Thursday, January 16, 2014

Stocks End Lower...S&P 500 Retreats From Yesterday's All-Time High...Solar Stocks Sizzle Again...SCTY Up 12.12%...SPWR Up 10.26%...

Five of nine sectors moved higher on Thursday…XLU, XLV and XLB were the strongest sectors…while XLF was the weakest sector. 

Breadth weakened as advancers led decliners 1.38 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.05 to 1 on the NASDAQ where decliners led advancers.

Thursday – weakened, mixed
Wednesday – weakened, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY down .24 at 184.42 volume 72.2 million shares, below average volume
VIX up .25 at 12.53…
TNX down .41 at 28.43…
TLT up .70 at 105.04...
XLF down .14 at 22.00 volume 47 million shares

AAPL down 3.11 at 554.25 volume 8.2 million shares
FB down .41 at 57.19…volume 34.5 million shares, below average volume


Technical Commentary: 
DIA – 0.36%, SPY – 0.13%, QQQ + 0.01%, IWM + 0.12%.

Stocks ended lower on Thursday’s trading session with the S&P losing 2.5 points while retreating from yesterday’s high and the DJIA losing 64.93…after disappointing earnings reports from BBY, C, and GS.

SCTY sizzled today by breaking horizontal resistance with a bounce and a gap up in trading today continuing on yesterday’s trend and closed at an all-time high gaining 8.30 in today’s session and advanced 12.12%.  SPWR also sizzled in today’s trading and is within .15 of its previous all-time high of 35.39 made on October 21, 2013.  SPWR gained 3.27 today or 10.26% on 7 million shares.



The intermediate-term trend is still up, while the short-term trend is neutral.

Trade with the trend, move your protective stops.  Continue to follow your rules.

Remember it is big money that creates and sustains the trend.  As Granville wrote, “technical analysis is the art of tracking the market, following the footsteps of the ‘smart money’ crowd.  The ‘smart money crowd’ is no mysterious ‘THEY.’  It is simply a collection of people who are reading the market correctly, seeing through the maze, unconfused by this hall of mirrors.”

Short-term up trend Chart Targets:
SPY = 184.69, 186.06, 186.90
QQQ = 87.79, 88.74
IWM = 115.98, 116.70, 118.54

Q4 earnings season is underway.

Monday – WEN
Tuesday – JPM, LLTC, WFC
Wednesday – BAC, CSX, FAST
Thursday – AXP, COF, C, GS, INTC, SWKS, UNH
Friday – GE, MS, SLB, STI

Q4 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – BAC, LLTC, WEN, MON, MU, STZ, APOL



Negative Reactions – FAST, AA, FDO, BBBY, SCHN,

Reversal of Initial Reaction – FDO, AA,


The Market Forecast Green Line is pointed up above 80.

____________________

Setups 
H Breakout: AMGN, BRCM, GRMN, PCLN, SNDK, SYMC, TSLA, IBM, ANGI, DDD, ESI, IBM, LNKD, QIHU, RAX, SPWR, TSL, YOKU,
Diagonal Breakout: EBAY, MCD, VZ, TWTR,
Bull Flag: MRK,  
Potential Bullish Divergence: 
Gap Up:
Gap Down:
Bear Flag: 
At Support: CVX,  
C- Pattern:

Moves
New Highs: ADSK, GILD, GOOG, QCOM, A, P, UAL,
Gap Up: SCTY, SPLK,          
Gap Down: C,      
H Breakout:  
Diagonal Breakout: MSFT, F,   
Breakout Test: 
Bounce: XONE,  
MACD Divergence Bounce: 
Bear Flag: 
Support Break: WMT,  

______________________


41 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday and two were unchanged.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: TSLA, GILD, ILMN, VRTX, GOLD, ALXN, BIDU, CELG, NXPI

Lagging NDX stocks included: SPLS, AVGO, CTXS, DISH, YHOO, AMAT, EXPE, KLAC, SBUX

Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday included: SCTY, SPWR, LNKD, XONE, SPLK, ANGI, DDD, QIHU, ESI, YOKU

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: SINA, C, FIVE, MCP, MFRM, GS

Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 76
CTSH, FISV, WDC, GOOG, ILMN, LLTC, EXPE, ADSK, ESRX, ALXN, MDLZ, YHOO,  SIAL, CMCSA, LBTYA, GMCR, STX, DTV, BRCM, WYNN, FB, AVGO, INTC, EQIX, ORLY, ADBE, AKAM, VIAB, CA, CHKP, FFIV, PCAR, SNDK, VRTX, XLNX, CTRX, KRFT, AMAT, CSCO, SBAC, CHTR, HSIC, SIRI, AMGN, ISRG, MU, MYL, TRIP, BIIB, CHRW, EXPD, ADP, ALTR, AMZN, CTXS, EBAY, GILD, INTU, KLAC, MXIM, NVDA, QCOM, SRCL, VOD, TXN, ADI, REGN, TSLA, VIP, NXPI, AAPL, CERN, GRMN, NTAP, PCLN, SYMC

Moving Above 30 DMA = 2
CELG, GOLD

Moving Below 30 DMA = 3
LINTA, DISH, TSCO

Staying Below 30 DMA
BIDU, FAST, ATVI, PAYX, ROST, DLTR, BBBY, SPLS, FOXA, MAT, DISCA, WFM, VRSK, NFLX, MSFT, COST, SBUX, LMCA


Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up

3-Day Short Term Market Trend: Up

1 comment:

Gary said...

Good Morning Dave!

I just read an article that MU has added a new $23 option strike price. I know you like to sell premium from time to time and there's some nice premium there.

Have a great weekend!

Gary