Thursday, July 24, 2014

S&P 500 At Record High...RCL & FB Gap Up And Close At Record Highs...Z Closes Up 15.25%...ANGI Earnings Disappoint And Closes Down 19.27%...In After Hours Trading After Posting Huge Loss AMZN Off 10.14%...

Six of nine sectors moved higher on Wednesday… XLU, XLP and XLF were the strongest sectors…XLI was the weakest sector.

Sector Posture – seven sectors are positive 
Positive trend: XLB, XLE, XLF, XLK, XLP, XLV, XLY
Neutral trend near resistance: XLI, XLU
Neutral trend near support:


Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 1.13 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.19 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday – weakened, mixed
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY up .01 at 198.65 on 56.3 million shares, below average volume
VIX up .32 at 11.84…
TNX up .45 at 25.09…
TLT down .86 at 114.32...
XLF up .05 at 23.02 on 19.9 million shares

AAPL down .16 at 97.03 on 45.6 million shares
FB up 3.69 at 74.98…on 123 million shares, over triple the average volume


Technical Commentary:

SPY + 0.01%, DIA – 0.07%, QQQ – 0.11%, IWM – 0.20%.


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term up trend Chart Targets:
SPY = 198.12, 199.06…
QQQ = 96.31, 97.52, 98.28
IWM = 116.46, 119.09…

Support Levels
SPY = 196. 59, 194.13, 193.11…
QQQ = 93.57, 91.73, 90.44…
IWM = 114.66, 113.16…


Earnings this week:
Monday – HAL, HAS, PETS, STI, CMG, NFLX, STLD, TXN, ZION 
TuesdayATI, MO, KO, CMCSA, DD, HOG, KMB, LXK, LMT, MCD, BTU,  RF, STT, TRV, UTX, VZ, AAPL, BRCM, EA, HTZ, ISRG, JNPR, LLTC, MSFT, NBR, VMW, XLNX
WednesdayAPD, BIIB, BA, CHKP, DAL, DOW, FTI, GD, NSC, RHI, WHR, ANGI, T, CA, CRUS, CTXS, ETFC, FFIV, FB, FCX, GILD, ILMN, NXPI, ORLY, QCOM, TSCO, TRIP
ThursdayMMM, ALK, ALXN, BMY, CAT, CELG, CNX, DNKN, F, GM, DHI, JBLU, LLY, LUV, NOK, NUE, OSTK, POT, PHM, SIAL, NDAQ, UA, UNP, UAL, AMZN, BIDU, DECK, KLAC, MXIM, P, SBAC, SWI, SBUX, SRCL, TPX, V,
FridayMCO, SWK, STO, WLB, XRX


Q2 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – CMG, BIIB, ISRG, AAPL, APD, CHKP, CMCSA, DAL, DOW, FTI, GD, LXK, LMT, NBR, PETS, RHI, STLD, TXN, WHR, ZION, BX, C, GOOGL, GS, HON, INTC, KSU, JPM, PM, SCSS, SWKS, URI, AA, STZ, APOL, BKS, KBH, MON, MU, NKE, SCHN,


Negative Reactions – ATI, BA, EA, HAS, HOG, JNPR, KMB, KO, LLTC, MCD, NFLX, STI, TRV, UTX, XLNX, AMD, BAC, BHI, JCI, JNJ, LVS, MAT, SLB, SNDK, STX, USB, YHOO, FAST, FDO, CAMP, BBBY, GIS, CCL, WAG,


Reversal in progress – GIS, YHOO,


Reversal of Initial Reaction – BBBY, APOL, KBH, MON,


The SPY Market Forecast green line is in the upper zone at 92.

____________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: BBY, DAL, FAS, GLW, IBM, SCHW, SCSS, SCTY, SWI, TPX, TWTR, V, SPLK, SSYS, YELP, CMCSA, COST, CTSH, FFIV, MU, TSLA,
Diagonal Breakout: VRSN, ESRX, PCLN,  
Bull Flag: SWKS, INTC,   
Potential Bullish Divergence: 
Gap Up:  
Gap Down:  
Bear Flag: 
At Support: AAL, ATI, JASO, MTW, SUNE,   
C- Pattern:

Moves
New Highs: MAR, Z, FB, RCL,   
H Breakout: GME, UAL, Z, LNKD, MFRM, PANW, WLT, GRMN, NTAP, ROST, SBUX,  
Diagonal Breakout: AIG, Z, ADBE, AKAM, MNST, WFM,
Bull Flag Bounce
Gap Up: NKE, RCL, BIDU, CTRX, FB, YHOO,  
Gap Down: GLD, ANGI, QCOM,  
Breakout Test:
Bounce: BBRY, STI, VRSN, JCP, JNPR, ZION,    
MACD Divergence Bounce: UNG,
Bear Flag
Support Break: ETFC, JDSU, TRIP, TXN,  
C- Pattern:
      

______________________

62 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday and one was unchanged.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: TSCO, FB, CA, CTXS, YHOO, ORLY, ISRG, AKAM, FFIV, BIDU, CHKP

Lagging NDX stocks included: QCOM, TRIP, ILMN, CELG, ALXN, VRTX,

Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday included: Z, RCL, BBRY, P, FEYE, JD, SCTY, GME, VRXN, TWTR, LNKD, JNPR, JCP, PANW, MFRM

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: KNDI, DAL, AAL, ETFC, UAL, ANGI, VJET, XONE


Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 63
CHRW, SIAL, MU, CHTR, ADP, EQIX, ATVI, CSCO, ADBE, INTU, MSFT, BIDU, CMCSA, BRCM, GOOG, SBUX, KLAC, INTC, STX, WDC, LMCA, SYMC, DTV, VRTX, FISV, GILD, SBAC, MDLZ, NTAP, EBAY, VRSK, COST, PCAR, PAYX, AMZN, DISCA, CTRX, FB, BBBY, MYL, CERN, SIRI, AAPL, ADSK, CELG, CTSH, EXPD, EXPE, MAR, REGN, SPLS, ALXN, AMGN, CTXS, FFIV, LINTA, PCLN, VOD, WYNN, BIIB, CHKP, DLTR, ISRG

Moving Above 30 DMA = 5
CA, HSIC, ORLY, TSCO, YHOO

Moving Below 30 DMA = 5
AVGO, DISH, ILMN, QCOM, TRIP

Staying Below 30 DMA
ALTR, GMCR, KRFT, LLTC, NXPI, TXN, VIAB, XLNX, AMAT, NFLX, SRCL, LBTYA, NVDA, VIP, SNDK, AKAM, FOXA, MAT, MNST, TSLA, ADI, ROST, GRMN, FAST, MXIM, ESRX

Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market Trend: Up


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