Thursday, April 25, 2013

XLF Breaks Out...IWM, QQQ, SPY Near Resistance...Earning Stocks AKAM, ANGI, ESI Soar...


All nine sectors moved higher on Thursday…XLB, XLY, and XFI were the strongest sectors…XLU was the weakest sector.

Breadth weakened slightly…however advancers still led decliners 1.86 to 1 on the NYSE and strengthened 1.61 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Thursday – weakened/strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, advancer led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – strengthened, advancers led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY up .64 at 158.52volume 131 million shares
VIX up .01 at 13.62
TNX up .13 at 17.11
TLT down 53 cents at 122.27...
XLF up 11 cents at 18.65volume 36 million shares                 

AAPL up 2.92 at 408.38volume 13.7 million shares
FB up 3 cents at 26.14volume 17.1 million shares


Technical Commentary:

IWM +0.66%, SPY +0.51%, DIA + 0.51% and QQQ + 0.53%.  The broad indices continue their earnings season consolidation bounce from support towards resistance on Thurssday.

QQQ, SPY and IWM have risen to resistance and are a potential horizontal resistance breakout setup. 

The Euro was down 2 pips and closed at 1.3008.   The Euro stayed above support for the twelfth straight day.

AAPL moved up 2.92 on 13.7 million shares.  AAPL is currently forming a bear flag pattern.
 
FB continued to trade just below its 30 DMA on volume of 17.1 million shares.

Trade what you see on the chart of your position.  The intermediate term trend is up with a bull flag setup.  Traders should lock in profits when targets are reachedAs always look for re-entry according to your rules.


Chart Signals Strategy Guidelines
Technical setups for short-term option trades be in and out by earnings release.
Over earnings release use earnings option strategies such as straddles, strangles, OTM calls or puts.
After earnings look for bullish setups in positive reaction stocks and bearish setups in negative reaction stocks.



EPS Reaction Summary
EPS Gainers – ANGI, AKAM, ALXN, ALTR, COG, CLF, CROX, DOW, ESI, FFIV, HOG, KLAC, LRCX, LVS, MO, PHM, RCL, SIAL, XLNX, BA, BRCM, GLW, HES, DAL, COH, DD, NFLX, ILMN, VECO, LCC, RF, ZION, TRV, LMT, CAT, CHKP, HAL, HAS, CMG, GOOG, KMB, STI, MSFT, BTU, PEP, UNP, VZ, MAT, AXP, JNJ, INTC, KO, C

EPS Losers – QCOM, BIIB, PTEN, ABC, MMM, AMGN, T, JNPR, PNRA, VMW, GE, IBM, ISRG, MCD, MS, PM, UNH, SNDK, EBAY, BAC, USB, GS, LLTC


Key Earnings this week:
Monday – CAT, CHKP, HAL, HAS, ILMN, LIFE, NFLX, TXN, VECO, ZION
Tuesday – AMGN, AAPL, ACI, T, BRCM, COH, CREE, DAL, DD, JNPR, LMT, PNRA, RF, TRV, LCC, UTX, VMED, VMW
Wednesday – AKAM, BA, COG, CLF, GLW, FFIV, DAVE, F, HES, LRCX, QCOM, TSCO, WDC, WHR, XLNX, ZNGA
Thursday – MMM, ALK, ALXN, ALTR, MO, AMZN, ABC, BIDU, BIIB, CELG, CERN, CRUS, CROX, DECK, DOW, EXPE, HOG, ESI, KLAC, LVS, MXIM, PTEN, PHM, RCL, SIAL, SBUX, HSY, TWC
Friday – CVX, DHI, GT, WLB, WY


The Market Forecast Green Line is pointed UP today.

____________________

Setups
H Breakout:  ROST, C, FAS, GRPN, XLNX, ESRX, XLNX, WDC, TPX, HD, DTV, ADBE, MNST, SPLK

Diagonal Breakout: NTAP, CMCSA

Bull Flag:  INTC, DAL, ABC, HSY, BRCM, WFM, Z, CMG, TRV, VRTX, GILD, CELG, UNG, YELP, FB, ORCL

Potential Bullish Divergence:  EXPD

Gap Up: ESI,

Gap Down: AMZN, BIDU, DECK, EXPE, SBUX,

Bear Flag: GE, CRUS, SHLD, CMCSA, SNDK, IBM,

At Support:


Moves
New Highs:  MSFT, BA, COH, DD, GLW, JNJ, KO, NKE, NUAN, PEP, UNP, VZ, WYNN

Gap Up:  ANGI, AKAM, FFIV, LRCX, RCL, DOW, NFLX, ILMN

Gap Down:  QCOM, MMM,

H&D Breakout: LVS, SBUX, PHM, GRMN, MYL, COST, TXN, YHOO, SWI, FSLR, C, LNKD,  TPX, SYMC, DTV, ATVI

Bounce:  AMGN, BIIB, T, TSLA, VECO, CSCO, GRPN, MU, X, JNPR, VMW, UNH, X, DELL, NVDA, DDD., C, NTES, LVS, STX, GMCR, SNDK, SHLD, GRMN, LCC, SPY, SSYS, GOOG, AMZN, SIRI, SPLK, BIDU, TPX, PCLN, PM, AAPL, QCOM, FAS

MACD Divergence Bounce: FFIV, ADSK, ESRX, FIVE, AMAT, FAST, MYL, ZION

Bear Flag:  EBAY,

Support Break:  CTSH, ATI

______________________


76 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included:  AKAM, ALXN, ORLY, BIDU, BIIB, SHLD, ALTR, AMAT, AMGN, XLNX, FFIV, CTRX, CA, GRMN, REGN

Lagging NDX stocks included:  INTU, CTXS, QCOM, BRCM, EQIX, INTC, EBAY, MNST, SNDK, WFM

Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday included: ESI, CLF, RCL, VECO, RVBD, AKS, LVS, GES, UCO, CSTR, X, LDK, CROX, TSLA, ANR, CRUS, GLW, SWKS, TSL, SOHU, SINA, COH, CDE

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  SWK

Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 60
VMED, STRZA, ADP, GILD, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, YHOO, AMGN, SBAC, ADBE, CELG, MSFT, SRCL, MDLZ, LBTYA, VIAB, REGN, VOD, BBBY, LIFE, NUAN, ROST, MNST, WYNN, CTRX, DLTR, INTC, KLAC, DTV, FISV, NWSA, SBUX, VRTX, WFM, AMZN, ATVI, COST, EXPE, EQIX, WDC, AKAM, AMAT, BIDU, GOOG, MXIM, NTAP, NVDA, SIAL, SIRI, STX, TXN, DISCA, BMC, BRCM, CA, GOLD, GRMN, SYMC, XRAY

Moving Above 30 DMA = 10
ALXN, ESRX, MCHP, MYL, ORLY, PCAR, PCLN, SHLD, XLNX, PRGO

Moving Below 30 DMA = 1
QCOM

 Staying Below 30 DMA
CERN , HSIC, EBAY, ISRG, SNDK, CMCSA, FB, MU, CHRW, CSCO,SPLS, VRSK, AVGO, CTSH, ADSK, DELL, FAST, INTU, ADI, ALTR, LLTC, AAPL, LINTA, ORCL, CTXS, FOSL, CHKP, FFIV, EXPD

Five Month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up

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