Wednesday, February 11, 2009
Bullish Harami at Support...
DJIA + 50.65, +0.64%
SP500 + 6.58, +0.80%
NASDAQ Comp. + 5.77, +0.38%
Russell 2000 + 2.18, +0.49%
Exchange NYSE NASD
Advancing 2,169 1,500
Declining 1,560 1,209
Oil $35.94 -$1.61
Gold $943.80 +$30.10
SOX 215.11 -2.22
VIX 44.53 -2.14
The VIX moved down confirming the move up in the SPX on Wednesday.
Strongest Sectors: XLF +4.81%...XLV +1.25%...XLY +0.78%
Weakest Sectors: XLE -1.14%...XLU -0.31%...XLB +0.00%
Sector Watch
Up Trending:
Sideways: XLE, XLP, XLU, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLK
Down Trending: XLF
Downward momentum paused on Wednesday as many stocks had fallen into areas of support on Tuesday. The DJIA and SPX traded near Tuesday’s lows and bounce. The Nasdaq and RUT traded lower and bounced. All four indices finished positive for the day after news of agreement on the economic stimulus bill.
The Financial Sector XLF +4.81% was Wednesday’s strongest sector after being Tuesday’s weakest sector. Bank stocks which fell more than 10% on Tuesday were positive on Wednesday: RF, Key, ZION, BAC, C, WFC, USB, STT
Ag-related stocks were mixed with AGU +2.76% after earnings were better than estimates…MOS, POT and CF moved lower.
Technology stocks were mixed with AAPL, ADBE, GOOG and QCOM moving lower while AMZN, MSFT, CSCO, ORCL, and SYMC moved higher. RIMM dropped -14.5% after commenting that Q4 earnings would come in at the low end of estimates
AKAM formed a black spinning top holding above its horizontal breakout level forming what appears to be horizontal bull flag.
AMZN formed a white candle that rose to middle of Tuesday’s black candle.
Index Commentary
The DJIA, SPX, Nasdaq and RUT all formed potential bullish haramis near Tuesday’s low and below the R1 of Tuesday’s black candle. The Nasdaq formed a doji while the other indices formed small spinning tops. Watch for confirmation of the haramis on Thursday.
Stock Commentary
Many stocks listed formed black candles with lower shadows. Since these stocks have fallen near support areas the lower shadows may indicate the potential for a short-term reversal. Today is a low day for many of these stocks.
BNI, UNP, NSC, CSX moved lower forming black candles with lower shadows
STLD, NUE, SCHN formed bullish haramis
X formed a black candle with a lower shadow
XLNX, ALTR, NSM, MRVL LLTC, TXN, NVLS moved lower forming black candles with lower shadows
KOL and WLT formed bullish haramis
BTU, JRCC, CNX, MEE, FCL all formed black candles with lower shadows
Earnings
Wednesday, Feb 11
Symbol Earnings Estimate
AGU +0.70 beat +0.64
AYE +0.51 below +0.52
CCE +0.22 beat +0.52
GENZ +1.04 beat +1.02
MMC +0.37 beat +0.32
MICC +0.61 below +1.52
NICE +0.50 beat +0.46
PFCB +0.31 beat +0.26
SKYW +0.37 below +0.46
ATVI +0.31 beat +0.29
CMG +0.52 beat +0.49
RE +2.93 beat +2.84
INSP -0.23 below -0.05
LVS -0.04 below +0.04
LOOP +0.12 beat +0.11
MOH +0.58 inline +0.58
NTAP +0.28 inline +0.28
STR +0.99 beat +0.84
RNR +0.47 below +1.13
TCO +0.87 beat +0.81
TEX +0.62 beat +0.61
TQNT +0.05 below +0.06
Numbers exclude non-recurring items
Thur Feb 12
BMO - AET, CPLA, KO, ECA, GCL, CLI, MAR, MLM, NXY, NRG, NWN, ZEUS, PTEN, RSH, REV, STRA, TASR, ULBI, WMI
AMC – ACAP, AGII, BIDU, COG, CEPH, CAKE, DRYS, ENH, GDI, MFE, NTGR, PNRA, RNWK, TK, WCLK, WYNN
Fri Feb 13
BMO – ANF, ALE, BAM, CTSH, ENB, PEP, WYN
Learn the Discipline
The Model Portfolio entered positions in ATW, AMX, BLUD, CHL, FLS, GES, HANS, ICE, GILD, PCLN, STRA on Wednesday. One position CAM at $21.61, a loss of $1.85, were stopped out. The other six positions did not hit their stops.
Of the original $152,000 in the model portfolio, approximately $34,000 is invested.
Stocks to Watch on Thursday
Leading Stocks:
Holding Above 30 DMA
NFLX, ESI, MYGN, MON, SYNA, BLUD, APEI, HANS, STRA, WRC, GMCR, PCP, GES, GME, MHS, SWN, MOS, TDG, AAPL, BIIB, GPRO, WCG, VAR, BIDU, VPRT, FLS, AMZN, SLGN, ATW, FSLR, PCLN, RBN, SPWRA, AMED, DLB, ORCL, PSYS, AMX, DV, EBAY
Moving Above 30 DMA = 4
CTSH, ESRX, GILD, ICE
Moving Below 30 DMA = 5
CHL, GXDX, PCR, PWR, RIMM
Staying Below 30 DMA
BDX, BYI, CAM, CPLA, JCOM, JW.A, MUR, PPD, RCI, ACN, NIHD, SNHY, JOYG, CLB, HLF, DLTR, K, BKC, JOSB, JEC, PETS, NTLS, BAP, HDB, CBST, DECK, SNA, AFAM, EZPW, WAB, ALGT, AXYS
Wednesday’s Action
Moving Up: STRA, MA, GS, AEM, GDX, MS, FSLR, V, ESRX, AGU, SOHU, KBE, FWLT NUE
Moving Down: POT, MOS, IPI, CF, MON, AFAM, UAUA
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral – DJIA, SPX, Nasdaq, RUT
Short Term Market Trend: Down
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5 comments:
what does BMO & AMC mean?
Dave
Are you using a bounce off the 30MA as your entry signal versus a break of it?
Rory
BMO = Before Market Opens
AMC = After Market Closes
Rory,
John is right...
BMO = Before Market Open
AMC = After Market Close
DJ
John,
Are you referring to the Model Portfolio?
Dave
Aloha Dave
Yes, meant the model portfolio.
Was noticing the entry adjustments based on market conditions and the anticipatory entry on the bounce.
John
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