Friday, September 2, 2016

Stocks Rally Following Lower than Expected Jobs Report...Have a Safe Labor Day Weekend...Markets Closed Monday...

All nine sectors moved higher on FridayXLU, XLE and XLB were the strongest sectors while XLV was the weakest sector.  Oil futures rose .67 to close at 44.20.  Oil is forming a potential bull flag and a bullish harami on Friday.

For the week ended September 2,
XLF +1.91%, XLB +1.07%, XLU +1.07%, XLP +0.94%, XLK +0.64%,
SPY +0.50%,
Lagging sectors XLI +0.46%, XLY -0.07%, XLE -0.43%, XLV -0.57%,

All nine sectors continued to be YTD positive after all nine sectors had turned YTD positive for the first time four weeks ago.

YTD 170
Leading Sectors: XLU +14.67%, XLE +14.52%, XLB +13.43%, XLI +11.17%, XLK +10.55%, XLP +8.58%,
SPY +7.11%,
Lagging Sectors: XLY +3.48%, XLF +3.11%, XLV +0.86%,


Breadth strengthened as advancers led 2,432 to 602 on the NYSE and led 1,930 to 861 on the NASDAQ.

Friday – strengthened, advancers led, +9
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led on NASDAQ, +4
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led, +3
Tuesday – weakened, advancers led on NASDAQ, +1
Monday – strengthened, advancers led, +9

SPY up .98 at 218.37 on 79.2 million shares, 27% above average volume
VIX down 1.50 at 11.98
TLT down 1.14 at 138.63…on 8.3 million shares, 34% above average volume


Technical Commentary:
IWM +0.96%, SPY +0.45%, DIA +0.41%, QQQ +0.33%,

CHTR +2.97, +1.10% to be added to SP500 on September 7.

Markets are closed on Monday for the Labor Day weekend, have a great and safe holiday.

The August Jobs Report came in at 151K below estimates of 175K and apparently big money liked that as the SPX moved back towards resistance and closed near its record high.

Reports are suggesting that the lower than expected Jobs Report brings into questions whether the Fed will raise rates in September.

IWM led the broad market segments and volatility collapsed once again in front of the 3-day Labor Day weekend.

44 Up Trending Stocks that you might want in your watch list:
ADBE, ADSK, AMAT, CHTR, CSCO, CTRP, EA, INTC, MU, NTAP, NTES, NVDA, QCOM, SWKS, SYMC, XLNX, FAS, IWM, UBNT, YELP, AMD, CHK, XEC, GT, MSI, TSN, CTAS, HRS, WMB, CAVM, BURL, WRK, BABA, SINA, JPM, V, BAC, ZION, MS, SCHW, GS, C, FL, HRL


Consider moving up stops on short term bullish trades that could pull back.  All according to your profit protection rules.

Remember breakouts typically test about 70% of the time.

Technical analysis based trades should be closed before earnings. After-hours

Trade what you see, not…

Stocks below support should generally be traded bearishly until a reversal pattern forms.


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Strong Stocks: Setups and Moves You Can Use
Bull Flag Setups include: HRL, CBL, MU, JD, TIF, LB, KSS, KMI, GPRO, RL, HLT, MSFT, WDC, URI, PCAR, VLO, AVGO, AMBA,

Bull Flag Bounces include: IWM, QQQ, ADSK, WMB, URBN, ROST, PCLN, 


Horizontal Breakout Setups include: IWM, STX, NVDA, SPY, MPC, PAYX, NFLX, AAL, MAT, CBG, KMX, AAPL, HPE, TWTR, ATI,

Horizontal Breakout include: BURL, EA,

New Highs include: ADBE, CHTR, TSN, FAS, CHK, XLF, ZION, STT, WFC, GS, BAC, JPM, MS, C, STT, ETFC, XLNX, SYMC, WRK, INTC, NTAP, CTRP, SWKS, AMAT,


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Short-term Movers for the week:
SPX gainers:  UAL, CF, MOS, ADS, VRSN, TSS, PNC, ZION, TYC, BWA, WFC, +4, 12
SPX losers:  CHD, DO, HRB, HSY, GPS, UA, MYL, MUR, HES, VFC, CRM, M, TIF, BF/B,FOSL, RIG, CPB, BMY, JEC -4, 21

NDX gainers:  CHTR, LBTYA, DISH, ATVI, +4, 4
NDX losers:  TSLA, MYL, ENDP, ALXN, COST, GILD, REGN, ULTA, -4, 4,



Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


The SPY MFC green line is pointed up at 68, bullish


67 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher and two were unchanged on Friday.

61 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA.

NDX Stocks to Watch on Tuesday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 9
BIIB, CA, CTSH, DISH, FAST, GOOG, LMCA, TMUS, WDC

Moving Below 30 DMA = 4
ADI, CERN, CTXS, TXN


6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

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