Wednesday, May 15, 2013

SPY, IWM, QQQ, XLF New High Close as GOOG, NFLX, YHOO Gain as AAPL, FB Move Lower...


Eight of nine sectors moved higher on Wednesday…XLP, XLU, and XLF were the strongest sectors…XLE was the weakest sector.

Breadth weakened slightlyadvancers led decliners 1.20 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.28 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Wednesday – weakened, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – weakened, decliners led


SPY up .89 at 166.12volume 120.7 million shares
VIX up .04 at 12.81
TNX down .09 at 19.43
TLT up .78 at 117.34...
XLF up .18 at 19.84volume 47.1 million shares                 

AAPL down 15.01 at 428.85volume 26.4 million shares
FB down .47 at 26.60volume 30.2 million shares


Technical Commentary:
SPY + .54%, DIA + 0.43%, IWM + .20% and QQQ + 0.20%.     

After rising the four broad ETFs pulled back on profit taking after the SPY and DIA reached their S&R  measuring distance price targets and then rallied during the last hour of the trading day make another a new high close.  The financial sector XLF moved to a new high while the consumer staples sector XLP also made a new high close.

SPY reached its S&R measuring price target of 165.87.
DIA reached its S&R measuring price target of 152.80.
QQQ stayed just above its S&R measuring price target of 73.46.
IWM stayed just above its 161 Fib breakout target of 97.90.


QQQ trailed the other ETFs on Wednesday lagging due to continued weakness in AAPL -15.01 which continues to form a bull flag pattern following its 80 point rise from April 19 to May 7.

GOOG, NFLX and YHOO made new highs on Wednesday.  A gapped up after earnings and JCP reports earnings on Thursday.  TSLA formed a spinning top after pulling back on Tuesday and Wednesday to a higher low.

The Euro moved down 43 pips to 1.2888 and the dollar rose.  TNX interest rates were down slightly and TLT bonds rose.

It’s time to move stops up to protect profits as traders stay with the trend.

Trade what you see on the chart of your position.  The intermediate term trend is up with a horizontal resistance breakout setup.  Traders should lock in profits when targets are reachedAs always look for re-entry according to your rules.


Chart Signals Strategy Guidelines
Technical setups for short-term option trades be in and out by earnings release.
Over earnings release use earnings option strategies such as straddles, strangles, OTM calls or puts.
After earnings look for bullish setups in positive reaction stocks and bearish setups in negative reaction stocks.


EPS Reaction Summary
EPS Gainers –  A, MCP, WCRX, NVDA, PCLN, GMCR, GRPN, TSLA, EA, DVA, WFM, CTSH, DTV, LBTYA, AIG, ADP, CBOE, REGN, FB, BZH, EXPD, GM, MDC, STX, V, YELP, ICE, JRCC, VIAB, CMCSA, DDD, AVP, HLF, CERN, CVX, DHI, TWC, ANGI, AKAM, ALXN, ALTR, BIIB, COG, CLF, CROX, DOW, ESI, FFIV, HOG, LRCX, LVS, MO, PHM, RCL, SIAL, XLNX, BA, BRCM, GLW, HES, DAL, COH, DD, NFLX, ILMN, VECO, LCC, RF, ZION, TRV, LMT, CAT, cCHKP, HAL, HAS, CMG, GOOG, KMB, STI, MSFT, BTU, PEP, UNP, VZ, MAT, AXP, JNJ, INTC, KO, C, APOL

EPS Losers – DISH, XRAY, ATVI, RAX, MNST, Z, LNKD, TPX, ZAGG, CTRX, GRMN, MRK, SWI, AMZN, BIDU, CRUS, DECK, EXPE, HSY, KLAC, MXIM, QCOM, PTEN, ABC, MMM, AMGN, T, JNPR, PNRA, VMW, GE, IBM, ISRG, MCD, MS, PM, UNH, SNDK, EBAY, BAC, USB, GS, LLTC


The Market Forecast Green Line is in the Upper Zone.

____________________

Setups
H Breakout:  ATVI, BIDU, MNST, ORCL, QCOM, ROST, SYMC, ANGI, TPX,

Diagonal Breakout:  FFIV,

Bull Flag: AAPL, AMGN, AMZN, BBBY, CELG, CSCO, DELL, ESRX, FB, GRMN, WYNN, ATI, CLF, CNX, JNPR, LVS, TSLA, WLT,

Potential Bullish Divergence:

Gap Up:

Gap Down: 

Bear Flag: 

At Support:  NUAN, ANR, BBRY,


Moves
New Highs:   AKAM, BRCM, CMCSA, COST, DTV, FAST, NVDA, PCLN, SBUX, SHLD, YHOO, BAC, C, FAS, GMCR, NFLX, NTES, RCL, SSYS, STI,

Gap Up:   GOOG, SIRI,

Gap Down:  GLD,

H&D Breakout:  GILD, MAT, MNST, MSFT, MU, SNDK, WDC, WFM, XLNX, GLW, UAL,

Bounce:  ADBE, CTSH, INTC, TXN, CREE,

MACD Divergence Bounce:

Bear Flag: 

Support Break: 

______________________


70 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included:  CTSH, GOOG, YHOO, INTU, MNST, AKAM, ADBE, SIRI, DLTR, MU, PCLN, SHLD, SIAL, NVDA, COST

Lagging NDX stocks included:  GOLD, AAPL, REGN, ALXN, VRTX, FB, WYNN, ATVI, BIIB, NUAN, CTXS, LBTYA

Leading stocks > +2% on Wednesday included: TSL, NFLX, A, UAL LDK, F, C, FAS

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  SOHU, CLF, DE, MCP, CDE, YELP, DECK, FAZ, X, CRUS, ANR

Stocks to Watch on Thursday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 86
ADP, GILD, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, YHOO, SBAC, MSFT, SRCL ,REGN, VOD, BBBY, LIFE, ROST, WYNN, DLTR, INTC, DTV, NWSA, SBUX, VRTX, WFM, COST, WDC, AKAM, AMAT, GOOG, NVDA, SIAL, SIRI, STX, TXN, BMC, BRCM, CA, ALXN, ESRX, ORLY, PCAR, XLNX, CERN, CMCSA, AAPL, FOSL, KLAC, LINTA, MCHP, XRAY, VRSK, CHKP, ORCL, SHLD, VIAB, EQIX, VMED, LBTYA, CELG, EXPD, GRMN, LLTC, MYL, PCLN, ADI, ADSK, MU, NTAP, SPLS, ALTR, BIDU, HSIC, FISV, SNDK, AVGO, EBAY, FFIV, AMZN, ATVI, CSCO, FAST, QCOM, PRGO, AMGN, EXPE, MNST, SYMC, MDLZ

Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
ADBE, DISCA, STRZA

Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
MXIM, FB

Staying Below 30 DMA
GOLD, ISRG, CHRW, CTRX, NUAN, CTSH, DELL, INTU, CTXS

Five Month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up

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