Friday, February 22, 2013

SPY Bull Flag Bounce as TXN, MU Lead NDX...


All nine sectors moved higher on Friday with XLB, XLF and XLK the strongest sectors .   XLV was the weakest sector. 

Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners3.04 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.64 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – strengthened, decliners led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday - strengthened, advancers led
Monday – President’s Day Holiday


SPY up 1.47 at 151.89...volume 106.3 million shares…
VIX down -1.05 at 14.17
TNX down -.09 at 19.67…
TLT up 8 cents at 117.03…
XLF
up 22 cents at 17.74…volume 43.3 million shares

AAPL up 4.75 at 450.81…volume 11.8 million shares…
FB down -15 cents at`27.13on volume of 36.3 million shares…


Technical Commentary:
After a two day selloff many stocks bounced on Friday creating a re-entry signal on many charts.  Following the drop in selling pressure on Thursday buying pressure took control on Friday.  IWM +1.20%, QQQ +1.01%, SPY +0.98% and DIA +0.94% creating bull flag entry bounces.

AAPL shares moved up 4.75 forming a potential triple bottom.  Some traders look to sell premium strategies at this technical formation.  FB moved down 15 cents made a similar low while continuing to form a potential MACD bullish divergence.

The Euro rose 3 pips and closed at 1.3192 on Friday.

Trade what you see on the chart of your position. Many stocks may have produced exit signals on Wednesday as many stocks began to rollover giving traders reason to protect profits. If positions were exited, begin to look for potential re-entry according to your rules.

While the broad market is still in an intermediate term uptrend, the two day short-term trend bounced up in its bull flag pattern on Friday creating a re-entry signal into the trend.


WDC +0.36% is at support and STX +0.38% is forming a potential MACD bullish divergence following its break of short-term support on Wednesday.


The Market Forecast Green Line is in the upper reversal zone. 
____________________


Setups
Breakout:  TXN, STZ, MCHP, ATVI, FIVE, TW, CLB, SHLD, FTNT

Diagonal Breakout: BBRY, SLB, QCOM, CRM, PBI, ORLY, HES, NUS, GME, COST

Bull Flag:  GS,  SWK, MAS, ZION, JDSU, STRZA, SINA, FOSL, MWV, TEX, CBG, GCI, BPOP, Z, C, TSCO, RSH, MDRX, PNC, CBOE, AMAT, SMH, PMCS, ESI, SPWR, AVX, AGO, GLW, CRR, ANR, AVP, ATI, CSTR, GES, IM, ANGI, RL, DECK, CNW,   2 day – NFLX, MTW, FAST, NTES, ALTR, MJN, PTEN, P,  ADI, AOL, GNC, ATML, AGO, TIF, WBC, ADM, KORS, GRPN, MBI, PRGO

Potential Bullish Divergence:  FB, CTSH, ORCL, BBRY, BTU, EQIX, COST, VECO, JNPR, FFIV, STX, RCL, ACI

Gap Up:

Gap Down:

Bear Flag:  AMZN, HSP, TFM, CTL, CPA, ULTA, STI,

Break of Support:  WLT, NBR, AVGO, ROST, WDC, JRCC, DNDN, MGM, A, PCLN,


Moves
Highlights: CTXS, NFLX, SINA, NTES, FSLR, WHR, TPX, BBRY, FB

Gap Up:  WBMD, ARUN, HPQ, BLOX, FIRE, COG, GDI, AWAY

Gap Down: INT, NDSN,

Breakout:  PM
 
Bounce:  FAS, TXN, CERN, VIAB, LNKD, MCHP, CTXS, STZ, WYN, JPM, ICE, MS, CME, FIVE, ALB, ZNGA, XRX, ATVI, FTI, VMI,  AIZ, LVS, DPS, RMD, SWKS, PAY, PPO, LIFE, OC, GRMN,

MACD Divergence Bounce: WHR,

Bear Flag:  AKAM

Support Break:  DE, CCL, CLF, RAX, IPI

____________________


86 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included:  TXN, MU, SBAC, SYMC, DTV, DISCA, LINTA, VRTX, AMAT, INTU

Lagging NDX stocks included:  AKAM, ESRX, SIRI, FB, NTAP, CMCSA, SHLD, GOLD, PRGO, AMZN

Leading stocks> +2% on Friday included: TPX, TSL, CROX, FAS, LS, SWKS, ZAGG, TSLA, CMG, CRUS, SWI, CIEN, GS

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  ANF, NFLX, FAZ, HUM, HLF, ANR


Stocks to Watch on Monday…
Holding Above 30 DMA = 43
VMED, ADI, LLTC, XLNX, DELL, NWSA, AMAT, KLAC, CHKP, FAST, MCHP, SNDK, STRZA, ADP, SRCL, SYMC, CA, CELG, GILD, HSIC, MDLZ, SPLS, ATVI, SHLD, MSFT, MYL, CERN, ISRG, GOOG, ORLY, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, CTXS, ADBE, PRGO, YHOO, ALTR, DLTR, CMCSA, CTRX, ESRX,
MNST, AMGN

Moving Above 30 DMA = 11                      
ADBE, BRCM, DISCA, INTU, LINTA, MU, MXIM, NVDA, SBAC, TXN, VIAB                                   

Moving Below 30 DMA = 0


Staying Below 30 DMA
ADSK, CSCO, EBAY, FFIV, NTAP, PCAR, PCLN, QCOM, XRAY, AMZN, AVGO, BBBY, CTSH, EQIX, FOSL, GRMN, LIFE, ORCL, ROST, SIAL, SIRI, VRSK, VRTX, WDC, COST, WYNN, EXPE, SBUX, STX, MDLZ, VOD, WFM, EXPD, LBTYA, DTV, NUAN, AKAM, GOLD, BMC, CHRW, BIDU, ALXN, FB, FISV, INTC, REGN, AAPL


Fourteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

1 comment:

TraderBobb said...

Dave:
Thanks
Robert
CANI_212