Wednesday, November 6, 2013

DIA Hits All Time High As IWM Weakens...TSLA Weakens On Q4 Outlook...MSFT Gaps Up Making 12 Year High...

Seven out of nine sectors moved higher on Wednesday…XLU, XLP and XLK were the strongest sectors…XLY was the weakest sector. 
 
Breadth strengthened… as advancers led decliners…1.13 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.08 to 1 on the NASDAQ where decliners led advancers.
 
Wednesday - mixed
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – strengthened, advancers led
Friday – strengthened, decliners led
Thursday –weakened, decliners led
 
 
SPY up .90 at 177.17…volume 87.2 million shares
VIX down .60 at 12.67…
TNX down .22 at 26.40…
TLT up .05 at 105.07...
XLF up .10 at 20.61 volume 28.6 million shares
 
AAPL down 1.48 at 524.15…volume7.9 million shares
FB down .98 at 49.12…volume 67.8 million shares…
 
Technical Commentary: 
IWM – 0.43%, QQQ – 0.02%, SPY + 0.51%, DIA + 0.85%.
 
DIA makes new all time high while SPY matches all time high…QQQ closes .06 below all-time high as IWM shows weakness closes lower.
 
TSLA drops 14.51% or 25.65 following disappointing earnings…issuing a weak outlook for the quarter.
 
MSFT gapped up making a 12 year high today closing up 1.54 or up 4.20% to close at 38.18. 
 
 
Continue to trade with trend of the individual stock that you are trading and be vigilant in protecting profits from the last three weeks.  Chart Signals has been alerting readers to, “Move profit protection stops according to your rules,” since Monday.
 
 
Chart Targets:
QQQ = 83.17
IWM = 110.96, 112.83
SPY = 177.85, 180.99
 
Remember it is big money that creates and sustains the trend.  As Granville once wrote, “technical analysis is the art of tracking the market, following the footsteps of the ‘smart money’ crowd.  The ‘smart money crowd’ is no mysterious ‘THEY.’  It is simply a collection of people who are reading the market correctly, seeing through the maze, unconfused by this hall of mirrors.”
 
Short-term SPY posture is neutral.
Support Levels
ES = 1,741, 1,726
SPY = 174.44, 172.76
QQQ = 81.87, 80.76, 79.76
IWM = 107.83
 
 
Q3 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – FSLR, TRMB, MDVN, NATI, SPR, ONNN, EXPE, CRR, HAR, GTI, ATML, THOR, TRN, FLT, MCHP, ITT, DICSA, ANR, SWKS, FB, CMCSA, GILD, DWA, LVLT, EA, SEE, SPW, TFX, X, XRAY, XYL, JLL, PBI, ALR, HUN, ACT, DECK, AMZN, MSFT, FLS, AVY, ALXN, WOOF, COG, BA, CLGX, ESI, EQIX, WLL, TSCO, RRD, PHM, RCL, ALXN, APOL, BCR, NDAQ, NSC, WHR, ILMN, NUS, GNTX, LXK, DD, VFC, CMG, GOOG, BHI, GE, KSU, MS, SLB, STI, LVS, VZ, SNDK, NUE, BTU, AXP, KEY, STLD, URI, USB, INTC, JNJ, SCHW, COST, AA
 
Negative Reactions – IPGP, AIG, BRKR, HME, NEM, XLS, NIHD, AVP, WTW, ROVI, JDSU, OSK, CNW, ITRI, CTRX, KRFT, GRMN, MYL, DLR, XCO, WU, LNKD, IACI, MSM, INGR, HTS, VRTX, AAPL, PMCS, MWV, AGNC, AGCO, PCL, GT, CMI, VSH, ALSN, ROP, EW, MRK,  RYN, RMD, NCR, KBR, FSL, ESRX, EMN, FIO, CAM, TKR, SYMC, CVA, CDNS, AKAM, XRX, CRI, ORLY, CAT, NFLX, COH, ZION, WAT, EMC, UTX, TXN, HON, ISRG, GS, UNP, UNH, EBAY, IBM, XLNX, SCSS, SWK, MU, FAST
 
 
Chart Signals Strategy Guidelines
When the market is trending up Chart Signals looks for support bounce and resistance breakout entries. 
 
When the market is trending down Chart signals looks for resistance pull back and support break entries. 
 
When the market is sideways in consolidation Chart Signals will look for support bounce, diagonal breakouts and pull backs at resistance where price action stays between support and resistance. 
 
Technical setups for short-term option trades be in and out by earnings release.
Over earnings release use earnings option strategies such as straddles, strangles, OTM calls or puts.
After earnings look for bullish setups in positive reaction stocks and bearish setups in negative reaction stocks.
 
 
The Market Forecast Green Line is above 80.   
 
____________________
 
Setups 
H Breakout: ADSK, AMAT, CSCO, EBAY, ESRX, INTC, MNST, MYL, QCOM, WFM, ATI, CRM, DNKN, MFRM, P, RCL, SPY, SWKS, TPX,
 
Diagonal Breakout: IBM, LVS,
 
Bull Flag: ADBE, AMGN, BIDU, GILD, GOOG, MAT, CLF, RAX, UAL,
 
Potential Bullish Divergence:   
 
Gap Up:
 
Gap Down:
 
Bear Flag: 
 
At Support: CELG, NTES, PWRD, YOKU,  
 
Moves
New Highs: CTSH,
 
Gap Up: MSFT,  
 
Gap Down: TSLA,
 
H Breakout: COST, ZION,   
 
D Breakout: ESRX, FFIV,   
 
Breakout Test:  
 
Bounce: EBAY,   
 
MACD Divergence Bounce: 
 
Bear Flag:  
 
Support Break:  
 
 
______________________
 
 
49 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday and four were unchanged.
 
Leading NDX 100 stocks included: LBYTA, EBAY, MSFT, CTXS, COST, ESRX, SYMC, FFIV, CHKP, EQIX, CTSH, WFM
 
Lagging NDX stocks included: TSLA, VRSK, VIP, REGN, VRTX, CELG, FOSL, GMCR, SHLD, GILD, ALXN, BIIB, PCLN, BIDU
 
Leading stocks > +2% on Wednesday included: SWK, YNDX
 
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: JCP, YELP, QIHU, SCTY, WLT, Z, SPWR, SSYS, UAL, ANGI, GRPN, TSL, XONE, YOKU, MCP, CNX
 
Stocks to Watch on Thursday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 63
WYNN, AVGO, CTSH, VOD, ROST, ADBE, SNDK, WFM, SBUX, STX, AMAT, CERN, CMCSA, MSFT, XRAY, AAPL, HSIC, SPLS, FISV, FOSL, GILD, INTC, INTU, KLAC, LINTA, PAYX, PCLN, SBAC, WDC, FOXA, CHKP, DTV, VIP, MNST, GOOG, ADP,  AMZN, MAT, MDLZ, DISCA, KRFT, CA, SIAL, ALXN, COST, QCOM, LLTC, TXN, ADI, MCHP, MU, EXPE, NFLX, ADSK, CHRW, GOLD, GRMN, MYL, PCAR, CSCO, ESRX, VIAB, CTRX
 
Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
BRCM, DLTR, LBTYA
 
Moving Below 30 DMA = 8
AMGN, BBBY, BIIB, SHLD, REGN, VRSK, LMCA, TSLA
 
Staying Below 30 DMA
EXPD, FAST, ISRG, CHTR, BIDU, SRCL, YHOO, LBTYA, CELG, VRTX, ATVI, FB,  MXIM,  EQIX, AKAM, ORLY, SIRI, FFIV, NVDA, SYMC, ALTR, XLNX, EBAY, NTAP, CTXS, NUAN, GMCR
 
Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
5-Day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral
 
 
 
 
 

No comments: