Wednesday, June 16, 2010

Futures Point to a Lower Open and a Test of Tuesday's Breakout...

BMO – ES -5.00 and NQ -6.00 futures are lower in pre-market trading pointing to a lower open. In pre-market trading AAPL is -0.99, GOOG -1.99, BIDU -0.99, NFLX -1.41.


Bonds are higher and TLT is up 83 cents in pre-market trading.

The Euro is down 47 pips in overnight trading and finding some sellers at its 30 DMA.

SPY is is down 80 cents and XLF is down 12 cents in pre-market trading. Watch XLF as a key to any sustained move in the SPX.

Futures are pulling back after Tuesday's large move. A test of a breakout is more likely than not. We will look for the depth of the pull back. The 1,103 to 1,105, the S1 level of Tuesday's large white candle and the old horizontal resistance level, is the nearest short support level and a likely pull back target.

If the breakout holds the new chart target is 1,170 in approximately four weeks.

The VIX closed just above 25 on Tuesday. If this breakout is going to continue look for a drop below 25 and a close below that level.

Stocks are lower on light volume in pre-market trading. When the cash market opens both a modest pull back and lighter volume would be positive for the breakout.

If the breakout holds, the pull back testing the breakout is an entry opportunity.

Trading Down: DECK, POT, CRM, NFLX, BUCY, FCX, URE, V, CREE, DE, WLT, UNP, CHL, X, CLF, MOS, MA, AN, CAT, GS, SWN, FAS, BA, SWK, SNDK, DOW, WHR, MCD, USO, LVS, GME, WMT, TSL, GMCR

Trading Up: PCLN, ESI, CSTR, FAZ

The short term 3 day trend is up. The intermediate term trend is neutral and long term trend is up.

Trade those charts that meet your rules in the direction of the trend.

Follow your rules in any trading actions today. Be logical.

SPX
Support = 1,103, 1,081, 1,071
Resistance = 1,124

At the Open on Wednesday
SPY –
QQQQ -
FAS -
TLT
HSY –
UNG –

BIDU -
SNDK -
DECK -
CMG -
BIDU -
ILMN –
UAUA -
CAL –
GOOG –

NFLX –
AKAM -
DTV -
VMW –
CRM -
ALK -
AAPL –
ORLY –
AAP -
SWN –
AZO -
LVS –
ICE –

AKS
X -
PCLN -
CLF –
DOW –
BBY –
MA -
V –
CAT –
PCP –
UNP –
FCX –
GMCR –

4 comments:

reno bob said...

got long cree with a conditional order above 69.01 cree broke above 30dma yesterday and pulled back to s1 today. this is a type c setup as i see it
thanks dave
reno bob

Anonymous said...

Missed listening to you Dave for the last couple of weeks . I cannot wait till you get back to your normal schedule like it used to be. I'm glad that I get to read your blog at least. Thanks a billion for all you do . Your expertise and the amazing knowledge that you have is enormously and gratefully appreciated . Please come back tour normal schedule !!!

Brian McAllister said...

Dave,

POT appears to have confirmed a double bottom today with the breakout over $101.38. In addition, it has bullish divergences on the MACD histogram and 2-line, and the OBV has made a higher low and a higher high. Target is $109.90 before July expiration.

Brian

Dave Johnson said...

reno bob, anonymous and Brian,

Thanks for reading and for sharing your insights...this summer will be a little more packed so it will be a while longer before I am back to my pre-summer schedule. However, I will be in the Foundation Capstone and Active Investor Talk on Thursday...

DJ