Tuesday, November 22, 2011

SPX Forms Spinning Top, Day 2 of Potential Morning Star...

Seven of nine sectors moved lower on Tuesday.  XLV +0.25%, XLP +0.10% and XLY -0.05% were the strongest sectors.

The Euro was up 22 pips to 1.3512 at 5 pm EDT on Tuesday.  TNX was down -0.23 to 19.39.  TLT was up $1.34.  Financials XLF was down 11 cents.

The broad indexes moved lower with the NDX +0.23%, COMPQ -0.07%, SPX -0.41%, INDU -0.46% and RUT -0.80%.  The SPX moved down -4.94 to close at 1,188.04.

With a potential Morning Star on the SPX be on alert for a break above the high of the low day on Wednesday on the SPY and many individual stocks.

(click image to enlarge)

SPY traded 216.1 million shares, 13 million shares less than Monday, two days before the Thanksgiving Day HolidayExpect volume to drop further on Wednesday. 

The VIX moved down -0.94 to 31.97.  This is a non-confirmation.

The NDX was the only broad index to close higher on Tuesday.  AAPL, AMZN, BIDU, PCLN and QCOM moved higher on Tuesday.  GOOG closed slightly lower.

Are the bullish candle patterns on AAPL, AMZN, BIDU, PCLN and QCOM an early indication of a market reversal like they were on October 4 and 5?  Be on alert just in case they are.

AAPL = Morning Star, closed above the high of the low day
AMZN = Piercing Line
BIDU = confirmed Hammer
PCLN = Piercing Line
QCOM = Bullish Engulfing


Flagging Stocks to Watch: UNP, SWK, DLR, UCO, GLW, HUM, FFIV, AKAM, ORLY, STX, FAST, QCOM, MU

 
(click image to enlarge)

Breadth strengthened as decliners led advancers 1.60 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.78 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Exchange         NYSE        NASDAQ
Advancers        1,160              896
Decliners          1,862           1,595

Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday TSL, LDK, MCP, NVDA, ENTR, SLW, FAZ, DECK

Losing stocks < -2.0% included CRM, GRPN, VMW, GS, CLF, SOHU, LNKD, FAS, MOS

NDX 100 stocks stronger than the NDX included GILD, BIIB, CTRP, NVDA, ALXN, WFM, AAPL, DLTR, AMZN and LIFE.

Stocks weaker than the NDX include FSLR, NFLX, GMCR, ADSK, AMAT, NIHD, SHLD, RIMM, MRVL and JOYG.

Three NDX stocks BIIB, NVDA and SBUX moved above their 30 DMA making 13 NDX stocks above the 30 DMA.  The other ten are FFIV, AKAM, ORLY, STX, VRSN, FAST, QCOM, DTV, MU and SIRI.

Stocks to Watch on Wednesday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 9
FFIV, UNP, NGLS, DLR, UCO, GLW, HUM, TLT, FAZ
Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
NVDA
Moving Below 30 DMA = 1
CAT
Staying Below 30 DMA
A, AKS, CHL, CLF, DE, IBM, INFA, NDAQ, NTES, RVBD, SWK, TIF, X, CIEN, HAL, JDSU, JNPR, LVS, SLB, SNDK, VMW, ANR, ARUN, CF, COH, CREE, CRM, CRUS, DHR, FCX, KKD, NKE, SLW, SMH, SWN, URE, V, WLT, CMG, DECK, DOW, HLF, ICE, PCX, TPX, GES, LDK, MOS, RCL, VECO, C, ENTR, FAS, FWLT, GS, SOHU, STI, ZION, MCP, TSL, BAC, CSTR, F, IL, POT, SINA, SWKS, WDC, ZAGG, LNKD, ANF, ESI, TBT, UAL, CROX, FAZ, GRPN

Seven Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral
Short Term Market Trend: Down










SPX

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

Hi Dave

Since the market has tested 1188+, shoulbe the year-end rally target be revised down from 1369?.

Maggi

Dave Johnson said...

Maggi,

No need to revise.

A breakout chart target is a chart target. Not all chart targets are reached and not all are achieved within the time frame estimated by the time of the prior pattern.

Interestingly enough the SPX moved 200 points from Oct 4 to Oct 27, so if a higher low is reached this week and a similar 200 point move occurs in December, the SPX 1,363 chart target is still achievable within the 10 week estimate.

As traders we should just trade the chart whatever it presents us whether chart targets are reached or not.

Dave

HousewifeMaggi said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
TraderBobb said...

Dave:Thanks for the continued posts.

Wishin' you and your family a Great Thanksgiving.

I am grateful for you and all your efforts.

Robert
CANI_212

HousewifeMaggi said...

Thanks Dave. Have a great holiday

PENNY STOCK INVESTMENTS said...

What a game.