©
2025
After
the close:
Moody’s downgraded US credit rating on government debt from Aaa to
Aa1 due to debt and deficit concerns. After the close, /ES futures fell over 36 points and finished
down 26 points to close at 5948.50 in after hours trading. Fitch had downgraded US credit rating back on
August 1, 2023, while S&P Global had downgraded the US credit rating on August
5, 2011.
SPX +41.45, 5,958, opened higher, trended up and formed a white
candle.
The DJI, 42,654 +0.78%, rose. The NDX +.43% continued to rise towards its all-time closing
high.
Breadth strengthened as advancers led
decliners on the exchanges and indexes, while advancing net change capital was
greater than declining capital due to heavy buying in UNH on the SPX
and in TSLA and NVDA in the NDX.
Friday
Session Insight: In the price action you see the trend,
support and resistance and momentum of the institutional buyers. Technical commentary without discussion of
trend, support and resistance, and price action is incomplete makes one subject
to erroneous conclusions. In Harry
Potter and the Deathly Hallows part 2, Harry told Hermione that she was brilliant. Her response was, “actually, I’m highly
logical which allows me to look past extraneous details and perceive clearly
that which others overlook.” Looking at trends,
support and resistance and price action allows you to perceive clearly what too many
others are overlooking.
TSLA +7.16, +2.09%,
closed higher.
Mega caps TSLA, BRK/B, GOOGL, NVDA, MSFT, AMZN rose TSM was unchanged and AAPL,
META, AVGO fell on Friday.
SPY up 3.74 at 594.20, 76.0 million
shares, below average volume
VIX down .59 at 17.24,
QQQ up 2.26 at 521.51
UNH, MMM, WMT, MRK led the DJIA, 26 advancers, +3
UNH, MRNA, SMCI, FI, HUM led the SPX, 444 advancers,
ADBE, MU, DASH, CEG led the NDX, 78 advancers,
Up: IWM, DIA, SPY, QQQ,
Down:
The SPY
MFC green line is pointed up at 99.1 and is short-term bullish. +1.4
Ten
of eleven
sectors were higher on Friday, led by XLV, XLU and XLRE.
Uptrend sectors: XLI, XLU,
Neutral sectors: XLK, XLP, XLRE, XLF, XLC, XLY, XLE, XLB,
Down trend sectors: XLV,
The 6-month intermediate trend is sideways. The ten-day trend
is up.
3-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Sideways
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up
78 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday.
89 NDX stocks are above their 30
DMA: CPRT, COST,
CRWD, CTAS, MNST, PLTR, ROST, EA, MSTR, MELI, NFLX, ADSK, AXON, BKNG, CDNS,
IDXX, TTWO, CEG, INTU, ZS, ABNB, ADI, AMAT, ANSS, ARM, AVGO, DDOG, DXCM, ISRG,
KLAC, LRCX, MAR, MCHP, MDB, MSFT, PANW, SNPS, TSLA, TTD, WDAY, CHTR, PYPL, CDW,
ADBE, HON, NVDA, PAYX, VRSK, ADP, AMD, CTSH, GFS, AMZN, APP, ASML, CSCO, META, MU,
NXPI, PDD, ROP, ON, CSX, GEHC, LULU, QCOM, TXN, INTC, MRVL, ODFL, WBD, DASH,
FANG, AAPL, BIIB, CMCSA, FAST, FTNT, GOOGL, PCAR, SBUX, TEAM, BKR, LIN, REGN,
XEL, AZN, CCEP, ORLY,
NDX Stocks to Watch on Monday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
AZN, CCEP, ORLY,
Moving Below 30 DMA = 0
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