Wednesday, June 13, 2012

SPY Trades in Narrow Range Setting Up a Potential Breakout...


The SPY continues to trade in a narrow neutral short-term range of the past five days below its 30 DMA.  Trading appears to be waiting range awaiting clarity on the Greek elections this weekend.  After a trade reaches a target, Chart Signals begins to look for re-entry.  After reaching a horizontal resistance target, a typical entry would be the breakout


Eight of nine sectors moved lower on Wednesday.  Defensive sectors  XLU, XLV, and XLP were the strongest sectors.

Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 2.16 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.31 to 1 on the NASDAQ.


Exchange      NYSE    NASDAQ
Advancers        955          747
Decliners       2,064       1,727

SPY moved down 85 cents on 172 million shares closing below its 30 DMA and forming a black spinning top.  The SPX closed down -9.30 at 1,314.88 below resistance at 1,335.

The Market Forecast green line is pointed up.

AAPL was down -4.00 at 572.16 on 10.5 million shares...

FB -13 cents at 27.27 on 17.1 million shares...

GRPN -35 cents, -3.52%



C Pattern Continuation: SRCL, SWKS, AVGO, FISV, AAPL, CSTR

C Pattern Pullback: INTU, SIAL

C Pattern Reversal:

C Pattern Entry:

C Pattern Setup: QCOM, AKAM, ORLY, CMG, MSFT, SBUX, GOOG, SHLD, V, DHR, A, CTXS, VMW, ZAGG, TSLA, CRM,

Breakout: VRSN, ROST, VMED

Breakout Continuation: MNST, MCHP, DLTR

Breakout Setup: AVGO, CSTR, RVBD, C, JDSU, EXPD, ALXN, SPY, DIA, QQQ, IWM, AAPL, ICE, CHKP, FAS, VECO, URE, CRUS, WFM, MOS, F, BIDU, PNRA, LVS

Bounce: GOLD

Daily/Weekly Bull Flags: COST, INFA, MCP, SOHU

MACD Histogram Bullish Divergence Confirmed: ALTR, TPX, NFLX, MRVL, CROX



Technical Commentary:
The Euro rallied but TNX, XLF and SPY fell.  The VIX and bonds moved higher.  XLY and XRT moved lower after May retail sales reported a -0.2% decline.


Tuesday Highlights:
SPY closes down 85 cents
The Euro moved up 52 pips, closed at 1.2555
TNX -0.62
VIX rose +2.18, below 25 at 24.27
XLF closed -4 cents at 14.04


14 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday…


Leading NDX 100stocks included STX, DELL, VRSN, GOLD, CELG, RIMM, BMC, AVGO, AMGN, GMCR

Lagging NDX stocks included FSLR, VMED, EA, SHLD, CHKP, SBUX, PNRA, FOSL, EXPE, NVDA

Leading stocks > +2% on Wednesday included UAL, SWKS

Losing stocks < -2.0% included PCX, LDK, TSL, DECK, NKE, TPX, GRPN, JDSU, COH, VECO, TIF, CLF, CRM, NTES, ATI, VMW, MOS, CRUS, RCL, SWI

Stocks to Watch on Thursday

HoldingAbove 30 DMA = 11
TLT, FAZ, CRUS, SWKS, CIEN, ICE, CDE, GES, CSTR, HUM, BAC

Moving Above 30 DMA =1
DLR

Moving Below 30 DMA = 5
F, GLW, MOS, NTES, TSL


Staying Below 30 DMA
CMG, DECK, NKE, RVBD, UAL, VECO, SINA, SWI, A, DHR, GRPN, TSLA, V, ZAGG, CRM, LDK, LNKD, CHL, URE, CREE, STI, WDC, ANF, ATI, DE, IBM, SLB, VMW, ESI, FAS, FCX, SMH, TIF, UCO, AKS, ANR, JNPR, X, HLF, SOHU, CROX, LVS, PCX, RCL, CLF, MCP, SWK, TPX, ZION, INFA, TBT, JDSU, C, GS, COH

Eight Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Down
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

No comments: