Friday, March 15, 2019

SPY, QQQ Breakout, Probability Points to Rally to Oct Highs...AVGO, ULTA Lead on Positive EPS Reaction...


© 2019


QQQ, SPY, DIA, IWM Bull Flag Bounce in Rally Week 12…
                  (click image to enlarge)

Setups
Horizontal Breakout = MRK, JPM, SMH, IBM
                  (click image to enlarge)


The DJIA, closed up 138 points at 25,848led by strength in BA, MCD, AAPL, MSFT and V. 

Seven of eleven sectors were higher on Friday, led by technology XLK +1.21% and financial XLF +0.70%.

SPY up 1.39 at 281.31 after a 1.2131 dividend on Friday, on 81.3 million shares, 8% above average volume. Up on higher volume.
VIX down .62 at 12.88
Oil down .14 at 58.39
TLT up .80 at 121.75 on 4.3 million shares. 

INTC +1.67%, BA +1.52%, led the DJIA, 23 advancers, +3
DLPH +4.16%, NTAP +3.53% and TXN +3.40%, led the SPX.
ULTA +8.29%, AVGO +8.24%, ASML +5.19%, and AMAT +3.75%, led the NDX.

Long term up trend intact.  3-day short term trend is up.

Up: QQQ, DIA, SPY, IWM,
Down:

Breadth strengthened on Friday, as advancers led 1,682 to 1,181 on the NYSE and led 1,835 to 1,217 on the NASDAQ


The SPY MFC green line is pointed up in the upper zone, at 90 and is short-term bullish.

Uptrend sectorsXLRE, XLU, XLC, XLK, XLI, XLB,
Neutral sectors:  XLY, XLV, XLP, XLF, XLE,
Down trend sectors:

The 6-month intermediate trend is down.  The ten-day trend is sideways.

3-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market TrendUp


81 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday.

78 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA:  ROST, CDNS, CTRP, PCAR, PYPL, TMUS, XLNX, CTAS, MELI, ULTA, VRSN, INTU, ADI, KLAC, NXPI, SNPS, MDLZ, MNST, PAYX, SWKS, WLTW, CSX, ALXN, GOOGL, VRSK, ADP, CHKP, CSCO, FISV, ASML, FOXA, CMCSA, JD, MAR, AAPL, PEP, CHTR, INTC, MSFT, COST, HSIC, QCOM, XRAY, DLTR, EA, ILMN, ISRG, ADBE, AMZN, CERN, INCY, NFLX, NVDA, SIRI, SYMC, TXN, ASML, FAST, NTAP, SBUX, AMGN, ATVI, BMRN, IDXX, LBTYA, NTES, TTWO, VRTX, CELG, LRCX, ALGN, AMAT, AVGO, BIDU, BIIB, CTSH, GILD, MAR,

NDX Stocks to Watch on Monday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 8
ALGN, AMAT, AVGO, BIDU, BIIB, CTSH, GILD, MAR,

Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
EBAY, FB,  

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