NILE…PSSI…PSYS…VIVO…WAB…JCOM…MCRS…NDAQ…AAPL…AFAM…AME…DLTR…EPR…FSTR…HAS…LFC…MMM…MTW…NE…NEU…RCI…SOHU…VIP…AMX…CBST…DECK…DV…FLR…MBT…SNA…VMI…WMS Tuesday’s Action Moving Up: MA, POT, SCHN, INFY, NUE, CNX, AEM, BTU, FWLT, NDAQ, ZION, AGU, X, ANR, ADM, CLF, CF Moving Down: FSLR, STRA, PNRA, PCLN Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral – DJIA, SPX, Nasdaq, RUT Short Term Market Trend: Down

Monday, January 12, 2009

Stocks Short Term Drop Continues

DJIA - 125.21, -1.46% SP500 - 20.09, -2.26% NASDAQ Comp. - 32.80, -2.09% Russell 2000 - 12.50, -2.60% Exchange NYSE NASD Advancing 899 684 Declining 2,880 2,121 Oil $37.59 -$3.24 Gold $820.30 -$34.00 SOX 209.09 -6.19 VIX 45.84 +3.02 The VIX confirmed the move down in the SPX on Monday. Friday’s VIX small rise did not indicate a Friday or Monday bottom. Strongest Sectors: XLU +0.04%...XLU +0.03%...XLV -1.30% Weakest Sectors: XLF -5.28%...XLB -4.16%...XLE -3.95% Sector Watch Up Trending: Sideways: XLE, XLP, XLU, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK, XLF Down Trending: The broad market indices continued their move towards horizontal support. Oil followed through on its bear flag and can potentially form a double bottom or W bottom. Gold fell forming a potential bull flag. As markets near support watch for a potential support bounce. Many of the leading stocks in our Stocks to Watch list are forming bull flag patterns. Index Commentary The DJIA formed a black candle as the index neared its Dec 29 low…closed below its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The SPX formed a black candle as it moved below its 30 and 50 DMA and near its Dec 29 low… closed below its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The Nasdaq formed a black candle as it moved below its 20, 30 and 50 DMA and 45 points above its Dec 29 horizontal support…closed below its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. Stocks to Watch on Tuesday Leading Stocks: Holding Above 30 DMA AYE…PCLN…BAP…PCR…ATK…RTN…JOSB…AMZN…BIIB…BYI…QSII…OI…FLS…BCO…MOS…ROST…AET…POT…UTX…APH…CAM…CCC…CIR…CL…ESI…GES…JW.A…MYGN…ACL…DNA…HLF…OSIP…AGN…KEX…LAYN…RIO…SHW…AMED…PETS…BCR…CAM…FLIR…NGS…NOV…SPN…CTSH…K…NIHD…PCP…HP…ADBE…ATW…GME…MON…RIMM…ICLR…SYNA…BLUD…STRA…TEVA Moving Above 30 DMA = 1 CERN Moving Below 30 DMA = 17 AMX…CBST…DECK…DV…FLR…FWLT…GILD…HDB…IIVI…JEC…LNN…MBT…RIG…SNA…SWN…VMI…WMS Staying Below 30 DMA GIS…PTNR…AXYS…URBN…MTD…SINA…PRGO…PPD…ESRX…CHTT…IRIS…ISRG…SPTN…CELG…ENDP…TECH…ANSS…CHU…EZPW…NILE…PSSI…PSYS…VIVO…WAB…JCOM…MCRS…NDAQ…AAPL…AFAM…AME…DLTR…EPR…FSTR…HAS…LFC…MMM…MTW…NE…NEU…RCI…SOHU…VIP Monday’s Action Moving Up: None Moving Down: FSLR, POT, GS, CF, X, MOS, AEM, PCLN, SOHU, NIHD, MON, AGU, SCHN, NUE, CNX, V, CLF, GDX, IPI, ANR, BTU, FWLT, GRMN, STRA, DRYS, ADM, MEE, KBE, KMT, SINA, ZION, KRE, COH, NDAQ, HANS Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral – DJIA, SPX, Nasdaq, RUT Short Term Market Trend: Down

Friday, January 9, 2009

Failure to Confirm Thursday's Candle Patterns

DJIA - 143.28, -1.64% SP500 - 19.38, -2.13% NASDAQ Comp. - 45.42, -2.81% Russell 2000 - 20.71, -4.13% Exchange NYSE NASD Advancing 1,157 720 Declining 2,645 2,080 Oil $40.83 -$0.87 Gold $854.30 +$0.40 SOX 215.28 -7.26 VIX 42.82 +0.61 The VIX moved up slightly confirming the move down in the SPX on Friday. There was, however, a disparity with the small rise in the VIX and the larger drop in the SPX, suggesting that the pull back was not accompanied by an similar increase in fear. We will see if this equates into a short-term bottom Friday or early next week. Strongest Sectors: XLU -0.78%...XLV -1.06%...XLP -1.71% Weakest Sectors: XLE -3.36%...XLF -3.18%...XLY -3.07% Sector Watch Up Trending: Sideways: XLE, XLP, XLU, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK, XLF Down Trending: The indices closed below Thursday's low on Friday. The indices are well above their late December lows so continue to watch for a potential support bounce and a higher low on Monday. Index Commentary The DJIA did not confirm Thursday’s hammer…closed just below its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The SPX did not confirm Thursday’s hammer… closed below its 20 DMA and above its 30 and 50 DMA. The Nasdaq did not confirm Thursday’s piercing line pattern…closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The RUT fell below Thursday’s low…closed below its 20 DMA and above its 30 and 50 DMA.

Stocks to Watch on Monday Leading Stocks: Holding Above 30 DMA AYE…PCLN…BAP…FLR…JEC…PCR…ATK…RTN…SNA…WMS…JOSB…AMZN…BIIB…BYI…HDB…FWLT…QSII…VMI…OI…FLS…BCO…MOS…ROST…AET…POT…UTX…APH…CAM…CCC…CIR…CL…DECK…ESI…GES…GILD…JW.A…MYGN…ACL…DNA…HLF…OSIP…AGN…KEX…LAYN…RIO…SHW…AMED…PETS…BCR…CAM…FLIR…NGS…NOV…SPN…CTSH…IIVI…K…NIHD…PCP…SWN…AMX…HP…ADBE…ATW…GME…MBT…MON…RIMM…LNN…RIG… ICLR…SYNA…CBST…BLUD Moving Above 30 DMA = 3 DV…STRA…TEVA Moving Below 30 DMA = 15 AAPL…AFAM…AME…DLTR…EPR…FSTR…HAS…LFC…MMM…MTW…NE…NEU…RCI…SOHU…VIP Staying Below 30 DMA GIS…PTNR…AXYS…URBN…MTD…SINA…PRGO…PPD…ESRX…CHTT…IRIS…ISRG…SPTN…CELG…ENDP…TECH…ANSS…CHU…EZPW…NILE…PSSI…PSYS…VIVO…WAB… CERN…JCOM…MCRS…NDAQ Friday’s Action Moving Up: STRA, FSLR, DRYS, Moving Down: AFAM, COH, ESRX, MA, SCHN, X, GS, ANR, ONXX, MON, PCLN, CLF, KRE, NUE, CNX, SINA, SOHU, MOS, KBE, NIHD, CF, PNRA Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral – DJIA, SPX, Nasdaq, RUT Short Term Market Trend: Down

Thursday, January 8, 2009

Downward Momentum Stops, Stocks Bounce in Pullback

DJIA - 27.24, -0.31% SP500 + 3.08, +0.34% NASDAQ Comp. + 17.95, +1.12% Russell 2000 + 4.91, +0.99% Exchange NYSE NASD Advancing 2,300 1,702 Declining 1,487 1,087 Oil $41.70 -$0.93 Gold $853.90 +$12.80 SOX 222.54 -0.58 VIX 42.56 -1.91 The VIX moved down confirming the move up in the SPX on Thursday. Strongest Sectors: XLB +1.40%...XLE +1.29%...XLI +0.98% Weakest Sectors: XLP -1.31%...XLU -0.51%...XLF -0.42% Sector Watch Up Trending: Sideways: XLE, XLP, XLU, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK, XLF Down Trending: Stocks indices found support buying near their 20 DMA today. The fact that the indices found buyers after just a one day pull back at or above key moving averages, which respresent a higher low, suggests big money sees this market going higher. Watch for confirmation of today's bullish patterns on the indices on Friday. Index Commentary The DJIA formed a hammer after a one day pull back…bounced off and closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The SPX formed a hammer…bounced off its 20 DMA and closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The Nasdaq formed a piercing line pattern after a one day pullback…closed above its Dec 9 resistance high and it 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The RUT formed small white spinning top after a one day pull back…closed above its Dec 19 resistance high and it 20, 30 and 50 DMA. Stocks to Watch on Friday Leading Stocks: Holding Above 30 DMA AYE…PCLN…BAP…FLR…JEC…PCR…ATK…RTN…SNA…WMS…HAS…JOSB…AMZN…BIIB…BYI…HDB…LFC…FWLT…MTW…QSII…VMI…OI…FLS…BCO…MOS…ROST…AET…POT…UTX…APH…CAM…CCC…CIR…CL…DECK…EPR…ESI…GES…GILD…JW.A…MYGN…ACL…DNA…HLF…OSIP…AGN…KEX…LAYN…RCI…NEU…RIO…SHW…AMED…PETS…SOHU…BCR…CAM…FLIR…NGS…NOV…SPN…CTSH…FSTR…IIVI…K…NIHD…PCP…SWN…AMX…HP…ADBE…AME…ATW…GME…MBT…MON…NE…RIMM…AFAM…LNN…RIG… ICLR…SYNA…CBST…DLTR Moving Above 30 DMA = 4 AAPL…BLUD…MMM…VIP Moving Below 30 DMA = 4 CERN…JCOM…MCRS…NDAQ Staying Below 30 DMA GIS…PTNR…AXYS…URBN…MTD…SINA…PRGO…PPD…ESRX…STRA… CHTT…DV…IRIS…ISRG…SPTN…CELG…ENDP…TECH…TEVA…ANSS…CHU…EZPW…NILE…PSSI…PSYS…VIVO…WAB Thursday’s Action Moving Up: FSLR, STRA, AEM, DRYS, SCHN, PCLN, GDX, ANR, MOS, FWLT, BTU, X, CNX, CF, NIHD, PNRA, NUE, ONXX, MS, MA, UAUA, GS, POT, MEE Moving Down: MON, AFAM, NDAQ, AGU, SINA, LAMR Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral – DJIA, SPX, Nasdaq, RUT Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

Wednesday, January 7, 2009

Indices Fall to Moving Average Support

DJIA - 245.40, -2.72% SP500 - 28.05, -3.00% NASDAQ Comp. - 53.32, -3.23% Russell 2000 - 17.61, -3.42% Exchange NYSE NASD Advancing 813 754 Declining 2,997 2,071 Oil $42.63 -$5.95 Gold $841.10 -$24.30 SOX 223.12 -11.44 VIX 43.39 +4.83 The VIX moved up confirming the move down in the SPX on Tuesday. Strongest Sectors: XLU -0.81%...XLV -0.91%...XLP -1.00% Weakest Sectors: XLF -5.22%...XLI -4.47%...XLE -4.24% Sector Watch Up Trending: Sideways: XLE, XLP, XLU, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK, XLF Down Trending: Wednesday was a sell signal for many short-term traders as indices and many stocks broke below the low of the high day of the recent short-term up trend of the last five trading days. This type of price action can be either a sell signal for short-term bullish trades or an entry signal for short-term bearish trades. Oil moved lower as did commodity related stocks like coal and Ag-related. Gold stocks sold off as well. Since the broad indices and sectors are in intermediate term sideways trends a pull back from resistance is not unexpected after the last two days of small spinning tops. All nine sector ETFs moved lower today. If leading stocks stay above support and form a higher low in their recent up trend from the November lows, view this pull back as a potential entry opportunity for up trending stocks as they near support. Index Commentary The DJIA formed a large black candle closing below Tuesday’s (high day) low…closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The SPX formed a large black candle closing below Tuesday’s (high day)…confirmed Monday’s bearish harami…closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA.
(click image to enlarge)
ProphetCharts
The Nasdaq gapped down from Tuesday’s (high day) low….confirmed Monday’s bearish harami…closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The RUT formed a large black candle closing below Tuesday’s (high day) low…closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. Stocks to Watch on Thursday Leading Stocks: Holding Above 30 DMA AYE…PCLN…BAP…FLR…JCOM…JEC…PCR…ATK…RTN…SNA…WMS…HAS…JOSB…AMZN…BIIB…BYI…HDB…LFC…CERN…FWLT…MTW…QSII…VMI…OI…FLS…BCO…MOS…NDAQ…ROST…AET…POT…UTX…APH…CAM…CCC…CIR…CL…DECK…EPR…ESI…GES…GILD…JW.A…MYGN…ACL…DNA…HLF…OSIP…AGN…KEX…LAYN…RCI…NEU…RIO…SHW…AMED…PETS…SOHU…BCR…CAM…FLIR…NGS…NOV…SPN…CTSH…FSTR…IIVI…K…MCRS…NIHD…PCP…SWN…AMX…HP…ADBE…AME…ATW…GME…MBT…MON…NE…RIMM…AFAM…LNN…RIG… ICLR…SYNA Moving Above 30 DMA = 2 CBST…DLTR Moving Below 30 DMA = 12 AAPL…ANSS…BLUD…CHU…EZPW…MMM…NILE…PSSI…PSYS…VIP…VIVO…WAB Staying Below 30 DMA GIS…PTNR…AXYS…URBN…MTD…SINA…PRGO…PPD…ESRX…STRA… CHTT…DV…IRIS…ISRG…SPTN… CELG…ENDP…TECH…TEVA Wednesday’s Action Moving Up: MON, AFAM Moving Down: MA, CNX, FSLR, AEM, GS, SCHN, PCLN, KMT, BTU, X, MEE, FWLT, ANR, GDX, ZION, PNRA, NDAQ, AGU, KBE, CLF, CF, NUE, SOHU, ESRX, MS, KRE, V, LAMR, ONXX, BRC, RF, HANS, JASO, POT Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral – DJIA, SPX, Nasdaq, RUT Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

Tuesday, January 6, 2009

Stocks Inch Up On Tuesday

DJIA + 62.21, +0.69% SP500 + 7.25, +0.78% NASDAQ Comp. + 24.35, +1.50% Russell 2000 + 9.68, +1.92% Exchange NYSE NASD Advancing 2,961 2,049 Declining 869 792 Oil $48.58 -$0.23 Gold $865.40 +$8.20 SOX 234.56 +11.27 VIX 38.56 -0.52 The VIX moved down confirming the move up in the SPX on Tuesday. Strongest Sectors: XLK +2.32%...XLB +2.24%...XLI +2.20% Weakest Sectors: XLV -1.63%...XLP -1.48%...XLU -1.43% Sector Watch Up Trending: Sideways: XLE, XLP, XLU, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK, XLF Down Trending: From day to day over the next several weeks we will be adding some very exciting and positive features to Chart Signals so stay tuned and check back regularly. Real-Time Virtual Trade Review Many of you are aware of the real-time virtual trades that we do in our webcasts. This week I will be reviewing these in greater detail. As of today's close this is the status of the following trades: (Click images to enlarge) Dec 10 - Buy Jan 70 calls 2.85, today's close 9.20 + 222% Dec 23 - Buy Jan 50 calls 1.50, today's close 4.90 +222%
Dec 24 Buy Jan 45 calls 7.70, today's close 12.47 +61%
Dec 30 Buy stock 6.62, today's close 7.64 + 15.4%
ProphetCharts
Index Commentary The DJIA formed a small spinning top that did not confirm Monday’s bearish harami…closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The SPX formed a small spinning top that did not confirm Monday’s bearish harami…closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The Nasdaq formed a small spinning top that was a new high close…its highest close since Nov. 5…closed above its Dec 9 resistance high and it 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The RUT formed small white candle that was a new high close…highest close since Nov. 4…closed above its Dec 19 resistance high and it 20, 30 and 50 DMA. Stocks to Watch on Wednesday Leading Stocks: Holding Above 30 DMA AYE…PCLN…BAP…FLR…JCOM…JEC…PCR…ATK…RTN…SNA…WMS…HAS…JOSB…AMZN…BIIB…BYI…HDB…LFC…PSSI…CERN…FWLT…MTW…QSII…VMI…OI…FLS…BCO…MOS…NDAQ…ROST…VIVO…AET…POT…UTX…APH…CAM…CCC…CIR…CL…DECK…EPR…ESI…GES…GILD…JW.A…MYGN…ACL…BLUD…DNA…HLF…OSIP…AGN…KEX…LAYN…RCI…NEU…PSYS…RIO…SHW…AMED…PETS…SOHU…BCR…CAM…FLIR…NGS…NOV…SPN…WAB…CTSH…FSTR…IIVI…K…MCRS…NIHD…PCP…SWN…AMX…HP…ADBE…AME…ANSS…ATW…CHU…GME…MBT…MON…NE…NILE…RIMM…AAPL…AFAM…EZPW…LNN…RIG…VIP Moving Above 30 DMA = 3 ICLR…MMM…SYNA Moving Below 30 DMA = 6 CBST…CELG…DLTR…ENDP…TECH…TEVA Staying Below 30 DMA GIS…PTNR…AXYS…URBN…MTD…SINA…PRGO…PPD…ESRX…STRA… CHTT…DV…IRIS…ISRG…SPTN Tuesday’s Action Moving Up: MA, V, PCLN, SCHN, ONXX, ANR, BTU, MS, NIHD, LAMR, CNX, POT, MEE, BRCM, CLF, AEM, ZION, MOS, AFAM, GDX, LCC Moving Down: STRA, FSLR, NUE, CF, SOHU, MON, ADM, GRMN, NDAQ Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral – DJIA, SPX, Nasdaq, RUT Short Term Market Trend: Up

Monday, January 5, 2009

Markets Pause After Three White Soldiers

DJIA - 81.80, -0.91% SP500 - 4.35, -0.47% NASDAQ Comp. - 4.18, -0.26% Russell 2000 - 0.81, -0.16% Exchange NYSE NASD Advancing 2,481 1,542 Declining 1,358 1,299 Oil $48.81 +$2.47 Gold $857.20 -$21.60 SOX 223.29 +0.62 VIX 39.08 -0.11 The VIX moved down and did NOT confirm the move down in the SPX on Monday. Strongest Sectors: XLE +2.35%...XLU +1.41%...XLP +0.41% Weakest Sectors: XLF -1.66%...XLI -0.78%...XLV -0.48% Sector Watch Up Trending: Sideways: XLE, XLP, XLU, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK, XLF Down Trending: Index Commentary The DJIA formed a bearish harami after a three white soldiers pattern…closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The SPX formed a bearish harami after a three white soldiers pattern…closed above its Dec 8 resistance high and it 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The Nasdaq formed a bearish harami after a three white soldiers pattern…closed above its Dec 9 resistance high and it 20, 30 and 50 DMA. The RUT formed a doji bearish harami after a three white soldiers pattern…closed above its Dec 19 resistance high and it 20, 30 and 50 DMA. Stocks to Watch on Tuesday Leading Stocks: Holding Above 30 DMA AYE…PCLN…BAP…DLTR…FLR…JCOM…JEC…PCR…ATK…RTN...SNA…WMS…HAS…JOSB…AMZN…BIIB…BYI…HDB…LFC…PSSI…CERN…FWLT…MTW…QSII…VMI…OI…FLS…BCO…MOS...NDAQ…ROST…VIVO…AET…POT...UTX…APH…CCC…CIR…CL…DECK…EPR…ESI…GES…GILD…JW.A…MYGN…ACL…BLUD…DNA…HLF…OSIP…AGN…WCG...KEX…LAYN…RCI…CELG…NEU…PSYS…RIO…SHW…AMED…PETS…SOHU…BCR…CAM…FLIR…NGS…NOV…SPN…WAB…CTSH…FSTR…IIVI…K…MCRS…NIHD…PCP…SWN… AMX…CBST…HP…TECH…TEVA…ADBE…AME…ANSS…ATW…CHU…GME…MBT…MON…NE…NILE…RIMM Moving Above 30 DMA = 6 AAPL…AFAM…EZPW…LNN…RIG…VIP Moving Below 30 DMA = 6 CHTT…DV…IRIS…ISRG…MMM…SPTN Staying Below 30 DMA GIS…AXYS…URBN…MTD…ICLR…SINA…PRGO…PPD…ESRX…STRA Monday’s Action Moving Up: FSLR, POT, MA, CF, CNX, GS, BTU, ANR, FWLT, AFAM, CLF, AGU, MEE, MOS, INFY Moving Down: STRA, PCLN, GDX, AEM, KRE, KMT, NUE, KBE, SCHN Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral – DJIA, SPX, Nasdaq, RUT Short Term Market Trend: Up

Friday, January 2, 2009

New Year Starts With a Big Move Up

DJIA + 258.30, +2.94% SP500 + 28.55, +3.16% NASDAQ Comp. + 55.18, +3.50% Russell 2000 + 6.39, +1.28% Exchange NYSE NASD Advancing 3,073 2,094 Declining 707 754 Oil $46.34 +$1.74 Gold $878.80 -$4.80 SOX 221.74 +9.74 VIX 39.19 -0.81 The VIX moved down confirming the rise in the SPX on Wednesday; however the VIX rose from its low of the day going into the close. Strongest Sectors: XLY +5.01%...XLE +4.98%...XLK +3.76% Weakest Sectors: XLF +1.12%...XLP +1.42%...XLV +2.03% Sector Watch Up Trending: Sideways: XLE, XLP, XLU, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK, XLF Down Trending: The first day of the new year was up. Some have been quoting research that since 1972 over 90% of the time when the first trading day of January is an up day the year is an up year. What that statistic doesn't reveal is what is the range of returns for those up years, do those up years experience any draw downs or how much does an up year pull back from its peak, along with a host of other statistical measurements that any good quant (quantitative analyst) would want to know. Don't misunderstand...we posted on October 10 the question..."does this finally mark the beginning of the end of the down trend? So far the technical evidence has been indicating this to be the case. While there likely were others, we're not aware of anyone else who on that early date was able to discern the technicals pointing to a potential bottom and change of trend. Whether the trend is up, sideways or down in 2009 a trader has the potential to make money when they focus on the actual technicals of trend, support and resistance and momentum, while following a proven strategy consistently; buying when they are supposed to buy and selling when they are supposed to sell, using sound risk management techniques and continually exercising discipline. We recently read one trader's opinion that he didn't believe the bear market was over and gave a list of isolated factors to support his opinion. Everyone is entitled to their opinion and certainly in the investment industry there is no end to opinions, many of which are free. We are always dismayed when skilled technicans, mediocre technicians, pretended technicians and those who don't even pretend to have technical proficiency state their opinion about the future as if they know the future. Many traders fall into the trap of believing opinions supported by a list of technical factors because of the list. We are espeically humored by predictions of the future that use the word "probability" as nothing more than a code word for their opinion. This is easily detected when they predict a future occurence weeks or months away as a high probability but offer no valid sample size for their opinion, generally accepted technical patterns or they predict a technical pattern that hasn't even formed yet. Also if you find the phrases "I think, we think, etc." in the place of valid technical observations these can also tip you off to it being a guess rather than a valid technical forecast. We share these observations because many people like to take short cuts in their trading and rely on pubicly available opinions or guesses and then wonder why their trading doesn't deliver the positive results they had desired. The beginning of the New Year is a time when many can get side tracked by all the guesses and opinions. Dave's Insight: Don't waste your time with people's opinions. Nobody has a crystal ball even if they are on tv, have a website or write an email. Trade trend, support and resistance and momentum. When people's opinions fail and they eventually do, one can still make money when they trade the markets and not people's thoughts about the market.

An observation about our Stocks to Watch list which we have been posting on during the past few weeks. This list has 120 stocks with good growth fundamentals. During the past 6 trading days, 41 of these stocks have risen above their 30 DMA. A few weeks ago just a few stocks were above their 30 DMA. As of Friday, only 18 of the 120 are below their 30 DMA. Continue to enjoy the list and watch for trading signals as they appear on the charts.

Stocks to Watch on Monday Leading Stocks: Holding Above 30 DMA AYE…PCLN…BAP…DLTR…FLR…JCOM…JEC…PCR…ATK…B…IRIS…SNA…WMS…HAS…JOSB…AMZN…BIIB…BYI…HDB…LFC…PSSI…CERN…FWLT…MTW…QSII…VMI…OI…FLS…BCO…NDAQ…ROST…VIVO…AET…UTX…APH…CAM…CCC…CIR…CL…DECK…DV…EPR…ESI…GES…GILD…JW.A…MYGN…NOV…ACL…BLUD…DNA…HLF…OSIP…AGN…KEX…LAYN…RCI…CELG…NEU…PSYS…RIO…SHW…AMED…PETS…SOHU…SPTN BCR…CAM…FLIR…NGS…NOV…SPN…WAB…CHTT…CTSH…FSTR…IIVI…K…MCRS…NIHD…PCP…SWN… AMX…CBST…HP…TECH…TEVA Moving Above 30 DMA = 13 ADBE…AME…ANSS…ATW…CHU…GME…ISRG…MBT…MMM…MON…NE…NILE…RIMM Moving Below 30 DMA = 2 AFAM…STRA Staying Below 30 DMA GIS…PTNR…AXYS…URBN…MTD…ICLR…LNN...AAPL…SINA…EZPW…PRGO…PPD…ESRX

Friday’s Action Moving Up: FSLR, MA, POT, CF, CLF, CNX, PCLN, MON, NIHD, GRMN, SCHN, MEE, GS, BTU, X, AGU, MOS, ANR, NUE, HANS, FWLT, NDAQ, ESRX, KMT, PNRA, LAMR, COH, SOHU, SINA, V, MS, UAUA, EBAY Moving Down: AFAM, STRA Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral – DJIA, SPX, Nasdaq, RUT Short Term Market Trend: Up