Monday, January 10, 2011

Solar Stocks Shine, NDX New High Close and RUT Bounces as SPX Hangs...


The SPX sold off and rallied from its low closing down -1.75 at 1,269.75 on Monday.  
(click image to enlarge)

SPX inside day, potential hanging man barely confirmed hanging man
INDU hanging man barely confirmed hanging man
COMPQ white candle inside day did not confirm potential hanging man
RUT white candle inside day did not confirm potential hanging man

Breadth strengthened on Monday as advancers led decliners 1.05 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.22 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Exchange       NYSE          NASDAQ
Advancers      1,548              1,462
Decliners        1,471              1,194
(click image to enlarge)
Index  Chg.   Close   Direction     Confirmation
VIX      +0.40  17.54      Up                 Yes – SPX
SOX    +4.41  430.17    Up                Yes – COMPQ

Leading stocks > 1% on Monday included LDK, ARUN, AMD, DECK, UCO, SKX, TSL, UNP, CRUS, IPI, NETL, LXK, VECO, MHS, SNDK, NTES, PCX, DOWN INFA, USD, A, CLF, LVS, JEC, FCX, CREE, SINA, GES, BAC

Losing stocks < -1% included ESI, WLT, TIE, ZION, HUM CSTR, FWLT, V, AGU, CF, BYI, X, DHR, STI, MCD, SLB, POT, TBT, UNG  


PositivesNDX, SOX, RUT, EURO, Stronger advancers/decliners, AAPL, NFLX

NegativesXLF, QCOM, AMZN, BIDU, GOOG


Interest rates moved lower on Monday and bonds closed slightly higher.  The Euro rose 45 pips to 1.2949 at 5 pm ET. 
LDK, +1.90, +18.22% which is in our watch list stocks below crossed above its 30 DMA on Friday as we posted and gapped higher this morning on raised guidance from the company.  We alerted you to the bounce before the open.  Solar stocks FSLR, SPWRA, TSL, CSIQ and JASO also moved higher.

Four of nine sectors moved higher on Monday with Industrials XLI +0.14% and Materials XLB +0.12% leading all sectors. 

After the close AA reported earnings of 24 cents vs. consensus of 19 cents and revenues of $5.78 billion vs. consensus of $5.68.  CEO sees aluminum growing 12% in 2011 on top of 13% in 2010.

Tues – INFY
Thu – INTC
Fri - JPM

Moves on Monday
Continuation – USD, LVS, BIDU, NETL, CRUS, F, GOOG, WYNN, VMW, DOW, GR, BYI, NUE, STLD, A 
Resistance Breakout UNP, AMD, SNDK, PNC, ILMN, AMZN
Bull Flag Bounce – IPI, AMD, FCX
MACD Divergence Bounce
Support Bounce – LDK, NFLX, FFIV, JASO, TLT, SPG
Bear Flag Break –
Break of Support – GES, AZO, ICE, GME, ATW, WFMI

Setup Charts to Watch
Bull Flag Setups –CF, WLT, BAC, WFC, POT, V, CAT, TBT, XLF, FAS, STI, GS, SLB, CLF, SWK, WHR, UNG, C, DHR, JEC, ZION, NDAQ, URE, FLS, ATI, DECK, NYX, AGU, AIV, MOS, AKS, X
Horizontal Breakout –DE, TSL, HSY, SINA, NTAP
MACD Divergence – CMG, CREE, CAKE, CSTR, AKAM
Bear Flag Setups –ACN, SKX

SPX
Resistance: 1,281, 1,300
Support: 1,256, 1, 241, 1,220

The short term 3 day trend is neutral.
The six-month trend is up.
The twelve-month trend is up.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading.

Bullish entry signal is a bounce off support and a break above the high of the low day or a break out of horizontal resistance.

Bearish entry signal is a break of short term support or a bounce down from the 30 DMA or other resistance.
 
AAPL +6.33large white candle, new high close
AMZN -0.81potential hanging man
NFLX +8.58large white candle bounce support  and MACD bullish divergence
QCOM -0.04potential inverted hammer
GOOG -2.23potential hanging man barely confirms hanging man
BIDU +1.79spinning top, inside day, potential bearish harami

NDX 100 stocks stronger than the NDX include NFLX, NVDA, MXIM, LRCX, FFIV, ADBE, CTRP, KLAC, FSLR, EBAY, CTXS, AAPL, BRCM, NTAP and SNDK.

Stocks weaker than the NDX: APOL, CELG, SYMC, GILD, CHKP, YHOO, SPLS, AMAT, MSFT, INTU, VRSN, CEPH, MAT, MU and ATVI.

Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA

SINA, WLT, NDAQ, USD, GR, RVBD, BYI, CAT, FWLT, PCX, CLF, INFA, VMW, SNDK, CRUS, HOLX, FCX, FDX, AKS, A, AMD, DHR, DOW, FLS, PNC, DE, FAS, JEC, STI, SWK, WHR, ZION, ACN, BAC, NYX, IPI, MCP, ATI, CF, AIV, GS, URE, AGU, MOS, POT, UNP, BA, SWN, UNG, ARUN, NETL, LVS, VECO, CRM, PCP, TBT, TSL, DLR, GMCR, HANS, HUM, HLF, HSY, UAL, LDK
Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
MHS, NTES, UCO
Moving Below 30 DMA = 4
ESI, SLB, TIE, X
Staying Below 30 DMA
CHL, CREE, DECK, GME, ICE, CAM, SPG, ATW, GES, TLT, HAS, CAKE, MA, SKX, V, CSTR, CMG, SOHU, MCD, FAZ, LXK

Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

1 comment:

Gary said...

Dave,

Solar shined for me today. I entered LDK off support and MACD div. about a week ago. JSK Friday as it crossed the 30 (c pattern) and you mentioned FSLR at resistance a few weeks back in which I bought puts, sold at support and bought calls on the entry signal at support. The sun was shining here. Also,
closed AMD @ 9.24 target. I'm learning to be a great trader!!