Friday, February 13, 2009

Friday the 13th...Saturday is Valentine's Day!

DJIA - 82.35, -1.04% SP500 - 8.35, -1.00% NASDAQ Comp. - 7.35, -0.48% Russell 2000 - 2.06, -0.46% Exchange NYSE NASD Advancing 1,537 1,311 Declining 2,179 1,443 Oil $37.51 +$3.53 Gold $941.50 -$7.00 SOX 220.55 +2.65 VIX 42.93 +1.68 The VIX moved up confirming the move down in the SPX on Friday. Strongest Sectors: XLE +0.23%...XLI +0.00%...XLK -0.45% Weakest Sectors: XLF -3.80%...XLY -1.61%...XLP -1.55% Sector Watch Up Trending: Sideways: XLE, XLP, XLU, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK Down Trending: XLF Most indices and stocks traded in a very narrow range on Friday leading into the three-day President’s Day weekend. Many bullish patterns and candles on Thursday did not confirm on Friday due to the lack of buying and narrow trading. Continue to watch for confirmation of these patterns and candles on Tuesday when trading resumes. AKAM formed a black spinning top pulling back 12 cents on below average volume…watch for potential continuation of Thursday’s breakout of a horizontal flag. AMZN formed a black spinning top which did not confirm Thursday’s hammer in its bull flag pullback…watch for potential confirmation of hammer on Tuesday Index Commentary The DJIA formed a black spinning top that did not confirm Thursday’s dragon fly doji…short-term support 7,693. The SPX formed a black spinning top that did not confirm Thursday’s hammer…SPX is just above horizontal support. The Nasdaq formed a black spinning top that stayed above the S1 level of Thursday’s bullish engulfing patter…higher low support on Thursday is 1,495. The RUT formed an black inverted hammer that did not confirm Thursday’s hammer…just above horizontal support of 432. Stock Commentary How did our 22 Bull Flags that we selected from the NDX 100 on Thursday night do on Friday, just before a three day weekend? Moving Up: CHKP, DISH, EXPE, HANS, ILMN, LLTC, MRVL, MXIM, STLD, XLNX Unchanged: VRTX Near Unchanged: AAPL, AKAM, BIIB, GILD Moving Down: AMZN, CEPH, GENZ, GOOG, JAVA, RYAAY, SYMC The largest percentage gainers were: MRVL 3.28%, DISH 2.88% The largest dollar gainers were: HANS 0.74, ILMN 0.41 The largest dollar losers were: GOOG -5.37, CEPH -1.08 The largest percentage losers were: JAVA -3.93%, RYAAY -1.94% In all fairness Friday’s moves or lack thereof were influenced by the light volume and narrow trading range in the market going into the three day holiday weekend. All of the stocks that went down, stayed within their flag pattern, none of them broke support. All the patterns are good going into next week when trading resumes on Tuesday.

Earnings Friday, Feb 13 ANF +1.10 beat +1.00 ALE +0.78 below +0.81 BAM +0.27 beat +0.16 CTSH +0.41 beat +0.38 ENB +0.55 beat +0.48 PEP +0.88 inline +0.88 WYN +0.47 beat +0.40 Numbers exclude non-recurring items Tuesday, Feb 17 BMO – AMED, FOSL, MDT, RJET, TEVA, RIG, WMT AMC – AXYS, CHK, LZB, UPL, WYNN Wednesday, Feb 18 BMO – CMCSA, DE, GT, OMX, STP AMC – AAP, AEM, CAR, BIDU, NILE, DENN, DBRN, HPQ, NHP, NTRI, OII, ORLY, PAAS, PCLN, SNPS, WFMI Thursday, Feb 19 BMO – APA, CCC, CTL, DSX, EV, EXPE, GM, GG, HOS, MGM, NEM, PDCO, PNCL, RS, SPAR, S, TRAD, WST, XTO AMC – BUCY, CECO, CYH, RIO, DRYS, HE, JCOM, OIS, OSIP, RRGB, TSO, VLCMWBMD Fri Feb 20 BMO – ABX, JCP, LPNT, LOW,

Stocks to Watch on Tuesday Leading Stocks: Holding Above 30 DMA NFLX, ESI, MYGN, MON, SYNA, BLUD, APEI, HANS, WRC, GMCR, PCP, GES, GME, MHS, SWN, MOS, TDG, AAPL, BIIB, GPRO, WCG, VAR, BIDU, VPRT, FLS, AMZN, SLGN, ATW, PCLN, RBN, AMED, DLB, ORCL, PSYS, CTSH, ESRX, GILD, ICE, CPLA, GXDX, JCOM, JW.A, MUR, RCI Moving Above 30 DMA = 2 CHL, SPWRA Moving Below 30 DMA = 3 FSLR, HLF, EBAY Staying Below 30 DMA AMX, DV, STRA, PCR, PWR, RIMM, BDX, BYI, CAM, PPD, ACN, NIHD, SNHY, JOYG, CLB, DLTR, K, BKC, JOSB, JEC, PETS, NTLS, BAP, HDB, CBST, DECK, SNA, AFAM, EZPW, WAB, ALGT, AXYS

Friday’s Action (=> +0.70 or -0.70) Moving Up: STRA, ESRX, AGU, MEE, GS, CLF, HANS Moving Down: AEM, PNRA, MON, FSLR, X, KRE, GDX, KBE Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral – DJIA, SPX, Nasdaq, RUT Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

Hey these chart signals are pretty cool. Keep up the good work!

Dave Johnson said...

Doji,

ChartSignals are REAL...not hype opinions that one finds from other sources...some will work...some will fail...so what...next!

Thanks for noticing and the complement.

DJ

Anonymous said...

Dave:
I did trade MRVL for a profit Friday and did watch the other potential bull flags.
Thanks much for the ideas.
Also, as you say, we work in probabilities and control risk. Thanks for sharing where some of those probabilities may be-it's up to us to control the risk.
Have a Great Weekend.
Robert
CANI_212

Anonymous said...

Just got Dave's trading rooms once again when extending my toolbox subscription.(had them before but years ago) Highly recommend them for anyone considering them. On Tuesday I took a trade on GOLD for a nice profit. Usually I wait for end of day but it was helpful seeing Dave work live in his capstone session as the market was going on. It was helpful for me to just obey the entry signals instead of worrying about possibly being wrong.
Was inspired by Dave's idea to trade all 20 of the bull flags on paper. At first I thought I'll just find the best two and do them for real money, so I entered entered ILMN and TXN on Friday . But then I thought "why not go ahead and trade all the other ones on paper just like he recommended?" (they are all listed here in this blog under Feb. 12th "Life is Good") So I did. BOY DID I LEARN FAST! When you do so many in a short amount of time you quickly learn you strong points and weak points.
Thank you Dave for speeding up the learning process for all of us. And want to wish you and your family a Happy Valentines Day. Please make sure to tell them that your blog members asked you to express our appreciation especially to THEM, as what you are doing IS directly helping all of us and our families as well. HAPPY VALENTINES DAY TO THE ENTIRE JOHNSON CLAN.........

Dave Johnson said...

Scott,

Thank you for actually doing I as I teach and thank you for taking the time to share your experience. I hope everyone reads your comment and it inspires them too. I don't teach what I teach to impress people, I teach what I teach because I know it works and they will learn faster.

We hope your family has a Happy Valentine's Day also.

Thank you.

DJ

Dave Johnson said...

Robert,

Apparently you were so excited about your MRVL profit that you couldn't sleep on Saturday morning or you live on the east coast and just get up early, even on Saturdays.

Either way Congratulations and Happy Valentine's Day.

DJ