Wednesday, November 21, 2018

Happy Thanksgiving...Small Caps, Tech Lead Counter-trend Rally...



Happy Thanksgiving…Have a great holiday weekend with your family, as we each give thanks for the many freedoms and blessings we enjoy in America.

© 2018


Stocks rallied moderately on Wednesday led by small caps and tech, following a sharp selloff on Monday and Tuesday

Markets are closed on Thursday and are open for a half day on Friday, closing at 1 pm ET. 

SPY and DIA are still in an inverse H&S pattern while IWM and QQQ are now in similar low channels.  AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, CMCSA and CSCO accounted for almost 75 of the 115 point NDX decline on Tuesday.

The DJIA, closed down .95 point at 24,465led by strength in CAT, CVX, MSFT, IBM and GS.  This is the second close below 25,000 since Oct. 30.

Seven of eleven sectors were higher on Wednesday, led by energy XLE +1.57% and communication XLC +1.19%.

SPY up .90 at 265.02 on 75.5 million shares, 39% below average volume. Up on lower volume.
VIX down 1.68 at 20.80 
Oil up 1.25 at 54.64
TLT down .04 at 115.02 on 4.9 million shares. 

NKE +1.76%, MSFT +1.38%, led the DJIA, 15 advancers, +15
FL +14.91%, HBI +6.58% and EQT +6.46%, led the SPX.

ADSK +9.74%, CTRP +6.26%, LBTYA +5.57%, and WDAY +4.96% led the NDX.


Long term up trend intact.  3-day short term trend is down.

Up: IWM, QQQ, SPY, DIA,
Down:

Breadth strengthened on Wednesday, as advancers led 2,160 to 762 on the NYSE and decliners led 2,236 to 782 on the NASDAQ

The SPY MFC green line is pointed down at 30 and is short-term bearish.

Uptrend sectors:   XLRE, XLU, XLP,
Neutral sectors:  XLV, XLF, XLB, XLY, XLI,
Down trend sectors: XLE, XLC, XLK,

The 6-month intermediate trend is sideways.  The ten-day trend is down.

3-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Down
3-day Short Term Market TrendDown


78 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday.

39 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA.  SBUX, WBA, TSLA, PEP, XLNX, CMCSA, INTC, AAL, FOXA, MDLZ, ULTA, MNST, SYMC, FAST, MCHP, MYL, VRSK, CTXS, HSIC, XRAY, ADI, MAR, NXPI, MXIM, NTES, AMAT, HOLX, KLAC, PAYX, PCAR, AMGN, ADSK, AVGO, CSX, CTAS, ORLY, SHPG, VOD, WDAY,

NDX Stocks to Watch on Friday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 8
ADSK, AVGO, CSX, CTAS, ORLY, SHPG, VOD, WDAY,

Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
BIIB, TXN,


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