Monday, April 20, 2015

Stocks Rally after News Driven Sell off on Friday...HAS Jumps and RCL Drops after EPS...

All nine sectors moved higher on Monday…XLK, XLU and XLI were the strongest sectors and XLP was the weakest.
 
Breadth strengthened as decliners led advancers 2.43 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.14 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Monday – strengthened, advancers led
Friday - weakened, decliners led
Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday - mixed
                                                                                                                                          

SPY up 1.90 at 209.85 on 88.4 million shares, 16% below average volume
VIX down .59 at 13.30…
TNX up .45 at 18.95…
TLT down 1.16 at 130.29…
XLF up .10 at 24.23 on 15.2 million shares, 46% below average volume

AAPL up 2.85 at 127.60 on 46.9 million shares, 2% above average volume
FB up 2.32 at 83.09…on 28.6 million shares, 22% above average volume


Technical Commentary:
QQQ +1.50%, DIA +1.17%%, SPY +0.91%, IWM +0.98%.

SPY closed below 208.61 short-term support.
QQQ closed below 106.82 short-term support.
IWM closed above its 123.77 short-term support.


The SPX bounce is led by HAS, CSX, NRG, AMZN, HAR, DISCA, IBM, AAL, MSFT, UA, STX FE and FB.





This week more than 150 SPX companies will report earnings.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 210.33, 210.70, 211.40...
QQQ = 108.38, 109.17
IWM = 125.55, 127.13…

Support Levels
SPY = 207.01, 205.39...
QQQ = 105.55, 104.50…
IWM = 123.77, 122.90...


Earnings Week of April 6 – AA, BBBY, WBA, STZ
Earnings Week of April 13 – JNJ, JPM, FAST, WFC, INTC, BAC, CSX, DAL, LLTC, SNDK, NFLX, GS, C, AMD, AXP, CE, MAT, NOW
Earnings Week of April 20 – CHKP, HAL, HAS, MS, RCL, STI, IBM, LRCX, ZION, ATI, BHI, DD, HOG, LMT, PCAR, TRV, UA, VZ, AMGN, BRCM, CMG, ISRG, URI, UTX, YHOO, YUM, ABT, BA, EMC, KO, MCD, CTXS, EBAY, ETFC, FB, FFIV, ORLY, QCOM, T, TSCO, TXN, XLNX, ABBV, ALXN, BAX, CAM, CAT, DHR, DOW, DPS, FCX, HP, HSY, LLY, LUV, MMM, MO, NDAQ, PEP, PG, SIAL, SWK, UNP, WHR, ALTR, AMZN, GOOGL, HBI, JNPR, KLAC, MSFT, SBUX, SRCL, SWN, AAL, BIIB, STT


Q1 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – HAS, CHKP, HAL, MS, STI, NFLX, CE, MAT, C, DAL, FAST, INTC, JPM, LLTC, STZ, WBA, KMX, DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, KBH, MFRM, NKE, 

More than 10% - HAS, NFLX, CE, DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, 

Negative Reactions – RCL, AXP, BAC, GS, JNJ, SNDK, AA, BBBY, MU, GME, YOKU, XONE, 

More than -10% - NOW, AMD, YOKU, 

Reversal in progress – AA, GS,

Reversal of Initial Reaction – GME, MU, YOKU, XONE


The SPX Market Forecast is pointed up at 76.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: DDD,
Diagonal Breakout: AMBA, PANW, SINA,
Bull Flag: IWM, SPY, AIG, BBRY, C, CCL, CMGE, CSIQ, CTRP, GME, GOGO, GPRO, JASO, JD, MBLY, NTES, QIHU, RAX, SCTY, SLCA, SOHU, SUNE, TWTR, UPL, X, YELP, YOKU, ADSK, ESRX, GILD, INTC, MU, NTAP, PCLN, TSLA,
Potential Bullish Divergence: BBY, ROST
Gap Up: LRCX
At Support: BABA, CRM, SWKS, V, TRIP,
C- Pattern:  

Moves
New Highs:   
H Breakout: VSLR, CIEN, LOCO, WDC, STX
Bull Flag Bounce: DDD, EXPE, FEYE, LNKD,  
Bounce: IWM, SPY, NKE, WYNN,
MACD Divergence Bounce: MAR 
Gap Up: HAS   
Gap Down: RCL
Support Break: JUNO
______________________


85 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Monday.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: CHKP, AMZN, DISCA, AAL, MSFT, STX, FB, WYNN, MAR, ALXN

Lagging NDX stocks included: MYL, ALTR, CHTR, WFM, TSLA, NFLX, GILD, NVDA, VIP, LBTYA

Leading stocks > +2% on Monday: VSLR, VJET, LOCO, FEYE, IBM, XONE, DDD, UA, MFRM, SCSS, PANW, AMBA, QIHU, DAL, SPLK

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: JUNO, RCL, YOKU, UNG, UPL, VXX

Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 41
WBA, LVNTA, SIAL, KRFT, ORLY, ADI, ALTR, VRSK, XLNX, CTRX, ESRX, ISRG, MDLZ, VIP, CTXS, DISCA, TSLA, MYL, AMGN, CMCSA, DTV, NFLX, PCLN, SBUX, VRTX, YHOO, GILD, PCAR, VIAB, ALXN, STX, TSCO, VOD, MAT, AKAM, CSCO, ILMN, INTC, MU, WDC, SYMC

Moving Above 30 DMA = 17
AAPL, ADSK, AMZN, ATVI, BIDU, CHKP, EA, FB, HSIC, LLTC, MNST, MSFT, REGN, SBAC, SIRI, TXN, WYNN,                                                                                    

Moving Below 30 DMA = 0
                                         

Staying Below 30 DMA
BIIB, BRCM, CERN, CHTR, CTSH, NTAP, NVDA, NXPI, SPLS, SRCL, FAST, FISV, INTU, LMCA, DLTR, ADBE, ADP, BBBY, CA, COST, AVGO, AAL, EXPD, ROST, PAYX, GOOG, CELG, CHRW, EBAY, FOXA, MAR, SNDK, TRIP, KLAC, LBTYA, AMAT, GMCR, QCOM, DISH, LRCX, WFM, GRMN

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral