Monday, November 26, 2012

FB Rises 8%...As Euro, SPY, Financials Pause...



Four of nine sectors moved higher on MondayXLU, XLK and XLB were the strongest sectors. 

Breadth
weakened on Friday as advancers led decliners1.02 to 1 on the NYSE and strengthened 1.51 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

SPY down .30 at 141.05...volume 100.1 million shares…
VIX up .36 at 15.50
TNX down .29 at 16.64…
TLT up .59 cents at 124.80…
XLF
down .06 cents at 15.78…volume 30.3 million shares

AAPL up 18.03 at 589.53volume 22.5 million shares
FB up 1.94 cents at`25.94…on volume of 123.8 million shares…

­­­__________________

Technical Commentary:
The SPY paused at its 30 dma after last week’s 5 point bounce.  The VIX moves up and did confirm the SPY move down.

Last week’s price action continues to look like a V bottom pattern.

The ES again closed above the 1,402 price level at 1,403.75.  NQ futures closed at 2,648.25.

The weight of the evidence continues to suggest recent support is the near-term low and this bounce is likely to continue even if it does pull back.

The Euro closed down 5 pips at 129.70 on Monday.

TNX, interest rates pulled back and TLT, bonds moved up 59 cents.  XLF was down .06 cents to 15.78.

SPY –  BO pause at 30 dma
AAPL large white candle, 571.95 BO, closed above 30 dma
FB – large candle, BO continuation
FAS – 105.51 BO pause at 30 dma 
AMZN – large white candle BO continuation
EXPE -  BO setup 61.24
STX –  hammer, IT support
VIAB – spinning top up from DBO line
RIMM – dohi new high
CRUS –inverted hammer flag V BO test
F – white candle, flag bounce continuation
PHM – spinning top, bounce continuation off IT support
SWK – spinning top holds S1, BO setup 71.82
SWI – BO continuation
RAX – BO setup 67.18
URI – Pennant, DBO continuation
YELP – doji
XHB – bearish engulfing
XRT – gap bearish engulfing pullback

BO = breakout, DBO = diagonal breakout, CT = counter-trend, IT = intermediate term

The Market Forecast Green Line is pointed up above the lower reversal zone.

____________________

Chart Targets:
SPY = 141.68, 143.52 short-term resistance
ES =
1,402, 1,414 fib extension
EUR/USD = 1.3020 short-term resistance

Short-term support at
1.2930, 1.2833 = Euro
139.57 = SPY
83.20 = SPXL
1,386.50 = ES
2,596 = NQ



____________________

46 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Monday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: EBAY, NUAN, DELL, MRVL, AAPL, RIMM, BRCM, NVDA, GMCR, ROST, EA, AMZN, AVGO, ADSK, SNDK

Lagging NDX stocks included: WFM, VRSN, VRTX, KRFT, BBBY, ESRX, COST, WYNN, GOLD, CERN, SHLD, INTU, MSFT, NFLX, SPLS, GOOD

Leading stocks > +2% on Monday included:  ZAGG, FB, DECK, TSL, NTES, TIF, WDC

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: GRPN, COH, ATI


Stocks to Watch on Tuesday…
Holding Above 30 DMA = 52
YHOO, ORLY, MYL, CERN, NFLX, RIMM, XRAY, PCLN, SBUX, QCOM, HSIC, GILD, SPLS, CSCO, NTAP, EXPE, ISRG, VMED, GMCR, EXPD, MXIM, LLTC, PCAR, SYMC, ATVI, CHKP, XLNX, EA, TXN, CMCSA, EBAY, SIAL, BIIB, LIFE, DLTR, BBBY, FISV, AMGN, CELF, CHRW, ADBE, DELL, LRCX, AMZN, GRMN, ALTR, ORCL, MRVL, ADSK, MAT, MU, AVGO

Moving Above 30 DMA = 4
SRCL, BRCM, INFY, FFIV,

Moving Below 30 DMA = 6
COST, WYNN, NWSA, PAYX, WFM, FOSL
 

Staying Below 30 DMA
SIRI, LINTA, KLAC, SHLD, FLEX, STX, MSFT, INTU, AMAT, NVDA, MCHP, SNDK, AKAM, PNRA, GOLD, INTC, ADP, FAST, BIDU, CTSH, IAB, GOOG, ESRS, VRXN, ALXN, MNST, APOL, VRTX, WCRX, BMC, VOD, DTV, NUAN, AAPL, CA, CTXS, ROST


Fourteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral
Short Term Market Trend: Up

1 comment:

Michael Hayes said...

Dave

Thanks for the detailed review for Monday

Mike