Tuesday, May 12, 2015

Consolidation Continues Near Record Highs as Earnings Season Winds Down....GPRO Rallies...

Eight of nine sectors moved lower on Tuesday…XLE, XLI and XLU were the strongest sectors and XLB was the weakest.  Bonds TLT rose 31 cents.
 
Breadth strengthened as decliners led advancers 1.22 to 1 on the NYSE and weakened 1.30 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Tuesday – mixed, decliners led
Monday – mixed, mixed
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – strengthened, decliners led
                                                                                                                                        

SPY down .62 at 209.98 on 119.7 million shares, 31% above average volume
VIX up .01 at 13.86…
TNX down .14 at 22.60…
TLT up .31 at 119.84…
XLF down .09 at 24.56 on 39.6 million shares, 56% above average volume

AAPL down .46 at 125.60 on 48.1 million shares, 2% above average volume
FB down .55 at 77.46 on 21.2 million shares, 10% below average volume

Technical Commentary:
IWM -0.18%, DIA -0.20%, SPY -0.30%, QQQ -0.45%.

Energy stocks rallied on Tuesday led by RIG, NE, ESV, CAM, DO, EQT, DOG, SWN, XEC, CHK, DVN, RRC, and QEP.

Semiconductor stocks pulled back led by SUNE, MU, NXPI, LRCX, MXIM, SNDK, FSL, KLAC, ARMH, INTC and TER.

GPRO +0.72, +1.47% rallies day after fund reports reducing position.

Look to strong trending stocks for bullish trades and sideways trends for premium selling opportunities as consolidation continues.


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 211.40, 212.48...
QQQ = 109.91, 111.16
IWM = 123.44, 125.55, 127.13…

Support Levels
SPY = 207.62, 205.39...
QQQ = 107.06, 106.50, 105.55…
IWM = 120.66, 119.47...


Earnings Week of May 4 – CMCSA, CTSH, DO, HSIC, APC, DVA, EOG, XEC, ADM, CAR, DIS, DISCA, DTV, HCA, ICE, K, NBL, SFUN, ALL, CTRP, DVN, EA, FISV, FOSL, FTR, HLF, LC, NFX, NWSA, PXD, SCTY, Z, CHK, DDD, EXPD, ATVI, CF, FOXA, GMCR, MET, MRO, PRU, RIG, TSLA, WFM, APA, BABA, BDX, GOGO, PCLN, REGN, SIAL, SUNE, CA, CBS, CERN, CSIQ, CYBR, LBTYA, MCHP, MNST, NVDA, SPWR, UBNT, ZNGA, ZU, JD, LMCA, TGI, AOL,
Earnings Week of May 11- CTRP, DGLY, VSLR, JASO, JCP, JUNO, LOCO, MBLY, NTES, RAX, SINA, YOKU, KNDI, SSYS, VJET, XONE, YY,


Q1 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – MBLY,
SUNE, DATA, CYBR, BABA, CSIQ, ZNGA, JD, MCHP, REGN, SPWR, ATVI, CA, EA, EXPD, CF, FISV, HLF, LC, PRU, SCTY, TSLA, CTSH, DO, HSIC, ICE, MNK, EL,
OCN, MRC, SWKS, TER, EXPE, TASR, AET, AIG, CME, F, FEYE,  GILD, LEG, LYV, MDLZ, NXPI, SLCA, TDS, TPX, UPL, UPS, VRSK, WY, AMZN, MSFT, JNPR, SBUX, GOOGL, CVX, AAL, CTXS, CAM, EBAY, FFIV, ORLY, SWK, T, ALTR, BAX, BRCM, DOW, EMC, HP, ILMN, KO, MCD, NDAQ, YUM, ABT, ATI, LRCX, PCAR, ARMH, AMGN, HAS, CHKP, HAL, MS, STI, NFLX, CE, MAT, C, DAL, FAST, INTC, JPM, LLTC, STZ, WBA, KMX, DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, KBH, MFRM, NKE,

More than 10% - DATA, SUNE, ZU, AOL, HLF, TGI, GPRO, OCN, MRC, TER, AMZN, MSFT, ATI, HAS, NFLX, CE, DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, 

Negative Reactions – RAX, YY, KNDI,
ALL, APA, APC, AVP, CAR, CERN, CHK, DISCA, DTV, DVA, DDD, EOG, FOSL, FOXA, FTR, GMCR, GOGO, HCA, K, LBTYA, MNST, MRO, NBL, NSM, NVDA, NWSA, NFX, PXD, SFUN, WFM, XEC, Z, ZU,
AAPL, AKAM, ATHN, BIDU, CAH, CELG, CHRW, COH, ESRX, FSLR, GLW, GRMN, LLL, MAR, PFE, SWI, TWTR, V, VIAB, VLO, WDC, WHR, HBI, BIIB, STT, TXN, XLNX, MMM, SRCL, SWN, ALXN, CMG, CREE, DHR, FB, FCX, HSY, ISRG, KLAC, PEP, PG, BA, HOG, TRV, UA, UNP, URI, YHOO, DD, BHI, RCL, AXP, BAC, GS, JNJ, SNDK, AA, BBBY, MU, GME, YOKU, XONE, 

More than -10% - RAX, MNST, FTR, NSM, AVP, LNKD, YELP, TWTR, X, WYNN, NOW, AMD, YOKU, 

Reversal in progress – AXP, DHR, ESRX, GRMN, GS, PEP, VLO, X, YHOO,

Reversal of Initial Reaction – AA, AKAM, BAC, BHI, CELG, DD, FCX, GME, JNJ, KLAC, MU, STT, SWN, URI, V, WDC, YOKU, XLNX, XONE, ZU


The SPX Market Forecast is pointed up at 64.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: IWM, SPWR, STI, ADBE, EA, GILD, TRIP,
Diagonal Breakout: GPRO, PANW, SVXY, SWKS, AMZN, AVGO, EBAY, INTC, MSFT, SBUX,
Bull Flag:  AA, AIG, AMBA, BABA, CCL, CRM, MS, NCLH, NKE, SPLK, SUNE, UPL, YELP, BRCM,
Potential Bullish Divergence: COST
Gap Down: VSLR  
At Support: FB, GOOGL, MU, STX, TXN, WDC  

Moves
New Highs: TSLA,
H Breakout: RIG, X
Breakout Test: ATI, CSIQ, ETFC, EXPE, SCTY,
Bull Flag Bounce: TASR, DO,
Bounce: ZION
Gap Down: RAX, YY
______________________


26 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday and one was unchanged.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: VIP, DISCA, TSLA, DTV, FAST, NVDA, GILD, CA, SRCL, YHOO

Lagging NDX stocks included: MU, MAT, MYL, NXPI, LRCX, GRMN, WYNN, SNDK, AAL, MNST

Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday: DGLY, SLCA, UPL, UNG, CTRP

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: RAX, YY, CYBR, SFUN, JD, SUNE, QIHU, BBRY, HPQ, SINA

Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 44
SIAL, XLNX, CTRX, MDLZ, CTXS, TSLA, MYL, DTV, NFLX, SBUX, PCAR, STX, VOD, MAT, AKAM, CSCO, INTC ,SYMC, AMZN, EA, MSFT, BRCM, LRCX, FAST, INTU, ALTR, SPLS, REGN, ATVI, CHKP, EXPD, ILMN, ADP, EBAY, FISV, NXPI, ORLY, PAYX, QCOM, VRTX, ADBE, CTSH, GILD, VRSK

Moving Above 30 DMA = 0
                                        
            
Moving Below 30 DMA = 6
AAL, ESRX, GRMN, KLAC, LVNTA, SNDK

Staying Below 30 DMA
AAPL. AMGN, LLTC, MAR, TRIP, VRTX, WDC, LBTYA, MNST, NVDA, PCLN, MU, DISCA, ADI, CHTR, CMCSA, ESRX, FOXA, HSIC, LMCA, NTAP, VIAB, GMCR, SIRI, KRFT, VIP, BIDU, CA, COOG, TSCO, AAL, CERN, GRMN, WYNN, ADSK, CELG, SBAC, ALXN, BIIB, FB, SRCL, AVGO, ISRG, TXN, YHOO, WBA, DLTR, BBBY, COST, ROST, CHRW, AMAT, DISH, WFM

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral