Thursday, May 9, 2013

Stocks Take A Rest After A Multi-Day Run...GMCR Up 27.84% After Posting Positive Earnings Report...TSLA Up 24.40%...MCP Up 6% In Late Trading...


Two of nine sectors moved higher on Thursday…XLY, XLV, and XLI were the strongest sectors…XLU was the weakest sector.

Breadth weakened…decliners led advancers 1.80 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.53 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday – weakened, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, advancers led
Friday – weakened slightly, advancers led



SPY down .46 at 162.88volume 106.7 million shares
VIX up .47 at 13.13
TNX up .53 at 18.13
TLT down .31 at 120.04...
XLF down .14 at 19.17volume 37.7 million shares                 

AAPL down 4.02 at 456.77volume 14.2 million shares
FB down .08 at 27.04volume 33.4 million shares


Technical Commentary:
QQQ - 0.14%, SPY - 0.28%, DIA - 0.07% and IWM - 0.34% each pulling back on Thursday. 

GMCR rose an astounding 16.56 to close up 27.84% after positive earnings report.

TSLA likewise rose after posting positive earnings report and closed up 13.61 or 24.40%.

AAPL closed down 4.02 and is near a horizontal breakout.

MCP jumps up late Thursday…up 6% after earnings report beats estimates.

SPY takes a rest on Thursday and saw a small pullback of .45 after a multi-day run which began April 19.



Trade what you see on the chart of your position.  The intermediate term trend is up with a horizontal resistance breakout setup.  Traders should lock in profits when targets are reachedAs always look for re-entry according to your rules.


Chart Signals Strategy Guidelines
Technical setups for short-term option trades be in and out by earnings release.
Over earnings release use earnings option strategies such as straddles, strangles, OTM calls or puts.
After earnings look for bullish setups in positive reaction stocks and bearish setups in negative reaction stocks.

EPS Reaction Summary
EPS Gainers –  PCLN, GMCR, GRPN, TSLA, GRPN, EA, DVA, WFM, CTSH, DTV, LBTYA, AIG, ADP, CBOE, REGN, FB, BZH, EXPD, GM, MDC, STX, V, YELP, ICE, JRCC, VIAB, CMCSA, DDD, AVP, HLF, CERN, CVX, DHI, TWC, ANGI, AKAM, ALXN, ALTR, BIIB, COG, CLF, CROX, DOW, ESI, FFIV, HOG, LRCX, LVS, MO, PHM, RCL, SIAL, XLNX, BA, BRCM, GLW, HES, DAL, COH, DD, NFLX, ILMN, VECO, LCC, RF, ZION, TRV, LMT, CAT, CHKP, HAL, HAS, CMG, GOOG, KMB, STI, MSFT, BTU, PEP, UNP, VZ, MAT, AXP, JNJ, INTC, KO, C

EPS Losers – ATVI, MNST, Z, LNKD, TPX, ZAGG, CTRX, GRMN, MRK, SWI, AMZN, BIDU, CRUS, DECK, EXPE, HSY, KLAC, MXIM, QCOM, PTEN, ABC, MMM, AMGN, T, JNPR, PNRA, VMW, GE, IBM, ISRG, MCD, MS, PM, UNH, SNDK, EBAY, BAC, USB, GS, LLTC


Key Earnings this week:
Monday – DDS, FSLR, LBTYA
Tuesday – DIS, DTV, MDLZ, SYMC, Z
Wednesday – ATVI, CTSH, EA, GRPN, RAX, TSLA
Thursday – PCLN, NVDA, XRAY, DISH



The Market Forecast Green Line is pointed up in the Upper Zone.

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Setups
H Breakout:  AAPL, AMAT, BBBY, ESRX, NTAP, PCLN, SHLD, FIVE, FSLR, NFLX, P,

Diagonal Breakout:  CSCO, DELL, FAST, FB, FFIV, ORCL, QCOM, ANR, ATI, CMG, WLT,

Bull Flag:  ADBE, CMCSA, MSFT, MYL, ROST, SIRI, STX, WDC, YHOO, ALK, BAC, CNX, JCP, LVS, SPLK, SSYS, UAL, UNG, YELP, Z,

Potential Bullish Divergence:

Gap Up:

Gap Down: 

Bear Flag: 

At Support: AMGN, NUAN, ANGI, LNKD, TLT, UNG,


Moves
New Highs:  AKAM, BRCM, DTV, INTC, MU, WYNN, CREE, GLW, P, ZION,

Gap Up:  GMCR, GRPN, TSLA,

Gap Down:   ATVI, MNST,

H&D Breakout:  BIDU, BBRY, JNPR, NFLX,

Bounce:  GILD, CMG, TPX,

MACD Divergence Bounce:

Bear Flag: 

Support Break: 

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45 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included:  MU, NWSA, ISRG, SNDK, ADP, VRTX, DTV, ALXN, CTXS, BIDU, AVGO, LINTA

Lagging NDX stocks included:  STRZA, ATVI MNST, STX, XRAY, ADBE, LBTYA, INTU, WDC, CHRW, CTRX, EXPE, VMED, EXPD, NUAN EQIX, FOSL

Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday included: GMCR, TSLA, GRPN, CRUS, NFLX, BBRY, ZAGG, YELP, TPX, ESI, HLF

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  CDE, ANR, AKS, SWI, UAL, JDSU, CLF, VMW, FAS


Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 80
STRZA, ADP, GILD, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, YHOO, SBAC, MSFT, SRCL,REGN, VOD, BBBY, LIFE, ROST, WYNN, DLTR, INTC, DTV, NWSA, SBUX, VRTX, WFM, COST, WDC, AKAM, AMAT, GOOG, NVDA, SIAL, SIRI, STX, TXN, BMC, BRCM, CA, SYMC, ALXN, ESRX, ORLY, PCAR, XLNX, CERN, CMCSA, FB, AAPL, FOSL, KLAC, LINTA, MCHP, XRAY, VRSK, CHKP, ORCL, SHLD, VIAB, EQIX, VMED, LBTYA, CELG, EXPD, GRMN, LLTC, MYL, PCLN, ADI, ADSK, MU, NTAP, SPLS, ALTR, BIDU, HSIC, FISV, SNDK, AVGO, EBAY, FFIV, GOLD, MXIM

Moving Above 30 DMA =1
ISRG

Moving Below 30 DMA = 4
ADBE, ATVI, MNST, MDLZ

Staying Below 30 DMA
CHRW, PRGO, DISCA, AMGN, CSCO, CTRX, FAST, NUAN, AMZN, EXPE, QCOM, CTSH, DELL, INTU, CTXS

Five Month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up

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