Tuesday, January 8, 2013

Let the Earnings Begin...AA Meets Rises in After-hours...AAPL Holds Support...CELG, TSL Jump...


The SPY continued to pause prior to the start of earnings season with the release of AA earnings after the close.  AA met EPS and exceeded on revenues and the stock rose 10 cents in after-hours trading on 4 million shares.

Two of nine sectors moved higher on Tuesday… XLB, XLV and XLP were the strongest sectors.   XLI was the weakest sector. 

Breadth strengthened on Tuesday as decliners led advancers…1.01 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.12 to 1 on the NASDAQ…Breadth strengthens as advancers increase and or decliners decrease.  Breadth weakens as advancers decrease and or decliners increase.

Tuesday – strengthened, decliners led
Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – weakened, advancers led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led


The SPY pulled back to gap support and traded in a tight 93 cent range.  Though the SPY has moved sideways for five days, the Jan 2 gap support continues to hold.  At resistance traders should watch closely for prices to rollover and be prepared to protect profits, while at the same time be prepared to continue with the uptrend if a breakout of resistance occurs.

SPY down 42 cents at 145.55...volume 121.1 million shares…
VIX down .17 at 13.62
TNX down .32 at 18.71…
TLT up 78 cents at 119.23…
XLF
 down 5 cents at 16.96…volume 41.8 million shares

AAPL up 1.14 at 525.31…volume 16.4 million shares …
FB down 36 cents at`29.06…on volume of 45.8 million shares…

__________________

Technical Commentary:

The SPY formed a potential hammer candle pattern after pulling back to gap support.  IWM pulled back just 6 cents on Tuesday, formed a dragonfly doji and continues to lead the broad index ETFs.  FOSL, GILD and LIFE, broke through resistance on Tuesday and gave fresh entry signals.

Trade what you see on the chart of your position.  If it is breaking out of resistance take the trade or stay with the uptrend according to your rules.  If the stock begins to rollover protect your profits.

The Euro dropped 35 pips to close at 1.3080 on Tuesday.

Disk storage stocks WDC -2.14% and STX -0.28% forming bull flag patterns.  Coal stocks ANR, ACI, BTU, CNX, JRCC and WLT all pulled back on Tuesday.  Chinese solar stocks TSL and LDK continued their multi-week uptrend, after spending 2012 in a strong down trend.


The Market Forecast Green Line is pointed up in the upper reversal zone. 

____________________

Setups
Breakout:  CTRP, CTXS, JOY, SPY, BRCM, RCL, ACI, BTU, JRCC, NKE, MCP, EBAY

Bull Flag:  IWM, ADBE, ADSK, QCOM, ROST, FFIV, CRM, CIEN, GLW, IBM, JNPR, DECK, FSLR, GMCR, CTSH, SBAC, STX, WDC, ADI, EXPD, PCAR, TXN, COST, ZION, YELP, LMCA

Moves
Breakout: FOSL, GILD, LIFE, FB, NFLX, AMZN, CERN, WLT, TRIP, WAG, EQIX, GOOG, SNDK, ANR

Bounce:  VIAB, NUAN, CRUS

____________________

37 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher and one was unchanged on Tuesday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included:  CELG, DISCA, FOSL, VRTX, CHKP, SIRI, LIFE, NUAN, YHOO, MNST

Lagging NDX stocks included:  SHLD, REGN, DELL, KLAC, DLTR, NTAP, NVDA, ALTR, WDC, XLNX

Leading stocks> +2% on Tuesday included:  TSL, LDK, HLF, COH, TIF, LVS

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  MCP, AKS, SWKS, DECK, CIEN, RVBD, ATI, SOHU, ANR, X, ESI, WDC, JNPR, JDSU, NFLX, ZION


Stocks to Watch on Wednesday…
Holding Above 30 DMA = 80
YHOO, SBUX, CSCO, VMED, SBAC, EXPD, LLTC, PCAR, XLNX, TXN, ADI, SIAL, FISV, ADSK, DELL, FFIV, ORCL, COST, ADBE, GOOG, GRMN, NWSA, DISCA, AMAT, CTSH, FOSL, KLAC, VIAB, NUAN, STX, LBTYA, WDC, AKAM, ALTR, CHKP, FAST, MCHP, SNDK, EQIX, LMCA, CTXS, CHRW, INTC, SIRI, BIDU, VRSK, ADP, AMZN, BRCM, CMCSA, DTV, EBAY, EXPE, LINTA, MU, MXIM, MYL, NVDA, SRCL, SYMC, VRTX, WYNN, XRAY, PRGO, FB, ALXN, CA, CELG, CERN, GILD, HSIC, INTU, LIFE, PCLN, QCOM, MDLZ, CTRX, ROST, SPLS, VOD

Moving Above 30 DMA =1
BMC 

Moving Below 30 DMA = 6
AMGN, ATVI, ESRX, NTAP, REGN, SHLD                          

Staying Below 30 DMA
ORLY, PAYX, WFM, MNST, MSFT, AAPL, BIIB, MAT, DLTR, BBBY, ISRG, AVGO, GOLD

Seventeen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral at Resistance
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

No comments: