Friday, May 8, 2015

SPX Near All-time Closing High as Financial Stocks Breakout...

All nine sectors moved higher on Friday…XLE, XLV and XLB were the strongest sectors and XLU was the weakest.
 
Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 4.13 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.67 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – strengthened, decliners led
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – weakened slightly, advancers led
                                                                                                                                        

SPY up 2.75 at 211.62 on 155.8 million shares, 70% above average volume
VIX down 2.27 at 12.86…
TNX down .34 at 21.50…
TLT up 0.33 at 122.51…
XLF up .35 at 24.76 on 33.0 million shares, 33% above average volume

AAPL up 2.36 at 127.62 on 55.5 million shares, 17% above average volume
FB up .09 at 78.51 on 19.9 million shares, 16% below average volume


Technical Commentary:
DIA +1.43%, SPY +1.32%, QQQ +1.25%, IWM + 0.75%.






Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 211.40, 212.48...
QQQ = 109.91, 111.16
IWM = 123.44, 125.55, 127.13…

Support Levels
SPY = 207.62, 205.39...
QQQ = 107.06, 106.50, 105.55…
IWM = 120.66, 119.47...


Earnings Week of April 27AAPL, CHRW, AET, COH, F, GLW, PFE, UPS, VLO, AKAM, ESRX, VRSK, WDC, WHR, WYNN, GPRO, GRMN, MDLZ, SLCA, SWI, TPX, X, BIDU, MAR, NXPI, VRTX, CAH, LLL, XOM, YELP, ADP, AVP, CELG, TASR, VIAB, UPL, AIG, CME, EXPE, FEYE, FSLR, LNKD, SWKS, V, GILD, CVX, MCO, WY,
Earnings Week of May 4 – CMCSA, CTSH, DO, HSIC, APC, DVA, EOG, XEC, ADM, CAR, DIS, DISCA, DTV, HCA, ICE, K, NBL, SFUN, ALL, CTRP, DVN, EA, FISV, FOSL, FTR, HLF, LC, NFX, NWSA, PXD, SCTY, Z, CHK, DDD, EXPD, ATVI, CF, FOXA, GMCR, MET, MRO, PRU, RIG, TSLA, WFM, APA, BABA, BDX, GOGO, PCLN, REGN, SIAL, SUNE, CA, CBS, CERN, CSIQ, CYBR, LBTYA, MCHP, MNST, NVDA, SPWR, UBNT, ZNGA, ZU, JD, LMCA, TGI, AOL
Earnings Week of May 11- TSL, CTRP, DGLY, VSLR, JASO, JCP, JUNO, LOCO, MBLY, NTES, RAX, SINA, YOKU, KNDI, SSYS, VJET, XONE, YY,


Q1 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – SUNE, DATA, CYBR, BABA, CSIQ, ZNGA, JD, MCHP, REGN, SPWR, ATVI, CA, EA, EXPD, CF, FISV, HLF, LC, PRU, SCTY, TSLA, CTSH, DO, HSIC, ICE, MNK, EL,
OCN, MRC, SWKS, TER, EXPE, TASR, AET, AIG, CME, F, FEYE,  GILD, LEG, LYV, MDLZ, NXPI, SLCA, TDS, TPX, UPL, UPS, VRSK, WY, AMZN, MSFT, JNPR, SBUX, GOOGL, CVX, AAL, CTXS, CAM, EBAY, FFIV, ORLY, SWK, T, ALTR, BAX, BRCM, DOW, EMC, HP, ILMN, KO, MCD, NDAQ, YUM, ABT, ATI, LRCX, PCAR, ARMH, AMGN, HAS, CHKP, HAL, MS, STI, NFLX, CE, MAT, C, DAL, FAST, INTC, JPM, LLTC, STZ, WBA, KMX, DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, KBH, MFRM, NKE,

More than 10% - DATA, SUNE, AOL, TGI, HLF, GPRO, OCN, MRC, TER, AMZN, MSFT, ATI, HAS, NFLX, CE, DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, 

Negative Reactions – MNST, NVDA, APA, CERN, WFM, GMCR, PCLN, LBTYA, CHK, DDD, FOXA, GOGO, MRO, NWSA, ALL, FOSL, FTR, NFX, Z, PXD, APC, CAR, DISCA, DTV, DVA, EOG, HCA, K, NBL, SFUN, XEC, NSM, AVP, ZU,
AAPL, AKAM, ATHN, BIDU, CAH, CELG, CHRW, COH, ESRX, FSLR, GLW, GRMN, LLL, MAR, PFE, SWI, TWTR, V, VIAB, VLO, WDC, WHR, HBI, BIIB, STT, TXN, XLNX, MMM, SRCL, SWN, ALXN, CMG, CREE, DHR, FB, FCX, HSY, ISRG, KLAC, PEP, PG, BA, HOG, TRV, UA, UNP, URI, YHOO, DD, BHI, RCL, AXP, BAC, GS, JNJ, SNDK, AA, BBBY, MU, GME, YOKU, XONE, 

More than -10% - MNST, FTR, NSM, AVP, LNKD, YELP, TWTR, X, WYNN, NOW, AMD, YOKU, 

Reversal in progress – AXP, DHR, ESRX, GRMN, GS, PEP, VLO, YHOO,


Reversal of Initial Reaction – AA, AKAM, BAC, BHI, CELG, DD, FCX, GME, JNJ, KLAC, MU, STT, SWN, URI, V, WDC, YOKU, XLNX, XONE, ZU


The SPX Market Forecast is slightly pointed up at 67.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: IWM, SPY, SVXY, BABA, BX, C, CIEN, CYBR, EXPE, IBM, MS, SCTY, SOHU, SPLK, STI, TPX, V, X, ZNGA, AAPL, AKAM, AVGO, BRCM, COST, QCOM, TRIP, TSLA, XLNX,
Diagonal Breakout: QQQ, CMGE, GME, PANW, SLCA, EBAY,
Bull Flag: AA, AMBA, BBRY, CRM, JD, SCHW, TASR, UPL, VSLR, ZION, INTC, MYL,
Potential Bullish Divergence: SCSS

Moves
New Highs: SUNE, NFLX,
H Breakout: AIG, BBY, FAS, NKE, SUNE, WYNN,
D Breakout: STX
Bull Flag Bounce: ATI, BAC, CSIQ, ETFC, HPQ, IBM, MS, RCL, SPWR, STI, TPX, ADBE, LRCX, MAR, MSFT, NFLX, SBUX,
Bounce: QIHU, X, AAPL, GMCR
Gap Up: SPY, QQQ, CCL, CYBR, FEYE, BA, NKE, SPLK, SVXY, V, EBAY, ESRX, GILD, GOOGL,
Gap Down: MNST, VXX
Support Break: LC

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81 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: TRIP, BIIB, WYNN, GMCR, VIP, NXPI, CTSH, AMGN, REGN, INTU

Lagging NDX stocks included: MNST, NVDA, CERN, LBTYA, CHTR, WFM, PCLN, DISCA, VIAB, MU

Leading stocks > +2% on Friday: CSIQ, YELP, RCL, VSLR, TSL, UPL, V, UNG, FAS, JASO, JUNO, FEYE, TPX, JCP, SPLK, CIEN, QIHU, EMC, ATI, VJET, YOKU, X, CREE, JD

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: LC, VXX, SFUN, DGLY, CRM

Stocks to Watch on Monday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 41
SIAL, XLNX, CTRX, MDLZ, CTXS, TSLA, MYL, DTV, NFLX, SBUX, PCAR, STX, VOD, MAT, AKAM, CSCO, INTC ,SYMC, AMZN, EA, MSFT, BRCM, LRCX, FAST, INTU, ALTR, SPLS, REGN, ATVI, CHKP, EXPD, ILMN, ADP, EBAY, FISV, LVNTA, NXPI, ORLY, PAYX, QCOM, VRTX

Moving Above 30 DMA = 12
AAPL, ADBE, AMGN, CTSH, GILD, KLAC, LLTC, MAR, SNDK, TRIP, VRSK, WDC                                                                                                                        
Moving Below 30 DMA = 4
LBTYA, MNST, NVDA, PCLN

Staying Below 30 DMA
MU, DISCA, ADI, CHTR, CMCSA, ESRX, FOXA, HSIC, LMCA, NTAP, VIAB, GMCR, SIRI, KRFT, VIP, BIDU, CA, COOG, TSCO, AAL, CERN, GRMN, WYNN, ADSK, CELG, SBAC, ALXN, BIIB, FB, SRCL, AVGO, ISRG, TXN, YHOO, WBA, DLTR, BBBY, COST, ROST, CHRW, AMAT, DISH, WFM

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up