Thursday, December 4, 2014

Markets Pause Following ECB Comments...Jobs Report Friday Morning...AVGO Gap Leads NDX...

Two of nine sectors moved higher on Thursday…XLB, XLF and XLK were the strongest sectors and XLE was the weakest.
 
Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers1.75 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.52 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday – weakened slightly, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – weakened, decliners led


SPY down .23 at 207.66 on 91.3 million shares
VIX down .09 at 12.438…
TNX down .30 at 22.57…
TLT up 1.01 at 121.80...
XLF up .04 at 24.60 on 16.9 million shares, below average volume

AAPL down .49 at 115.44 on 42.1 million shares
FB up .42 at 75.30…on 14.3 million shares


Technical Commentary:

QQQ – 0.05%, DIA – 0.07%, SPY – 0.11%, IWM – 0.48%.

Stocks paused on Thursday following ECB comments on QE.  Market awaiting Jobs Report on Friday.

AVGO +7.74, +8.14% leads NDX and SOX on positive earnings reaction.  SOX slightly positive led by AVGO, SWKS, RFMD, FSL, MXIM, and BRCM.

TRIP closed above its 30 DMA following the breakout of an inverse head and shoulders reversal pattern on Tuesday.  Reversal pattern Chart target: 81.84.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 207.33, 209.06, 210.49...
QQQ = 106.94
IWM = 118.25, 119.37, 121.27…

Support Levels
SPY = 205.71, 203.13, 201.90...
QQQ = 104.42, 102.42, 101.38
IWM = 115.04, 114.37, 113.35...


Earnings this week: AMBA, AVGO, MFRM

Q3 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – AVGO, ADI, HPQ, PANW, QIHU, ADSK, JASO, ROST, SPLK, GOGO, RAX, NTES, XONE, YOKU, VJET, BABA, MNST, WFM, ABC, ACI, AMGN, BIDU, BWLD, CBOE, CLF, CLX, CNX, EA, ESRX, EQIX, EXPE, FISV, GLW, GPRO, GRPN, GT, HSY, JCI, JDSU, LNKD, LVLT, MA, MAR, MO, MTW, MYL, PCAR, FE, SCHN, STX, SWI, SWKS, TASR, V, WY, X, WHR,  AAPL, ALK, ALXN, APOL, BMY, BRCM, CAT, CELG, CERN, CHKP, CMCSA, CNI, EMC, EW, GD, HAL, HAS, HOG, ILMN, IM, KLAC, KMB, LLY, LRCX, LXK, MMM, MXIM, MSFT, N, ORLY, PG, RMD, STLD, STT, SWK, TRV, TSCO, TXN, UNP, VRSN, WOOF, YHOO, YNDX, ZION, AMD, C, CSX, DAL, GE, HON, LVS, MS, SCHW, SLB, STI, URI, XLNX, COST, BBBY, BBRY, MU, NKE, PAYX, LULU, PANW, ULTA, MFRM, SPLK,

More than 10% - GOGO, RAX, WFM, GPRO, GPRN, LNKD, BWLD, SWI, N, EW, TSCO, NKE, ULTA, LULU, PANW, MFRM,

Negative Reactions – MFRM, GME, CRM, JD, MBLY, SINA, YY, SWKS, FEYE, FSLR, PCLN, QCOM, TRIP, SCTY, SSYS, SUNE, UBNT, Z, ZU, AEM, CHRW, COH, FB, GRMN, KRFT, MDC, MRK, NEM, PNRA, RGR, SLCA, TPX, TWTR, ALTR, AMZN, BA, BTU, CMG, CREE, DECK, DNKN, DOW, EAT, F, GM, IBM, JNPR, KO, LMT, LUV, NDAQ, P, UA, VMW, XRX, YELP, AXP, BAC, COF, EBAY, GOOGL, INTC, JNJ, JPM, KEY, MAT, NFLX, WFC, AZO, ADBE, KKD, CIEN,

More than -10% - GME, CSIQ, FSLR, UBNT, ZU, AEM, P, TPX,

Reversal in progress – GOGO, P, PCLN, TPX, KO,

Reversal of Initial Reaction – AMZN, FEYE, SWKS, Z, ADBE, ALTR, ALTR, AXP, AZO, BA, BAC, BTU, CHRW, CMG, COF, COH, CREE, DECK, DNKN, DOW, EAT, EBAY, F, GM, GOOGL, GRMN, INTC, JNJ, JNPR, JPM, KEY, KKD, KO, KRFT, LMT, LUV, MAT, MDC, MRK, NDAQ, PNRA, UA, VMW, WFC, XRX,

The SPY Market Forecast is at 95.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: SPY, ATI, CAR, CIEN, DAL, ETFC, HOG, IBM, MS, SCHW, STI, ILMN, NTAP,
Diagonal Breakout: ANGI, BABA, CSIQ, EMC,
Bull Flag: BBY, KKD, NTES, PANW, ADBE, CELG, MNST
At Support: JCP, YY,
C- Pattern:

Moves
New Highs: RAX, SWKS, BRCM, EXPE, FFIV,  
H Breakout: DGLY
Bounce: GME, KNDI, MBLY, VRSN, YOKU, GOOGL, PCLN, WFM,
MACD Divergence Bounce:
Gap Up: AAL, UAL, AVGO 
Support Break: UNG, WYNN,  

______________________


36 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher and one was unchanged on Thursday.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: AVGO, TRIP, MSFT, AKAM, WFM, EXPE, ATVI, MAT, SBUX, EQIX

Lagging NDX stocks included: VIP, VRTX, WYNN, DISCA, DISH, BIIB, CTSH, CA, QCOM

Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday: DGLY, SWKS, UAL, MBLY, DAL, KNDI, AAL, YOKU, CAR, CSIQ

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: JCP, UNG, BBRY, QIHU, P, LVS, GOGO, UBNT, CREE, AMBA, XONE


Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 85
ROST, CHRW, MYL, SRCL, DLTR, ISRG, MNST, PAYX, REGN, ADP, ALXN,  COST, ORLY, TSCO, VRTX, XLNX, AAPL, AMGN, BBBY, CELG, ESRX, FISV, HSIC, KRFT, MAR, PCAR, SPLS, SYMC, TXN, BRCM, YHOO, CA, CERN, CHKP, CTSH, EXPD, INTU, LBTYA, NVDA, SBAC, SBUX, STX, ADBE, ADSK,  KLAC, LMCA, MDLZ, MSFT, AMAT, LMCK, MU, WFM, AVGO, FFIV, NTAP, NXPI, VOD, WDC, AKAM, CTRX, DISH, EQIX, SIRI, ADI, ALTR, CSCO, EBAY, EXPE, FAST, INTC, LLTC, MXIM, SNDK, FOXA, SIAL, AMZN, CMCSA, CHTR, VIAB, ATVI, CTXS, DISCA, BIIB, QCOM, ILMN

Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
TRIP                                            

Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
GRMN, VRSK
                                                                                       
Staying Below 30 DMA
PCLN, BIDU, FB, GOOG, MAT, TSLA, VIP, GMCR, WYNN, GILD, TRIP, NFLX

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up

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