Thursday, January 30, 2014

Stocks Bounce On US Economy Growth of 3.2% For Last Qtr Of 2013...FB Helps With Gain Of 14.10% After Positive Earnings Report...ALXN Reports Positive Earnings...ALXN Up 21.14%...

All nine sectors moved higher on Thursday…XLV, XLY and XLU were the strongest sectors…while XLP was the weakest sector. 

Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 3.27 to 1 on the NYSE and 3.07 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – Strengthened, advancers led
Monday – strengthened, decliners led
Friday – weakened, decliners led


SPY up 1.88 at 179.23 volume 116.1 million shares
VIX down .06 at 17.29…
TNX up .18 at 26.93…
TLT down .31 at 107.5...
XLF up .30 at 21.31 volume 45.9 million shares

AAPL down .97 at 499.78 volume 24.2 million shares
FB up 7.55 at 61.08…volume 150.1 million shares, above average volume


Technical Commentary: 
QQQ + 1.85%, IWM + 1.49%, SPY + 1.06%, DIA + 0.68%.

With the news that the US Economy expanded in the last three months of 2013…experiencing a growth of 3.2% and a total of 1.9% for all of 2013…the pump was primed for stocks to jump…and jump they did…with the S&P 500 gaining 19.99…the NASDAQ gaining 71.69…best gain since October 10, 2013…and the DJIA adding 109.82.  Of course, FB added to the pump priming with their ‘better than expected’ earnings report…surprising Wall Street analysts and investors alike.  FB finished the day up 7.55…that’s a gain of 14.10% after earnings.  FB traded 150.3 million shares in today’s session.

ALXN reported their positive earnings and much to the smiles and nods of investors…soared to finished the day up 28.27 or 21.14% on volume of 5.8 million shares.  That’s touching near rocket science guys!

CMG also reported earnings…posting 30% higher profits…in after-hours trading…CMG is up 63.24 or 12.80%.  Serve me up another Pork Burrito folks!

In after-hours trading and after negative earnings report…AMZN is trading down 20.01 or 4.97%. 


Monday kicks off a huge week for earnings AAPL, CAT, RCL, STX, X, and ZION just on Monday.  On Tuesday CMCSA, DD, F, ILMN, VMW and YHOO.  On Wednesday FB, BA and QCOM report and Thursday releases MMM, AMZN, CELG, CMG, GOOG and V.  The week wraps with BIDU, CVX and MA on Friday.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and move your protective stops.  Continue to follow your rules.

Remember it is big money that creates and sustains the trend.  As Granville wrote, “technical analysis is the art of tracking the market, following the footsteps of the ‘smart money’ crowd.  The ‘smart money crowd’ is no mysterious ‘THEY.’  It is simply a collection of people who are reading the market correctly, seeing through the maze, unconfused by this hall of mirrors.”

Short-term up trend Chart Targets:
SPY = 181.34, 183.40, 184.69
QQQ = 88.18, 89.00
IWM = 114.48, 116.70

Support Levels
SPY = 179.12, 177.74, 176.36
QQQ = 86.38, 85.67
IWM = 113.26, 112.14, 110.71


Q4 earnings season continues into the third full week…

Monday – AAPL, CAT, RMBS, RCL, STX, X, ZION
Tuesday – AKS, AAL, AMGN, CHKP, CRUS, CMCSA, GLW, DD, EA, F, ILMN, LXK, NUE, OI, VMW, YHOO
Wednesday – BIIB, BA, CTXS, DOW, EMC, FB, LRCX, LVS, PSX, QCOM, TSCO, VLO
Thursday – MMM, ALXN, AMZN, BZH, BRCM, CELG, CMG, CL, LLY, XOM, GOOG, HOG, JDSU, MTW, OSTK, BTU, POT, PHM, RVBD, RYL, SHW, BX, TWC, UPS, VIAB, V, WHR, 
Friday – BIDU, CVX, CNX, MA, MAT, NOV, PCAR, SPG, TSN


Q4 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – V, GOOG, CMG, CELG, QCOM, BA, FB, DD, F, CAT, RCL, JNPR, MSFT, KMB, PG, MXIM, SBUX, NFLX, FFIV, URI, UNP, EBAY, MCD, CREE, TXN, UTX, NUAN, XLNX, BHI, DAL, RF, MS, SLB, STI, AXP, SWKS, BAC, LLTC, WEN, MON, MU, STZ, APOL


Negative Reactions – AMZN, ILMN, VMW, YHOO, HON, KSU, SWK, STT, ALTR, ISRG, KLAC, KEY, JCI, LMT, WDC, ABT, BAX, ATI, COH, FCX, AMD, IBM, HAL, JNJ, TRV, VZ, GE, COF, INTC, UNH, C, GS, CSX, FAST, AA, FDO, BBBY, SCHN,  

Reversal of Initial Reaction – FAST, FDO, AA


The Market Forecast Green Line is below 80.

____________________

Setups
H Breakout: JNPR, SCTY, ESRX, MSFT,    
Diagonal Breakout: BAC, DDD, FSLR, MCP, SOHU, SPWR, SSYS, SWI, TSL, Z, MU,
Bull Flag: NTAP,   
Potential Bullish Divergence: SCSS,     
Gap Up:  
Gap Down:
Bear Flag:  
At Support:  
C- Pattern:

Moves
New Highs:  
Gap Up: GRPN, P, TWTR, FB, GOOG, ALXN        
Gap Down:    
H Breakout: QIHU, RCL, TSLA,   
Diagonal Breakout: CIEN,  
Breakout Test: 
Bounce: A, CRM, FAS, GOGO, IBM, IWM, LNKD, LVS, NKE, SPLK, SPY, TPX, VRSN, YNDX, ADSK, AKAM, AMZN, CMCSA, CTSH, DTV, EBAY, GILD, GMCR, GRMN, PCLN, QCOM, TRIP, TXN, WDC, WYNN,
MACD Divergence Bounce:   
Bear Flag: 
Support Break: ESI, CELG,  

______________________


89 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: ALXN, FB, AMZN, TSLA, VRTX, BIIB, FOXA, CERN, REGN, WYNN, ADSK, VIAB

Lagging NDX stocks included: CTXS, SYMC, GOLD, CELG

Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday included: P, QIHU, TWTR, SPLK, GOGO, LVS, CRM, SCTY, YELP

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: ESI, UNG, KKD

Stocks to Watch on Friday

Holding Above 30 DMA= 31
ILMN, ESRX, MNST, CMCSA, AVGO, EQIX, AKAM, FFIV, VRTX, XLNX, CTRX, SBAC, AMGN, ISRG, MU, MYL, BIIB, GILD, MXIM, NXPI, TSLA, NTAP, GOLD, NFLX, CHTR, ALTR, ALXN, CHKP, REGN, CHRW, MSFT

Moving Above 30 DMA = 16
ADSK, AMZN, BRCM, CERN, DISH, DTV, FB, GMCR, GOOG, HSIC, ORLY, SIAL, SRCL, VRSK, WDC, WYNN

Moving Below 30 DMA = 1
SYMC

Staying Below 30 DMA
SIRI, CSCO, STX, EBAY, PCLN, QCOM, AAPL, ADBE, AMAT, CA, CELG, CTSH, EXPD, FAST, FISV, KLAC, LLTC, NVDA, PCAR, SNDK, TXN, VIP, VOD, ADI, ADP, BIDU, CTXS, GRMN, KRFT, EXPE, INTC, INTU, LBTYA, MDLZ, TRIP, VIAB, YHOO, LINTA, TSCO, ATVI, PAYX, ROST, DLTR, BBBY, FOXA, SPLS, DISCA, MAT, WFM, COST, LMCA,SBUX


Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral




No comments: