Monday, April 1, 2013

SPY Pauses as Euro Holds Support...AAPL Continues Lower...


One of nine sectors moved higher on Monday…XLV, XLP and XLE were the strongest sectors …XLI was the weakest sector…. 

Breadth weakened…decliners led advancers…2.27 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.72 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Monday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, advancers led NYSE
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliners led


SPY down 62 cents at 156.05...volume 99.1 million shares…
VIX up .88 at 13.58…
TNX down .12 at 18.40…
TLT up .89 at 118.39…
XLF
down 9 cents at 18.12 volume 22.1 million shares

AAPL down 13.75 at 428.91…volume 13.9 million shares…
FB down 5 cents at`25.53… on lower volume 22.2 million shares…


Technical Commentary:

DIA +0.02% SPY -0.40% led QQQ -0.68%, and IWM -1.34% and on Monday as each index paused in its uptrend following the three-day Easter weekend. 

AAPL -13.75 accelerated its downside move for the fourth straight day and closed below its 30 DMA for the second straight day.  FB down 5 cents on light volume formed a spinning top again closing at the S1 level of its large bullish engulfing candle.  FB is still a setup for a potential C Pattern Entry after a support bounce. 

The Euro was up 25 pips and closed at 1.2843 on Monday. 

Trade what you see on the chart of your position. The trend is up and traders should lock in profits when targets are reached. As always look for re-entry according to your rules.

The SPY formed a small bullish engulfing pattern as TNX fell and TLT Bonds moved higher.


The Market Forecast Green Line is in the upper zone. 

____________________


Setups
Breakout:  WDC, ADP, MAT, PRGO, CMCSA, CELG, MSFT, AOL, DDD, CTL, XRX, ABC, CBG, TXN, P, NFLX, WDC, HES, ANGI, ILMN, DISH, DISCA, ICE, SPLK, NTES, SLM, AKAM, COG, CBS, CIE, CHTR, LNKD,

Diagonal Breakout: CLB, MGM, BTU, HLF, GNC, A, CPRT, DDS,

Bull Flag: SNDK, SHLD, INTU, VIAB, Z, NUS, TEX, MTW, CHK, MWV, CNW, PTEN, NAV, MBI, CIEN, ZION, ZNGA, DWA, PLCM, ANR, APOL, NKE, AWAY, MDRX, WPO, PBI, TFM, CRR, GOOG, DECK, CBI, MU,

Potential Bullish Divergence: JCP, MCP, IPI

Gap Down:  

Bear Flag: CTSH, CTXS, ORCL, CLF, FDS, FFIV, KLAC, RCL, CCL, ULTA, JOY, A, FB

Break of Support:  FTNT, DE, CAH, RAX, GRMN, AGU, IPI, BTUWLT,


Moves
Highlights: NFLX, NTES, TPX, CREE, SSYS, ANGI, Z, BBRY

Gap Up:  TSLA, EBAY, BIIB, WSM, WAG

Gap Down: PVH, GES

Breakout:  CERN, ADM, ADBE, CELG, HRS, CRM, CBOE, CMP, CSTR, EBAY, ROST, MON, GILD, LBTYA, FTI, FL, RMD, LVS, HRB, VECO, BBRY, NUAN, TPX, UNG, TRIP, OGE,
 
Bounce: BBRY, IBM, MOS, URI, AVGO, GTI, FB, VMW, ALXN, TIBX, TECD, ARG, EOG, AVP, NVR, SBUX

MACD Divergence Bounce:  CCL, FB, SLB, BTU, KORS, WLT, SINA

Bear Flag: AAPL, DSW, DKS

Support Break: CORN, MCP, EXPD, JDSU, JRCC

____________________


25 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher and two were unchanged on Monday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included:  ALXN, EBAY, SHLD, REGN, PCLN, CELG, GOOG, EXPE

Lagging NDX stocks included:  MU, LLTC, NVDA, ADSK, AAPL, FAST, STRZA, FOSL, ADI, KLAC

Leading stocks> +2% on Monday included: TSLA, HUM, BBRY

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  ESI, LDK, MCP, ANR, X, SWKS, NFLX, YELP, UAL, CRUS, DECK, SOHU, AKS, GRPN, A CREE, CSTR, FCX

Stocks to Watch on Tuesday…
Holding Above 30 DMA = 60
VMED, NWSA, SNDK, STRZA, ADP, DELL, SYMC,GILD, HSIC, CERN, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, PRGO, YHOO, DLTR,
AMGN, DISCA, MU, SBAC, ADBE, CELG, FISV, INTU, LBTYA, MDLZ, MSFT, SRCL, VRSK, VRTX, REGN, VIAB, ADSK, SBUX, BMC, PCAR, VOD, ALXN, AVGO, BBBY, SHLD, DTV, LIFE, STX, WYNN, COST, CMCSA, NUAN, GOLD, ROST, ATVI, CHRW, TXN, INTC, MXIM, QCOM, WDC, EBAY, XRAY, EQIX                                                          

Moving Above 30 DMA =1
ESRX                                                                                                                       

Moving Below 30 DMA = 13
ADI, ALTR, AMAT, AMZN, BRCM, CA, LLTC, MCHP, NVDA, SIAL, SPLS, WFM, XLNX                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          

Staying Below 30 DMA
AAPL, LINTA, GOOG, ORLY, FAST, MNST, MYL, CSCO, ORCL, CTSH, CTXS, EXPE, FOSL, PCLN, SIRI, CTRX, CHKP, KLAC, ISRG, FFIV, NTAP, GRMN, EXPD, AKAM, BIDU, FB


Ten Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up

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