Thursday, April 2, 2015

SPX Moves Higher Headed into 3 Day Weekend...Markets Closed on Good Friday...

Eight out of nine sectors moved higher on Thursday…XLY, XLP and XLF were the strongest sectors and XLK was the weakest.
 
Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 1.75 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.50 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – mixed, mixed
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – strengthened, advancers led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY up .73 at 206.43 on 86.9 million shares, 17% below average volume
VIX down .44 at 14.67…
TNX up .36 at 19.04…
TLT down 1.40 at 130.73…
XLF up .12 at 24.21 on 21.5 million shares

AAPL up 1.07 at 125.32 on 32.2.3 million shares
FB down .11 at 81.56…on 19.6 million shares


Technical Commentary:
SPY +0.36%, DIA +0.33%, IWM +0.18%, QQQ +0.07%.


The unofficial start of earnings season is next Wednesday April 8 when AA reports earnings after the close.



Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 208.61, 211.11...
QQQ = 106.82, 109.07
IWM = 125.94…

Support Levels
SPY = 204.12, 203.49...
QQQ = 104.24…
IWM = 122.90, 121.54...

Q4 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, KBH, MFRM, NKE, AVGO, CRM, MNST, ROST, ADSK, GOGO, SPWR, ESRX, CMCSA, ANGI, CAR, INTU, JWN, RAX, MAR, NEM, PCLN, Z, TRIP, FEYE, CSCO, NVDA, AKAM, WFM, Z, EEFT, TMH, CTLT, SKX, NTES, WCG, ADP, ATVI, CTSH, FISV, ONNN, ORLY, SIRI, UA, VRSN, AMZN, AAPL, ALXN, BRCM, BX, CAVM, CELG, EA, FB, FSL, GLW, HOG, JNPR, TSCO, TSS, TUP, VIAB, WDC, X, NFLX, ALK, BHI, CREE, DAL, EBAY, ETFC, GE, HON, KMB, LUV, MXIM, SBUX, SWKS, TRV, UAL, UNH, UNP, SNX, LLTC, TSM

More than 10% - DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, AVGO, MNST, CRM, SPWR, ANGI, UPL, TRIP, FEYE, EEFT, TMH, MLM, SEE, LNKD, TWTR, UBNT, ONNN, AMZN, BIIB, NFLX, FSL, EA, TUP, X

Negative Reactions – MU, YOKU, XONE, JCP, SPLK, LL, LC, HPQ, SCTY, ZU, ZNGA, NTAP, BIDU, TSLA, HSIC, KRFT, SFUN, SOHU, ATML, CHRW, FOXA, GILD, GMCR, SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, QCOM, JDSU, RCL, BABA, PCAR, YHOO, MSFT, STX, VRTX, AAL, ZION, AXP, ALTR, FFIV, IBM, ISRG, JNJ, KLAC, KSU, MCD, STT, XLNX, AA, BAC, C, JPM, WFC,

More than -10% - YOKU, LL, LC, TPX, ZU, ZNGA, EXPE, GPRO, YELP, P, TPX, QCOM, FFIV, KBH,

Reversal in progress – AXP, BIDU, FFIV, GILD, ISRG, JCP, JNJ, KLAC, MSFT, NTAP, SOHU, STX, YHOO

Reversal of Initial Reaction – AA, AAL, ALTR, ATML, C, BAC, CHRW, FOXA, GMCR, HSIC, IBM, JCP, JDSU, JPM, KSU, MCD, PCAR, QCOM, RCL, SFUN, SRCL, SYMC, STT, TPX, TSLA, WDC, WYNN, VRTX, WFC, XLNX, ZION, ZNGA


The SPX Market Forecast hooked up at 35.

___________________

SSetups
Horizontal Breakout: IWM, SUNE, BX, ETFC, FSLR, GLD, JCP, NCLH, SCSS, SCTY, TSL, UPL, ZNGA, TAN, NCLH, XLNX
Diagonal Breakout: SPY, FAS, BBY, CRM, IBM, LOCO, MBLY, MS, NKE, SCHW, SPWR, STI, SWKS, UA, V, AAPL, ADBE, ADSK, AKAM, AMZN, AVGO, CELG, CMCSA, COST, PCLN, TXN, YHOO
Bull Flag: AMBA, CSIQ, CTRP, GPRO, JASO, JD, JUNO, PANW, RAX, VSLR, VRSN, EA, ESRX, FB, MYL, SBUX
Potential Bullish Divergence: FEYE, LC, LNKD, ILMN, MSFT, NFLX, ROST, TRIP
At Support: CREE

Moves
New Highs: EXPE, SUNE  
H Breakout: EXPE, RCL, CCL
D Breakout: ZION
Breakout Test: TWTR
Bull Flag Bounce: DGLY, QIHU, X
Bounce: AIG, BBY, CMGE
MACD Divergence Bounce: ATI, BBRY, SLCA, Z, STX, WDC, WFM
Support Break: DAL 
______________________


61 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday and one was unchanged.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: DISCA, WYNN, VIP, LVNTA, ADSK, LMCA, TSLA, DISH, SIRI, ALTR

Lagging NDX stocks included: AAL, QCOM, KRFT, MAT, EXPD, MU, GOOG, GRMN, BIDU, PCAR

Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday: DGLY, YOKU, NTES, EXPE, UNG, Z, SCTY, YELP, X, ATI, CMGE, QIHU, BBY, GPRO, JCP, SPLK, XONE, LVS

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: JUNO, UAL, CREE, DAL, CAR


Stocks to Watch on Monday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 27
MNST, NXPI, DLTR, COST, LVNTA, SRCL, CERN, FB, SIAL, YHOO, KRFT, ORLY, ADI, ALTR, BBBY, EA, EQIX, VRSK, XLNX, BIDU, CTRX, ESRX, FISV, ISRG, MDLZ, CHTR, INTU

Moving Above 30 DMA = 4
CTSH, LMCA, SIRI, VIP                  

Moving Below 30 DMA = 4
AVGO, CTXS, REGN, SPLS

Staying Below 30 DMA
AAL, AKAM, AMGN, BIIB, CA, EXPD, MYL, ROST, SBUX, ATVI, CHKP, FAST, HSIC, PAYX, PCAR, GOOG, ALXN, CELG, CHRW, DISCA, EBAY, FOXA, MAR, MSFT, SBAC, SNDK, TRIP, TSCO, TSLA, TXN, VRTX, AAPL, BRCM, CMCSA, KLAC, LBTYA, LLTC, NVDA, PCLN, VIAB, ADBE, ADP, AMZN, GILD, ILMN, ADSK, AMAT, GMCR, QCOM, CSCO, DISH, DTV, LRCX, NTAP, WFM, NFLX, WDC, MU, STX, SYMC, VOD, WYNN, GRMN, INTC, MAT

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral/Down