Wednesday, December 26, 2018

Santa Claus Rally Starts with the Largest One-day Gain in SPX, NDX & DJIA Since March of 2009...



© 2018


After falling to a 52-week low on Monday and dropping -20% since Oct 3, to meet one definition of a bear market, the SPX rallied +4.96%, on Wednesday its largest one-day move since March of 2009.  The DJIA and the NDX also made their largest one-day percentage gains since March of 2009.

The SPX, now down just -16.06%, would by the -20% definition, no longer be in a bear market.  A one day bear market?  Interesting.

 “Oh the games that talking heads play now, every night and every day now, never saying what they mean, never meaning what they say, oh yeah.”

The DJIA, closed up 1,086 points at 22,878led by strength in BA, UNH, AAPL, HD and V.  This is the fourteenth close below 25,000 since Dec 6.

All eleven sectors were higher on Wednesday, led by energy XLE +6.22% and technology XLK +6.04%.


SPY up 11.84 at 246.18 on 218.4 million shares, 62% above average volume. Up on higher volume.
VIX down 5.66 at 30.41 
Oil up 3.93 at 46.61
TLT down 1.30 at 120.02 on 11.7 million shares. 

NKE +7.21%, AAPL +7.04%, led the DJIA, 30 advancers, +30
FOSL +12.75%, SWN +12.62% and NFX +12.54%, led the SPX.
TSLA +10.39%, AMZN +9.45%, MELI +9.43%, and ALGN +8.91% led the NDX.

Long term up trend intact.  3-day short term trend is down.

UpQQQ, SPY, DIA, IWM
Down:

Breadth strengthened on Wednesday, as advancers led 2,606 to 372 on the NYSE and led 2,413 to 682 on the NASDAQ

The SPY MFC green line turned up at and is short-term bullish.

Uptrend sectors:  
Neutral sectors:  XLU, XLRE,

Down trend sectors: XLB, XLV, XLP, XLI, XLY, XLC, XLK, XLF, XLE, 


The 6-month intermediate trend is down.  The ten-day trend is down.

3-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Down
3-day Short Term Market TrendDown


99 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday.

7 NDX stock is above its 30 DMA:  NTES, AVGO, CTRP, DLTR, REGN, WDAY, XRAY,


NDX Stocks to Watch on Thursday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 6
AVGO, CTRP, DLTR, REGN, WDAY, XRAY,

Moving Below 30 DMA = 0




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1 comment:

Scott Avery said...

Dave, I thought that if the green line was in the lower reversal zone it was bearish no matter if it is pointing up or down? Same if it is in the upper r.z. it would be bullish anywhere in there?