Friday, September 18, 2015

SPX Rolls on Friday Following FOMC Announcement...Social Media LNKD, TWTR, P, FB Rise...

All nine sectors moved down on Friday…XLU, XLP, XLK were the strongest sectors while XLE was the weakest sector.

Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 2.29 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.72 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Friday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – weakened, advancers led
Wednesday – mixed, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliners led


SPY down 3.24 at 195.45 on 223.6 million shares, above average volume
VIX up 1.14 at 22.28…
TNX down .87 at 21.30…
TLT up 1.85 at 122.10…on 14.9 million shares
XLF down .44 at 22.66…on 69.2 million shares

AAPL down 0.47 at 113.45 on 74.2 million shares
FB up .06 at 94.40 on 62.2 million shares

Technical Commentary:
IWM -1.38%, SPY -1.63%, QQQ -1.66%, DIA -1.77%.

The day after the Fed choose to leave interest rates unchanged the SPX dropped 32 points.  For the week the SPX was down just three points.  Friday’s action in being interpreted by some as increased concerns over global economic growth.  The selloff however was not as severe as Aug 24 or Sep 1.  Key short-term support levels 1,911 and 1,903 the last two pullback lows on Sep 1 and Sep 4. 

Cruise line stocks CCL, RCL and NCLH which have among the strongest market components over the past three weeks, pulled back on Friday with the rest of the market.   CCL reports earnings Tuesday morning before the open.

Social media stocks LNKD, TWTR, GRUB, P and FB rose as some of the strongest stocks on Friday.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.

Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY =...199.84
QQQ = 105.61, 106.93
IWM = 115.70, 116.42…

Support Levels
SPY = 194.25, 192.59...
QQQ = 103.59, 100.63
IWM = 113.66, 111.60...


The SPX Market Forecast is pointed up at 44.

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Setups
Horizontal Breakout: QQQ, SPY, EXPE, ADBE, FB, AMZN, P, RPD, SINA, SUM, SWKS, AA,
Diagonal Breakout: BABA, SUNE, UBNT,
Bull Flag: IWM, AAPL, BBY, CRM, CTRP, GME, NCLH, NKE, RCL, SEDG, TPX, TSL, UA 
Bear Flag: GPRO, MBLY, QIHU,
At Support:  AIG, BAC, C, FAS, HOG, JCP, LVS, MS, NTES

Moves
New Highs: P,
H Breakout: ETSY, FIT
Gap Up: GLD, TLT, VXX,
Gap Down: ETFC, SCHW, STI, SVXY, TBT, ZION
Support Break: FSLR

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Watch List Stocks
Leading stocks > +2% on Friday: VXX, RPD, FIT
                                                       
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: SVXY, TSL, FAS, SCHW, BX, LVS, ETFC, FSLR, STI, GP;RO, GME, AMBA, SUNE, MS, JCP, CTRP, C, ZION, HOG, TPX, UA, UAL

8 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: ADBE, VIAB, SYMC, MYL, ATVI, CHKP, AMZN, FB

Lagging NDX stocks included: VRTX, WDC, MU, STX, JD, EXPD, SNDK, AKAM, WBA, MAR

NDX Stocks to Watch on Monday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
ADBE

Moving Below 30 DMA = 18
AKAM, BMRN, CA, CELG, CHRW, GILD, GOOG, ISRG, LLTC, LMCA, LRCX, MAR, SIRI, SNDK, VIP, VRTX, WBA, WFM


6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Down
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Down

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