Tuesday, October 14, 2014

Stocks Find Support After C, JPM, WFC and JNJ Report...Semis Rally...INTC After the Close Lifts Market Higher...

Six of nine sectors moved higher on Tuesday…XLI, XLU and XLY were the strongest sectors while XLV was the weakest. 

Breadth strengthened… advancers led decliners…1.55 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.64 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – strengthened, decliners led
Friday – strengthened, decliners led
Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY up .29 at 187.70 on 215.7 million shares, double average volume
VIX down -1.85 at 22.79…
TNX down .80 at 22.06…
TLT up .79 at 121.57...
XLF up .09 at 22.47 on 63.4 million shares, above average volume

AAPL down 1.06 at 98.75 on 63.7 million shares
FB up .60 at 73.59…on 50.3 million shares, forms a hammer candle

Technical Commentary:
IWM +1.17%, SPY +0.15%, DIA +0.06%, QQQ +0.01%.

After the largest three day selloff since 2011, stocks rallied on Tuesday following earning announcements from C, JPM, WFC and JNJ before the open.  C +1.57, +3.15% had a positive reaction for the third quarter in a row.  JNJ -2.11, -2.13% had a negative reaction for the second quarter in a row.  WFC -1.37, -2.73% also traded lower and JPM -0.17, -0.29% ended near unchanged.

INTC +0.67, +2.13% led the Dow and DAL +1.89, +6.12% led the SPXAAL +2.93, +10.25% and UAL +2.62, +6.46% also gained attributed to dissipating fears that Ebola virus will reduce air travel.

SWKS +3.59, +7.92% gained after raising Q4 guidance in July to $710 million from $680 million for revenues and earnings to $1.08 per share from $1.00.

Other semiconductor stocks also gained including NXPI +2.68, +4.97%, AVGO +2.98, +4.32% LRCX +1.69, +2.56%, AMAT +0.43, +2.22%, QCOM +1.15, +1.63% and MU +0.36, +1.33%.

After the close INTC +0.84, +2.61% beat estimates and the CFO indicated they see no downturn in the chip industryLLTC -0.71, -1.82% after- hours reported earnings that missed slightly and indicated that it was experiencing typical seasonal patterns and “overall, we remain optimistic about the increased electronics content in our end markets, especially automotive and industrial.” 

We’ll be watching on Wednesday to see if comments from SWKS, INTC and LLTC on Tuesday continue to create buying in semiconductor shares

Earnings continue on Wednesday with AXP, BAC, EBAY, KEY, LVS, NFLX and URI among others.  Let the games continue.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Earnings this week
Tuesday: C, CSX, INTC, JNJ, JPM, LLTC, WFC
Wednesday: AXP, BAC, EBAY, KEY, LVS, NFLX, URI
Thursday: AMD, BHI, BX, COF, DAL, GS, GOOGL, MAT, OSTK, SNDK, SLB, SCHW, XLNX,
Friday: BK, GE, HON, KSU, MS, STI

Q3 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – C, COST, BBBY, BBRY, MU, NKE, PAYX, LULU, PANW, ULTA, MFRM, SPLK,

More than 10% - NKE, ULTA, LULU, PANW, MFRM,

Negative Reactions – JNJ, WFC, AZO, ADBE, KKD, CIEN,

More than -10% -

Reversal in progress – AZO,

Reversal of Initial Reaction – KKD, BBRY, MU,

The SPY Market Forecast is at 11.

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Setups
Horizontal Breakout:  ANGI, NTES, RAX, GRMN,
Diagonal Breakout: GPRO, ZU,
Bull Flag: NKE, COST, GMCR, MNST,
Potential Bullish Divergence: JD, SWI, X, YELP, YY, Z, AKAM, CMCSA, PCLN, TSLA,
Gap Up: INTC, CSX
Gap Down: LLTC,
At Support: BABA, LOCO, TWTR, FB,
C- Pattern: NTES,

Moves
New Highs: TLT, ROST,
Bull Flag Bounce: ANGI, RAX,
Bounce: AAL, DAL, NTES, PANW, SWKS, UAL, AVGO,
MACD Divergence Bounce: C, GOGO, IWM, KKD, LNKD, MFRM, SSYS,   


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68 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: NXPI, AVGO, INTC, MU, CHRW, NFLX, GRMN, SNDK, PCAR, EXPD

Lagging NDX stocks included: ADSK, GILD, EXPE, ALXN, MYL, VRTX, ADBE, DISH, REGN, CHTR

Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday: AAL, SWKS, PANW, DAL, UAL, YELP, REX, SSYS, C, NTES, GOGO, SCTY, ZU, FAS, RCL, Z, AMBA, CTRP, LNKD

Lagging stocks < -3.0% included: SFUN, MBLY

Stocks to Watch on Wednesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 7
COST, MNST, PAYS, VRTX, SIAL, GMCR, ROST

Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
SRCL

Moving Below 30 DMA = 0

                                                                                             
Staying Below 30 DMA
AAPL, ALXN, DLTR, MYL, ADP, ADSK, BBBY, ISRG, YHOO, AMGN, CELG, CERN, CTSH, DTV, EBAY, FAST, FB, GILD, LBTYA, MSFT, NFLX, REGN, CSCO, EXPE, INTU, MU, SBAC, WFM, CHRW, DISH, FISV, AVGO, ALTR, BRCM, CTXS, INTC, KLAC, NTAP, BIDU,MAR, NXPI,SNDK, TXN, VOD, XLNX, SPLS, AKAM, BIIB, CHKP,GOOG, QCOM, CHTR, CMCSA, FFIV, LLTC, AMAT, CA, ESRX, EXPD, LMCA, LMCK, MXIM, SYMC, TRIP, VIAB, VRSK, EQIX, ILMN, MDLZ, NVDA, ORLY, SIRI, CTRX, KRFT, ADBE, AMZN, ATVI, FOXA, STX, TSLA, VIP, HSIC, SBUX, TSCO, DISCA, MAT, ADI, WDC, GRMN, PCLN, PCAR, WYNN

5-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Down

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