Thursday, February 14, 2013

IWM, SPY New High Close...Euro Lower...SPWR, ANR, ATML, FSLR Jump...


Seven of nine sectors moved higher on Thursday and XLE, XLF and XLP were the strongest sectors.   XLU was the weakest sector. 

Breadth weakened but advancers still led decliners1.01 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.15 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Thursday – weakened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY up 14 cents at 152.29...volume 80.8 million shares…
VIX down .32 at 1266
TNX down .19 at 20.00…
TLT up 1.05 at 116.84…
XLF
up 6 cents at 17.84…volume 31.3 million shares

AAPL down 42 cents at 466.59…volume 12.6 million shares…
FB up 59 cents at`28.50on volume of 35.6 million shares…


Look for stocks that have reported good earnings and are in an uptrend. 

Earnings Commentary:
With earnings season winding down notable movers have included:
Positive – ATVI, AOL, HUM, CMG, ZNGA, NTES, ORLY, TSO, TWX, HAS, LNKD, MCHP, OPEN, PM, ZION, AMZN, BA, CTXS, EA, JDSU, QCOM, SWKS, AET, MO, CTRP, UA, VIAB, WHR, MAT, PRGO, GE, SLB, STT, GOOG, NFLX, EBAY, GS, CREE, TPX, MJN, FFIV, TSCO, DV, PTEN, CBG, TW, CNW, AAP, ESI, RL

Negative – MCO, BIDU, RCL, SWI, CME, AKAM, CSTR, NUAN, RVBD, BMC, VMW, STX, BRCM, BTU, PHM, MRK, AAPL


Technical Commentary:
The SPY gained 13 cents making another New High Close.  IWM +0.25% and SPY +0.09% continued to move higher while DIA -0.01% and QQQ -0.03% were flat.

AAPL shares moved down 45 cents finding support around 465 its consolidation/basing pattern resistance high.    FB moved up 59 cents bouncing after Wednesday’s small bullish engulfing pattern.

The Euro was down 90 pips and closed at 1.3363 still in a bull flag pattern.  The SPY rose on Thursday without the support of the Euro.  A rising Euro with rising interest rates, falling bonds and rising financial stocks can help lift the SPY towards its chart targets of 154.04 and 158.83.

Trade what you see on the chart of your position. Stay with the uptrend according to your rulesIf the stock begins to rollover protect your profits then look potential re-entry according to your rules.

Disk storage stocks WDC +0.37% and STX -0.17% were mixed.

Coal stocks ANR +13.90%, JRCC +9.29%, WLT +5.82%, ACI +4.93%, BTU +4.51%, and CNX +3.36% where higher following better than expected results from ANR.  Solar stocks SPWR +22.40%, FSLR, TSL and LDK were higher.


The Market Forecast Green Line is in the upper reversal zone. 

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Setups
Breakout: NFLX, GLW, CRR, WLT, ATVI, SHLD, RSH, MGM, GES, BPOP, CERN, WDC,

Diagonal Breakout:  FB, BBRY, SINA, NUS, GME, LVS, COST, CTSH, STX,

Bull Flag: FOSL, NTES, JNPR, FFIV, XRX, QCOM, WMS, PMCS, WYN, DNDN, ZNGA, CNW, C, DECK, STI, KORS, RCL, FIVE, ALB, RL,

Gap Up:

Gap Down:


Moves
Highlights: CTXS, WHR, TPX, NFLX, SWKS, BBRY, SINA, FB, NTES, FSLR

Gap Up:  STZ, GNC, IM, ANGI

Gap Down: WFM, CTL, WTW, ULTA, ITRI, WIN, TFM, HSP

Breakout: SPWR, ATML, AOL, SLB, SWKS, CNX, GRPN, LNKD, PRGO, MJN, AVX, MBI, SWK, LSI, CSTR, ALTR, PM, TEX, ZION, STRZA, ATI, GS, JDSU, VMI, FTI
 
Bounce:  GMCR, SINA, LIFE, VIAB, CRR, AGO, HES, FAST, MTW, DNB, AVP, MAS, AIZ, AKAM, ESI, MCHP, PCLN, MCO, CERN, RS, CLB, ORLY, PTEN, CBG, TW, PBI, TSCO, CPA, SWK, CRM, TIF, FTNT, ADI, GCI, RMD, RCL, SBAC, CLF, RAX, DPS,

Support Break:  DE, CCL

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54 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday and one was unchanged…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included:  EQIX, NUAN, NVDA, BRCM, FB, ALTR, ATVI, SHLD, XLNX, MU, AKAM, MCHP, LINTA, MXIM

Lagging NDX stocks included:  WFM, ALXN, MDLZ,DTV, VOD, VRTX, LBTYA, FFIV, GOLD, CHRW, INTO DISCA, HSIC, SIRI, CTRX

Leading stocks> +2% on Thursday included: ANR, GRPN, LDK, CSTR, HLF, TSL, AKS, SINA, SLB, X, GMCR, SWKS, CDE, SOHU, ICE, LNDK, FB

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  SSYS

Stocks to Watch on Friday…
Holding Above 30 DMA = 66
SBUX, CSCO, VMED, LLTC, PCAR, XLNX, TXN, ADI, ADSK, DELL, FFIV, NWSA, DISCA, AMAT, FOSL, KLAC, VIAB, STX, WDC, CHKP, FAST, MCHP,SNDK, STRZA, SIRI, ADP, EBAY, EXPE, LINTA, MU, SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, CA, CELG, GILD, HSIC, LIFE, PCLN, MDLZ, ROST, SPLS, AVGO, ATVI, SHLD, MSFT, MYL, NTAP, MXIM, CERN, WFM, XRAY, VOD, ISRG, GOOG, ORLY, BBBY, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, CTXS, QCOM, ADBE, PRGO, YHOO, ALTR, DLTR, NVDA, ORCL, CMCSA, CTRX, AMZN, ESRX, SIAL

Moving Above 30 DMA = 3                      
BRCM, COST, EQIX                                          

Moving Below 30 DMA = 7
FFIV, ORCL, VOD, VRTX, WFM, MDLZ, VRSK                                                                          

Staying Below 30 DMA
EXPD, LBTYA, COST, CTSH, DTV, EQIX, AMGN, NUAN, AKAM, GOLD, INTU, BMC, CHRW, BIDU, ALXN, FISV, INTC, FB, SBAC, BRCM, REGN, GRMN, MNST, AAPL


Twelve Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up

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