Wednesday, December 28, 2011

SPX Falls as Euro Makes 15-month Low...


All nine sectors moved lower on Wednesday.  XLU, XLP and XLK were the strongest sectors. 

Money Flow
Euro      -129 pips    1.2939
TNX       -1.01            19.08
TLT       +2.19          120.64
XLF        -0.21           12.86
SPX      -15.79       1,249.64
VIX        +1.61           23.52

NDX -1.14%
INDU -1.14%
SPX -1.25%
COMPQ -1.34%
RUT -2.14%

The Euro was down 1 pip shortly before the open this morning.  Following a release from the European Central Bank that lending to banks had increased more than 600 billion Euros in one week, the Euro began to fall and broke recent support reaching a 15-month low.  Light volume accompanied the selloff.   

Money Flow followed the Euro lower taking TNX, XLF and SPX lower.  Correspondingly bonds and VIX rose.

Last night we alerted you to “prepare for a pullback and test of the SPX diagonal breakout at 1,255.”  The SPX moved back to that level and closed at 1,249. 
  
(click image to enlarge)

SPY moved down -$1.66 on rising but still light volume of 119 million shares on Wednesday, its fifth lightest volume day of the year.

The VIX moved higher on Wednesday for the second straight day confirming the move down in the SPX.

Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 3.99 to 1 on the NYSE and 3.96 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Exchange        NYSE        NASDAQ
Advancers          602             528
Decliners         2,405          2,095

AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, PCLN and QCOM moved lower.  BIDU moved higher 

Bear Flag EntriesFOSL, MAT, DTV, TEVA, MOS, POT
                                                ­­­­­­__________________

Setups
Horizontal/Diagonal BreakoutCERN, KLAC, WDC, CSTR, IL, URE, DE, DOW, NKE, UCO, ATI, ZION
ReversalSWKS, JDSU, CIEN, JNPR
FlagSWK, SNDK, V, AKS, HUM, F, ATVI, GES, ENTR, FFIV, DTV, VRTX, TEVA
Recent High
Pause at HighORLY, GRMN, ROST, VRSN, APOL, MYL, ADP AMGN, SBUX, FAST, ISRG, AKAM, V, UNP
At Support – HANS, MAT,  
                                            ___________________


Leading stocks > +2% on Wednesday FAZ

Losing stocks < -2.0% included ZAGG, MCP, CROX, CDE, LDK, TSL, PCX, ENTR, CLF, WLT, FAS, SLW, FCX, MOS, TBT, RCL, GES, KKD, UCO, LVS, BAC, ANR, X, INFA, A, SOHU, DECK, AKS, POT, SINA, C, ARUN, F, ATI, HAL, NVDA, SWK, CF, URE, ANF, CAT, CRUS, RVBD, VMW, SLB, TPX, VECO, CREE, HUM, GLW, STI

NDX 100 stocks stronger than the NDX included WFM, BBBY, BIDU, ALTR, GILD, MYL, GOOG and CTRP.

Stocks weaker than the NDX include FOSL, FLEX, RIMM, WCRX, WYNN, HANS, PCAR, NUAN, LIFE and ADSK.

Twelve NDX stocks BIIB, CSCO, ESRX, EXPD, FLEX, FOSL, HANS, PCLN, SIAL, WCRX, WYNN and XRAY closed below their 30 DMA leaving 53 NDX stocks above their 30 DMA

Stocks to Watch on Thursday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 33
V, WDC, LDK, UAL, DLR, CSTR, IL, URE, GES, GRPN, CMG, DE, DOW, ENTR, FAS, HUM, SWK, UNP, F, NKE, UCO, ATI, CIEN, CRUS, SMH, SNDK, SWKS, ZION, COH, ESI, ICE, JDSU, NGLS
Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
TLT
Moving Below 30 DMA = 11
AKS, ANF, C, CF, CROX, DHR, FCX, MOS, POT, STI, X
Staying Below 30 DMA
BAC, TBT, TSL, FFIV, IBM, NTES, FAZ, CAT, CDE, CLF, GS, NDAQ, NVDA, SLB, ANR, RCL, TSLA, A, INFA, CHL, CRM, DECK, HAL, HLF, JNPR, RVBD, VECO, KKD, LVS, SLW, GLW, TIF, VMW, ARUN, CREE, SWN, WLT, PCX, TPX, SOHU, MCP, SINA, ZAGG, LNKD

Thirteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Down

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Dave - not to imply that it's as easy as following suggestions on chart signals, but you are amazingly generous to share the details of your knowledge here. Can't ask for a better roadmap to start the day than a review like tonight's, with specific bullish and bearish setups.
You continue to be Da Man, Dave. thanks for your consistent presence here

John R

HousewifeMaggi said...

Dave

In your daily summary, I could see that you put 13-week up trend. So, are you refering to 13 week from end Oct?

Thanks.

Dave Johnson said...

Maggi,

From the low in October. Just count backward with this being week one.

Just adding one week every week.

Dave

PENNY STOCK INVESTMENTS said...

A comeback is in store.