Wednesday, January 30, 2013

SPY Pauses...IWM Moves Lower...QCOM, CTXS, SWKS, JDSU Move Higher In After Hours...


Only one sector moved higher on Wednesday… XLU, XLY and XLP were the strongest sectors.   XLI was the weakest sector. 

Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers…1.97 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.28 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliners led on NYSE and advancers led on NASDAQ
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led


The chart continues to indicate that the uptrend is more likely to continue, stay prepared for a potential pullback.

SPY down 59 cents at 150.07...volume 137.4 million shares…
VIX up 1.01 at 14.32
TNX up .18 at 20.06…
TLT down 20 cents at 116.75…
XLF
down 8 cents at 17.39…volume 32.3 million shares

AAPL down 1.44 at 458.27…volume 14.8 million shares…
FB up 45 cents at`31.24on volume of 87.6 million shares…


Look for stocks with good earnings and guidance to likely rise and those with either weak earnings or guidance likely to fall in price

Earnings to Watch this Week:
Monday – BMC, CAT, STLD, VMW, YHOO, ZION, STX
Tuesday – AKS, AMZN, BRCM, DHR, GLW, HOG, IP, BTU
Wednesday – BA, CTXS, EA, JDSU, QCOM, SWKS
Thursday – AET, MO, CTRP, MA, PCAR, POT, PHM, UA, VIAB, WHR
Friday – CVX, XOM, MAT, MRK, PRGO

AMZN gained 12.41 following Tuesday’s earnings release.  QCOM + 6.23%, CTXS
+ 11.12%, SWKS + 12.24% and JDSU + 14.84% in after hours trading following earnings on Wednesday. FB - 3.43% in after hours trading.


__________________

Technical Commentary:
The SPY formed a potential bearish harami closing down 59 cents. SPY  - .39%.  IWM
– 1.20%, QQQ – 0.21% and DIA – 0.34%, and AAPL shares moved down – 1.44 forming a doji.  FB closed higher before moving lower after the close on better than expected earnings.

The Euro was up 75 pips to close at 1.3565 on Wednesday in its strong uptrend.


Trade what you see on the chart of your position. Stay with the uptrend according to your rulesIf the stock begins to rollover protect your profits.

Disk storage stocks fell, WDC + 1.60% and STX -0.06% were mixed.

Coal stocks ANR, ACI, CNX, BTU, WLT, and JRCC moved lower.


The Market Forecast Green Line is in the upper reversal zone. 

____________________


Setups
Breakout:  VIAB, COST, ADI, CERN

Diagonal Breakout:  BAC, SBAC

Bull Flag: MOS, MON, C, MGM, STI, CRM, FFIV, RSH, AVX, ZNGA, NIHD, XRX, TEX, SHLD, ESI, GMCR, TEP, SINA, SWK, JNPR

Gap Up:  QCOM, CTXS, JDSU, SWKS

Gap Down:   FB


Moves
Gap Up:  FSL, MAN, AVY, QGEN, CHK, HES

Gap Down: 

Breakout:  ZION, CLF, FAST, FIVE, TIF, GS
 
Bounce:  AMZN, LIFE, BPOP, NUAN, STRZA, UNG,

____________________


40 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday and one was unchanged…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included:  AMZN, LIFE, YHOO, MNST, NTAP, WDC, FB, AVGO, VIAB, DELL

Lagging NDX stocks included:  VRTX, CTXS, FOSL, CERN, SHLD, DLTR, STRZA, DTV, ADBE, AMGN, GRMN

Leading stocks> +2% on Wednesday included: ZION, GMCR

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  RIMM, LDK, ANR, JDSU, ESI, HLF, CIEN, X, CSTR, CROX, SSYS, MCP, DECK, GES, ZAGG

Stocks to Watch on Thursday…
Holding Above 30 DMA = 87
SBUX, CSCO, VMED, SBAC, EXPD, LLTC, PCAR, XLNX, TXN, ADI, SIAL, ADSK, DELL, FFIV, ORCL, COST, ADBE, NWSA, DISCA, AMAT, CTSH, FOSL, KLAC, VIAB, NUAN, STX, LBTYA, WDC, CHKP, FAST, MCHP, SNDK, EQIX, STRZA, CTXS, CHRW, SIRI, BIDU, VRSK, ADP, AMZN, BRCM, CMCSA, DTV, EBAY, EXPE, LINTA, MU,  SRCL, SYMC, VRTX, WYNN, FB, CA, CELG, GILD, HSIC, INTU, LIFE, PCLN, QCOM, MDLZ, CTRX, ROST, SPLS, BMC, AVGO, ATVI, SHLD, YHOO, MSFT, MYL, NTAP, MXIM, CERN, WFM, XRAY, VOD, DLTR, ISRG, GOOG, ORLY, AKAM, BBBY, FISV, BIIB                                                             

Moving Above 30 DMA = 4
AMGN, INTC, MAT, PAYX
               

Moving Below 30 DMA = 6
 AKAM, AMZN, BMC, BRCM, NVDA, YHOO                                                                                                                                          

Staying Below 30 DMA
ALTR, ALXN, ESTX, PRGO, REGN, GRMN, MNST, AAPL, GOLD

Nine Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up

1 comment:

TraderBobb said...

Dave:
Thanks so much for these daily updates. I work to read and digest every day-I know it must be a lot of work-also considering all of your other duties-Not sure where you find the time-just want to let you know you and your work are appreciated.
Robert
CANI_212
PS: Looking forward to tonight's ATA.