Thursday, August 18, 2011

SPX Moves Down After Lower Open...Potential Double Bottom Forming...

After opening lower and finding support, the SPX traded in an 18 point trading range between 1,131 and 1,148 the rest of Thursday, closing down -53.24 at 1,140.65.

Interest rates TNX 20.83 hit an all-time low on Thursday sending financial stocks XLF -0.63 lower.  Fear again took charge as U.S. markets followed Asian and European markets lower of slowing growth and debt concerns.  VIX 42.67 made its third highest close in the last nine days.

Posture turned bearish as the Market Forecast Green Line turned down.


There is both a potential double bottom and MACD histogram bullish divergence forming on the SPX and other broad indexes.  The 1,100 level is a very important support level to say the least.
(click image to enlarge)

NDX gap down large black candle, below 30 DMA -4.98%
SPX doji gap down large black candle, below 30 DMA -4.46%
INDU gap down large black candle, below 30 DMA -3.68%
COMPQ gap down large black candle, below 30 DMA -5.22%
RUT gap down large black candle, below 30 DMA -5.90%

Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 16.38 to 1 on the NYSE and 10.00 to 1 on the NASDAQ

Exchange       NYSE        NASDAQ
Advancers         178              240
Decliners        2,916           2,400

Index         Change    Close    Direction    Confirmation
VIX              +11.09      42.67      Up               Yes – SPX
SOX             -20.87     332.23     Down          Yes – COMPQ

Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday FAZ, SINA, TLT

Losing stocks < -8.0% included ARUN, RVBD, FAS, PCX, UCO, JDSU, GMCR, AKS, INFA, CIEN, ACN, VMW, NETL, CREE, DECK, A, CRM, ANF, TSL, IL, ANR, FFIV, WLT, NTES, X, SWKS, DOW, CRUS, KKD, CAM, ENTR, ATW, JNPR, FCX, CMG


SPX

Resistance: 1,146, 1,158, 1,170  
Support: 1,134, 1,119, 1,103
The short term 3 day trend is down.
The six-month trend is down.
The twelve-month trend is neutral.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading.

Bullish entry signal is a bounce off support and a break above the high of the low day or a break out of horizontal resistance.

Bearish entry signal is a break of short term support or a bounce down from the 30 DMA or other resistance

2 comments:

Rob S said...

Great session last night on AT Cap. Thanks for detailing your daily routine!

Paula said...

Dave, Lots of BGOs in last nights session which unfortunately I could not attend live. The new ideas on altering spread trades was very useful. Thanks you.

Also I loved your obstetrician story to which I could relate to. It reminded me to trade the way I do surgery as you told me at a meeting last year.