Friday, May 15, 2015

SPX New All-time Closing High on Friday...

Six of nine sectors moved higher on Friday…XLU, XLY and XLB were the strongest sectors and XLF was the weakest. 
 
Breadth weakened as advancers led decliners 1.32 to 1 on the NYSE and decliners led advancers 1.01 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – mixed, decliners led
Monday – mixed, mixed

SPY up .23 at 212.44 on 76.5 million shares
VIX down .36 at 12.38…
TNX down .98 at 21.41…
TLT up 2.39 at 151.59…
XLF down .11 at 24.70 on 23.1 million shares

AAPL down .18 at 128.77 on 38.2 million shares
FB down .95 at 80.42 on 27.0 million shares


Technical Commentary:
DIA +0.19%, SPY +0.11%, QQQ +0.00%, IWM -0.11%.

New all-time closing high on the SPX led by POM, BBBY, M, NFLX, YUM FTR and PCP.  Retail stocks BBBY, M, BURL, KSS, WBA, HD, LOW, GPS, ROST, DG, TGT, DLTRAZO, KR and WFM moved higher on Friday after six weeks of pull back.

AMBA, SUNE, ASML and BRCM continue to lead semiconductors.


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 212.48, 213.91...
QQQ = 109.91, 111.16
IWM = 123.44, 125.55, 127.13…

Support Levels
SPY = 208.62, 206.76...
QQQ = 107.06, 106.80, 105.55…
IWM = 120.87, 120.24...

Earnings Week of May 11- CTRP, DGLY, VSLR, JCP, JUNO, LOCO, MBLY, NTES, RAX, SINA, YOKU, KNDI, SSYS, VJET, XONE, YY,


Q1 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – CTRP, MBLY, NTES, SINA,
SUNE, DATA, CYBR, BABA, CSIQ, ZNGA, JD, MCHP, REGN, SPWR, ATVI, CA, EA, EXPD, CF, FISV, HLF, LC, PRU, SCTY, TSLA, CTSH, DO, HSIC, ICE, MNK, EL,
OCN, MRC, SWKS, TER, EXPE, TASR, AET, AIG, CME, F, FEYE,  GILD, LEG, LYV, MDLZ, NXPI, SLCA, TDS, TPX, UPL, UPS, VRSK, WY, AMZN, MSFT, JNPR, SBUX, GOOGL, CVX, AAL, CTXS, CAM, EBAY, FFIV, ORLY, SWK, T, ALTR, BAX, BRCM, DOW, EMC, HP, ILMN, KO, MCD, NDAQ, YUM, ABT, ATI, LRCX, PCAR, ARMH, AMGN, HAS, CHKP, HAL, MS, STI, NFLX, CE, MAT, C, DAL, FAST, INTC, JPM, LLTC, STZ, WBA, KMX, DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, KBH, MFRM, NKE,

More than 10% - YOKU, ZBRA, DATA, SUNE, ZU, AOL, HLF, TGI, GPRO, OCN, MRC, TER, AMZN, MSFT, ATI, HAS, NFLX, CE, DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, 

Negative Reactions – LOCO, JUNO, RAX, JCP, KNDI, VSLR, VJET, XONE, YY
ALL, APA, APC, AVP, CAR, CERN, CHK, DISCA, DTV, DVA, DDD, EOG, FOSL, FOXA, FTR, GMCR, GOGO, HCA, K, LBTYA, MNST, MRO, NBL, NSM, NVDA, NWSA, NFX, PXD, SFUN, WFM, XEC, Z, ZU, LNKD
AAPL, AKAM, ATHN, BIDU, CAH, CELG, CHRW, COH, ESRX, FSLR, GLW, GRMN, LLL, MAR, PFE, SWI, TWTR, V, VIAB, VLO, WDC, WHR, HBI, BIIB, STT, TXN, XLNX, MMM, SRCL, SWN, ALXN, CMG, CREE, DHR, FB, FCX, HSY, ISRG, KLAC, PEP, PG, BA, HOG, TRV, UA, UNP, URI, YHOO, DD, BHI, RCL, AXP, BAC, GS, JNJ, SNDK, AA, BBBY, MU, GME, YOKU, XONE, 

More than -10% - LOCO, JUNO, DGLY, RAX, MNST, FTR, NSM, AVP, LNKD, YELP, TWTR, X, WYNN, NOW, AMD, YOKU, 

Reversal in progress – AAPL, AXP, DHR, ESRX, GOGO, GRMN, GS, LBTYA, PEP, RCL, VLO, X, YHOO,

Reversal of Initial Reaction – AA, AKAM, BAC, BHI, CAR, CELG, DD, DTV, FCX, FOXA, GME, HCA, JNJ, K, KLAC, MU, STT, SWN, URI, V, WDC, YOKU, XLNX, XONE, ZU


The SPX Market Forecast is pointed up at 78.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: QQQ, BABA, GPRO, MBLY, NCLH, RCL, SWI, SWKS, UA, BURL, DHI, PHM, PG, KO
Diagonal Breakout: AA, JD, TASR, VSLR, X, GOGO, FEYE,
Bull Flag: AIG, GLUU, JOY, EMN, ZU

Moves
New Highs: SPY, AMBA, BX, NKE, NTES, PANW, SUNE, SVXY, YOKU, ZNGA, CAG
H Breakout: CIEN, NKE
Gap Down: LOCO,

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Watchlist
Leading stocks > +2% on Friday: CAR, JCP, AMBA, VJET, GOGO, YOKU, GME, TLT

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: LOCO, DGLY, JUNO, DDD, P, FEYE


59 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday.

Stocks to Watch on Monday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 59
SIAL, XLNX, CTRX, MDLZ, CTXS, TSLA, MYL, DTV, NFLX, SBUX, PCAR, STX, VOD, AKAM, CSCO, INTC, SYMC, AMZN, EA, MSFT, BRCM, LRCX, FAST, INTU, ALTR, SPLS, REGN, ATVI, CHKP, EXPD, ILMN, ADP, EBAY, FISV, NXPI, ORLY, PAYX, QCOM, ADBE, CTSH, GILD, VRSK, AVGO, VIP, YHOO, AAPL, AMGN, CELG, ESRX, HSIC, KLAC, LLTC, MAR, MAT, NTAP, TRIP, TSCO, WDC

Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
BBBY, FOXA, SIRI                                                                                                                                                           
Moving Below 30 DMA = 3
CA, FB, GOOG

Staying Below 30 DMA
AAL, GRMN, LVNTA, SNDK, VRTX, LBTYA, MNST, NVDA, PCLN, MU, DISCA, ADI, CHTR, CMCSA, LMCA, VIAB, GMCR, KRFT, BIDU, CERN, WYNN, ADSK, SBAC, ALXN, BIIB, SRCL, ISRG, TXN, WBA, DLTR, COST, ROST, CHRW, AMAT, DISH, WFM

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up