Friday, October 3, 2014

Stocks Continue Thursday's Bounce as SPY, DIA, QQQ Form Morning Star Pattern...

Eight of nine sectors moved higher on Friday… XLV, XLF, and XLI were the strongest sectors while XLE was the weakest. 

Breadth strengthened…advancers led decliners…2.10 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.98 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – weakened, decliners led


SPY up 2.14 at 194.33 on 121.5 million shares
VIX down 1.61 at 14.55…
TNX up .09 at 24.47…
TLT up .50 at 117.70...
XLF up .33 at 23.28 on 50.4 million shares

AAPL down .28 at 99.62 on 43.4 million shares
FB up .36 at 77.44…on 23.3 million shares

Technical Commentary:
DIA +1.23%, SPY +1.10%, QQQ +0.99%, IWM +0.75%.

Stocks continued to rally on Friday following Thursday’s intraday reversal and bounce.  The SPY, QQQ and DIA each formed a Morning Star 3-candle bullish pattern that requires no confirmation on Friday.

While the SPY, QQQ and DIA made short-term lower lows on the chart, each is still in an intermediate term higher low and each also formed a bullish white body hammer on the weekly chart.

                    (click image to enlarge)


With long and intermediate term uptrend and bullish candles on both the daily and weekly charts, Chart Signals is looking for the intermediate term up trend to continue next week.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 198.98, 200.65, 201.90...
QQQ = 99.75, 100.56
IWM = 109.8, 111.27, 112.46...

Support Levels
SPY = 194.35, 193.03, 190.28...
QQQ = 96.94, 96.17, 95.06
IWM = 107.43, 106.74...

Earnings this weekAA, COST

Sep Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – BBBY, BBRY, MU, NKE, PAYX, LULU, PANW, ULTA, MFRM, SPLK,

More than 10% - NKE, ULTA, LULU, PANW, MFRM,

Negative Reactions – AZO, ADBE, KKD, CIEN,

More than -10% -

Reversal in progress –

Reversal of Initial Reaction – KKD,

The SPY Market Forecast green line is at 28 and lags price bounce

____________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: CRM, LNKD, MBLY, NKE, SFUN, SPLK, ROST, SBUX,
Diagonal Breakout: HPQ, MFRM, X, MSFT,
Bull Flag: AMBA, GPRO, EBAY, FB, MU,
Potential Bullish Divergence: CTRP, GRMN, PCLN, WDC,


Moves
New Highs: PANW,
H Breakout: TWTR, TSLA,
D Breakout: ETFC, SPLK, UAL, VRSN, FFIV,
Breakout Test:   
Bull Flag Bounce: SPY, BAC, BBY, SCHW, CELG, GILD,
Bounce: AIG, C, CRM, DAL, FAS, GOGO, IWM, LNKD, MS, NKE, RCL, SWKS, ZU, GMCR, GOOGL, ILMN, MNST, ROST, SBUX, STX,
MACD Divergence Bounce: AAL, JCP, SCTY, YY, ADBE, AMZN, CMCSA, EXPE,
Gap Up: MBLY, NFLX,


______________________

91 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday and one was unchanged.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: MYL, ALXN, VRTX FFIV, ADP, AKAM, CELG, CHTR, EXPE, DISH

Lagging NDX stocks included: ALTR, EBAY, XLNX, LLTC, KLAC, ADI, AAPL, TXN

Leading stocks > +2% on Friday included: SPLK, AAL, PANW, YY, MBLY, DAL, UAL, ZU, TWTR, FAS, JCP, RCL, CRM, SWKS, SCTY, SPWR, ETFC, SFUN, BAC, LOCO, MS, BX, GOGO, P, C, HPQ

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: KNDI, FEYE, UBNT, RWLK


Stocks to Watch on Monday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 20
COST, MNST, ROST, PAYX, DTV, VRTX, INTU, ADSK, REGN, SIAL, BBBY, CSCO, MU, YHOO, EBAY, ALXN, CERN, DLTR, FB, ISRG

Moving Above 30 DMA = 11
ADP, AMGN, CELG, CHRW, DISH, FAST, FISV, GILD, GMCR, MYL, SBAC                                                 

Moving Below 30 DMA = 0

                                                                                             
Staying Below 30 DMA
AVGO, ALTR, BRCM, CTXS, EXPE, INTC, KLAC, MSFT, NTAP,BIDU, MAR, NXPI, SNDK, TXN, VOD, XLNX, AAPL, LBTYA, SPLS, AKAM, BIIB, CHKP, GOOG, QCOM, CHTR, CMCSA, FFIV, LLTC, WFM, AMAT, CA, ESRX, EXPD, LMCA, MXIM, SYMC, TRIP, VIAB, VRSK, EQIX, ILMN, MDLZ, NVDA, ORLY, SIRI, CTRX, KRFT, ADBE, AMZN, ATVI, FOXA, LINTA, NFLX, STX, TSLA, VIP, HSIC, SBUX, SRCL, TSCO, DISCA, MAT, ADI, WDC, GRMN, PCLN, PCAR, CTSH, WYNN

Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

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