Monday, May 11, 2015

Stock End Lower...Overall Stock Volume Lower Than Normal...RAX Falls In Extended Hours Trading Down 13.01% After Revenue & Outlook Falls Below Street Estimates...

Only one out of nine sectors moved higher on Monday…XLV, XLI and XLF were the strongest sectors and XLE was the weakest.
 
Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 1.83 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.10 to 1 on the NASDAQ where advancers led decliners.

Monday – mixed, mixed
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – strengthened, decliners led
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
                                                                                                                                        

SPY down 1.02 at 210.60 on 75.5 million shares
VIX up .99 at 13.85…
TNX up 1.24 at 22.74…
TLT down 2.98 at 119.53…
XLF down .09 at 24.67 on 31.1 million shares

AAPL down 1.30 at 126.32 on 41.95 million shares
FB down .50 at 78.01 on 18.8 million shares


Technical Commentary:
IWM +0.06%, QQQ -0.39%, DIA -0.42%, SPY -0.48%.



Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 211.40, 212.48...
QQQ = 109.91, 111.16
IWM = 123.44, 125.55, 127.13…

Support Levels
SPY = 207.62, 205.39...
QQQ = 107.06, 106.50, 105.55…
IWM = 120.66, 119.47...


Earnings Week of April 27AAPL, CHRW, AET, COH, F, GLW, PFE, UPS, VLO, AKAM, ESRX, VRSK, WDC, WHR, WYNN, GPRO, GRMN, MDLZ, SLCA, SWI, TPX, X, BIDU, MAR, NXPI, VRTX, CAH, LLL, XOM, YELP, ADP, AVP, CELG, TASR, VIAB, UPL, AIG, CME, EXPE, FEYE, FSLR, LNKD, SWKS, V, GILD, CVX, MCO, WY
Earnings Week of May 4 – CMCSA, CTSH, DO, HSIC, APC, DVA, EOG, XEC, ADM, CAR, DIS, DISCA, DTV, HCA, ICE, K, NBL, SFUN, ALL, CTRP, DVN, EA, FISV, FOSL, FTR, HLF, LC, NFX, NWSA, PXD, SCTY, Z, CHK, DDD, EXPD, ATVI, CF, FOXA, GMCR, MET, MRO, PRU, RIG, TSLA, WFM, APA, BABA, BDX, GOGO, PCLN, REGN, SIAL, SUNE, CA, CBS, CERN, CSIQ, CYBR, LBTYA, MCHP, MNST, NVDA, SPWR, UBNT, ZNGA, ZU, JD, LMCA, TGI, AOL,
Earnings Week of May 11- TSL, CTRP, DGLY, VSLR, JASO, JCP, JUNO, LOCO, MBLY, NTES, RAX, SINA, YOKU, KNDI, SSYS, VJET, XONE, YY,


Q1 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – SUNE, DATA, CYBR, BABA, CSIQ, ZNGA, JD, MCHP, REGN, SPWR, ATVI, CA, EA, EXPD, CF, FISV, HLF, LC, PRU, SCTY, TSLA, CTSH, DO, HSIC, ICE, MNK, EL,
OCN, MRC, SWKS, TER, EXPE, TASR, AET, AIG, CME, F, FEYE,  GILD, LEG, LYV, MDLZ, NXPI, SLCA, TDS, TPX, UPL, UPS, VRSK, WY, AMZN, MSFT, JNPR, SBUX, GOOGL, CVX, AAL, CTXS, CAM, EBAY, FFIV, ORLY, SWK, T, ALTR, BAX, BRCM, DOW, EMC, HP, ILMN, KO, MCD, NDAQ, YUM, ABT, ATI, LRCX, PCAR, ARMH, AMGN, HAS, CHKP, HAL, MS, STI, NFLX, CE, MAT, C, DAL, FAST, INTC, JPM, LLTC, STZ, WBA, KMX, DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, KBH, MFRM, NKE,

More than 10% - DATA, SUNE, ZU, AOL, HLF, TGI, GPRO, OCN, MRC, TER, AMZN, MSFT, ATI, HAS, NFLX, CE, DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, 

Negative Reactions – MNST, NVDA, APA, CERN, WFM, GMCR, PCLN, LBTYA, CHK, DDD, FOXA, GOGO, MRO, NWSA, ALL, FOSL, FTR, NFX, Z, PXD, APC, CAR, DISCA, DTV, DVA, EOG, HCA, K, NBL, SFUN, XEC, NSM, AVP, ZU,
AAPL, AKAM, ATHN, BIDU, CAH, CELG, CHRW, COH, ESRX, FSLR, GLW, GRMN, LLL, MAR, PFE, SWI, TWTR, V, VIAB, VLO, WDC, WHR, HBI, BIIB, STT, TXN, XLNX, MMM, SRCL, SWN, ALXN, CMG, CREE, DHR, FB, FCX, HSY, ISRG, KLAC, PEP, PG, BA, HOG, TRV, UA, UNP, URI, YHOO, DD, BHI, RCL, AXP, BAC, GS, JNJ, SNDK, AA, BBBY, MU, GME, YOKU, XONE, 

More than -10% - MNST, FTR, NSM, AVP, LNKD, YELP, TWTR, X, WYNN, NOW, AMD, YOKU, 

Reversal in progress – AXP, DHR, ESRX, GRMN, GS, PEP, VLO, YHOO,

Reversal of Initial Reaction – AA, AKAM, BAC, BHI, CELG, DD, FCX, GME, JNJ, KLAC, MU, STT, SWN, URI, V, WDC, YOKU, XLNX, XONE, ZU


The SPX Market Forecast is slightly pointed down at 62.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: SPY, BAC, C, CIEN, CSIQ (long term), FAS, HPQ, MBLY, MS (long term), NTES, SINA, SOHU, STI, SVXY, VSLR, YY, ZNGA, ADBE, AKAM, XLNX,
Diagonal Breakout: QQQ, DAL, GME, QIHU, Z, ANR, WLT, XONE, AVGO, GRMN, ILMN, ROST, TRIP,   
Bull Flag: CRM,  
Potential Bullish Divergence:    
Gap Up
Gap Down:
Bear Flag: 
At Support: NTAP,  
C- Pattern:  

Moves
New Highs: ETFC, EXPE, SCHW, SUNE, EA, NFLX,  
H Breakout: BBRY, CSIQ,  
D Breakout: CMGE, JD, TSL, TAN,  
Breakout Test: 
Bull Flag Bounce: DGLY, GOGO, SFUN, TASR,  
Bounce: BBRY, LC, UBNT, DAVE, MNST, MU,  
MACD Divergence Bounce:
Gap Up: JASO,  
Gap Down:  
C- Pattern:   
Bear Flag:
Support Break: TLT,  
______________________


31 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Monday and two were unchanged.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: MNST, NFLX, MU, GRMN, VOD, LRCX, AAL, TSLA, AMAT, EA

Lagging NDX stocks included: WYNN, VRTX, VIP, NTAP, DISCA, CA, ATVI, BBBY, PCLN, VIAB

Leading stocks > +2% on Monday: Z, UBNT, SFUN, BBRY, DGLY, X, CSIQ, TASR, LOCO, LC, GOGO, QIHU, JCP, JASO, VXX, SCHW, ETFC, ATI, JD

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: UPL, TPX, CYBR, SVXY, GPRO, YELP, TLT

Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 47
SIAL, XLNX, CTRX, MDLZ, CTXS, TSLA, MYL, DTV, NFLX, SBUX, PCAR, STX, VOD, MAT, AKAM, CSCO, INTC ,SYMC, AMZN, EA, MSFT, BRCM, LRCX, FAST, INTU, ALTR, SPLS, REGN, ATVI, CHKP, EXPD, ILMN, ADP, EBAY, FISV, LVNTA, NXPI, ORLY, PAYX, QCOM, VRTX, ADBE, CTSH, GILD, KLAC, SNDK, VRSK

Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
AAL, ESRX, GRMN                                        
                                                                                                                                                                        
Moving Below 30 DMA = 7
AAP. AMGN, LLTC, MAR, TRIP, VRTX, WDC


Staying Below 30 DMA
LBTYA, MNST, NVDA, PCLN, MU, DISCA, ADI, CHTR, CMCSA, ESRX, FOXA, HSIC, LMCA, NTAP, VIAB, GMCR, SIRI, KRFT, VIP, BIDU, CA, COOG, TSCO, AAL, CERN, GRMN, WYNN, ADSK, CELG, SBAC, ALXN, BIIB, FB, SRCL, AVGO, ISRG, TXN, YHOO, WBA, DLTR, BBBY, COST, ROST, CHRW, AMAT, DISH, WFM

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral