Thursday, August 6, 2015

Stocks End Weaker...DJIA At Lowest Point Since February...Huge Decline For GMCR After Reported Earnings Finishing Down 29.75%...SUNE Earnings Disappoint & Slide To A 25.32% Loss...

Two sectors moved higher on Thursday while seven sectors moved lower…the strongest sectors were XLE, XLU and XLB…the weakest sector was XLV.

Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 1.47 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.45 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday – strengthened, mixed
Tuesday – strengthened, decliners led
Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY down 1.72 at 208.35 on 115.9 million shares
VIX up 1.26 at 13.77…
TNX down .34 at 22.34…
TLT up 1.08 at 122.73…
XLF down .09 at 25.15…

AAPL up .25 at 115.13 on 52.8 million shares
FB down 1.32 at 95.12 on 42.2 million shares

Technical Commentary:
DIA -0.65%, SPY -0.82%, IWM -1.35%, QQQ -1.60%.


Earning announcements continue to generate buying and selling depending on institutional expectations and results.  As with every earnings season there are many winners and many losers.



Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Earnings week of Aug 3
AIG, ALL, CAR, CTRP, SUM, VMC, AXTA, DIS, ETSY, FSLR, KBR, LC, MGM, NCLH, Z, FIT, GMCR, HABT, PCLN, SEDG, TSLA, GOGO, MBLY, MNST, MYL, SUNE, UBNT, JCP, JD

Q1 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – CAR, CTRP, KBR, MGM, VMC, EXPE, CCE, MOH, YRCW, WAGE, COLM, RCL, WETF, TPX, WU, AEE, FE, PKI, TUC, AMGN, VLO, UHS, WDC, AEL, ALGT, EEFT, GILD, JBLU, SHOP, SKX, X, SSNC, BWLD, PODD, SVU, NUVA, SCTY, ULTI, WYNN, CTRP, FISV, SLCA, SPWR,  NCLH, AMZN, P, MXIM, JNPR, V, SBUX, LUV, QLIK, SNDK, TXN, UA, WHR, GM, VRSN, CHKP, FFIV, FTNT, LVS, PKG, TMO, TSCO, VMW, ACE, APH, OC, BA, CHKP, IPG, CLI, CMG, LVS, MANH, TRV, VMW, LAD, HOG, WWW, ZION, HAS, HAL, GOOG, HTZ, HON, GE, NFLX, SCHW, EBAY, C, USB, DAL, BAC, WFC, JPM, NKE, AA

More than 10% - EXPE, CCE, MOH, YRCW, WAGE, COLM, SHOP, SKX, X, SSYS, BWLD, SVU, P, FTNT, SNDK, GOOG, GOOGL, HTZ, NFLX,

Negative Reactions – AIG, ALL, AXTA, NCLH, LNKD, FEYE, OCN, ESI, FB, MAR, SSYS, TWTR, YNDX, YELP, BIDU, BIIB, TRIP, STT, AAL, FSL, KLAC, MCD, UNP, SAVE, CELG, CA, CMCSA, ETFC, CAT, DOW, FCX, MMM, OSTK, IBM, KO, QCOM, AXP, AAPL, IBKR, ILMN, XLNX, VZ, BEAV, BHI, LLTC, MSFT, YHOO, EXAS, STI, UNH, MAT, KEY, YUM, FAST, CUDA, MU

More than -10% - ALL, LNKD, OCN, ESI, WFM, TWTR, YELP, BIDU, BIIB, TRIP, GIMO, SCSS, BEAV, SWI, CUDA, MU

Reversal in progress – LAD,

Reversal of Initial Reaction – HTZ, HON, GE, AA,

Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 211.45, 212.55...
QQQ = 113.17, 114.39
IWM = 123.71, 125.09…

Support Levels
SPY = 210.82, 206.80...
QQQ = 110.62, 109.78…
IWM = 121.01, 120.27...


The SPX Market Forecast is turned down at 58 defensive.

__________________


Setups
Horizontal Breakout: GPRO, UBNT, CREE, EMC, SFUN, AAL, BIDU,
Diagonal Breakout:  ETFC, QIHU, SINA, SUM,
Bull Flag: AMBA, CCL, DAL, MFRM, NCLH, SHAK, SHOP, UAL,
Potential Bullish Divergence:  
Gap Up:  
Gap Down:  
Bear Flag:  
At Support: ETSY, SEDG, ILMN, WBA, YHOO,
C- Pattern

Moves
New Highs:  
H Breakout: YY,  
D Breakout: KNDI,  
Bull Flag Bounce:  
MACD Divergence Bounce: VXX, DDD, UPL, XONE, ZU,
Bounce: SLCA, X, Z, ATI, SSYS,
Gap Up: ZU,
Gap Down: HABT, BBY, GMCR, TSLA,
C- Pattern:                                                          
Bear Flag:  
Support Break: QQQ, SPY, CIEN, CRM, GLNG, JUNO, PANW, SCTY, GOGO, KKD, YNDX, CELG, TRIP,

______________________

Watch List Stocks
Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday: SLCA, Z, X, YOKU, VXX,  
                                                       
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: SUNE, FIT, HABT, SEDG, PANW, SCTY, SHAK, W, SPWR, GIMO, SONC, JD, GLNG, EXPE, JUNO, FOGO, SVXY,

11 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday and one was unchanged.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: DISCA, NFLX

Lagging NDX stocks included: GMCR, VIAB, TSLA, VIP, FOXA, BMRN, MNST, BIIB, JD, ALXN


NDX Stocks to Watch on Friday
Moving Above 30 DMA = 0


Moving Below 30 DMA = 12
ADP, ALXN, ESRX, GILD, HSIC, INTU, QCOM, TSLA, GMCR, TSCO, BMRN, JD

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral/Down



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