Monday, July 29, 2013

Broader Market Closes Down...FB Closes Higher Inching Closer To Its IPO...AAPL Has Diagonal Breakout...

Two of nine sectors moved higher on Monday… XLB, XLU and XLK were the strongest sectors…XLE was the weakest sector.

Breadth weakened…decliners led advancers…2.32 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.08 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Monday -  weakened, decliners led
Friday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – weakened, mixed



SPY down .52…volume 79.6 million shares
VIX up .67 at 13.39…
TNX up .24 at 25.85…
TLT down .79 at 107.35...
XLF down .15 at 20.49…volume 28.9 million shares

AAPL up 6.80 at 447.79volume 8.8 million shares
FB up 1.42 at 35.43volume 124.7 million shares


Technical Commentary:
 DIA - 0.15%, QQQ – 0.19%, SPY – 0.31%, IWM – 0.70%.

FB gained 1.42 or 4.18% on Monday on 124.8 million shares in volume and is at the highest price except for the IPO.

AAPL broke through a diagonal resistance closing up 6.80 or 1.54% and is close to breaking a horizontal resistance set in late May.

TSLA broke through horizontal resistance making another new high gaining 5.23 or
4.04%.  SSYS gained 4.17 or 4.73% and in closing in on its previous high set in mid-July.  SOHU gapped down on Monday closing down 6.95 or 9.93%.


Earnings announcements continue as the fourth week of earnings season begins on Monday.  Chart Signals is focusing on stocks with announcements and stocks that have had a positive earnings reactions over the past two weeks.


This Week Earnings of Interest
Monday – ESRX, MTW, SOHU, VECO, VRTX, WYNN
Tuesday – DDD, AET, AMGN, ACI, BWLD, COH, GLW, DISCA, FISV, MDC, NYX, QCOR, RVBD, X
Wednesday – CMCSA, CTRP, HES, HUM, LRCX, MA, MCHP, SODA, WFM, YELP
Thursday – ATVI, AIG, APA, ADP, BZH, CME, CTRX, CHK, COP, XRAY, XOM, K, KRFT, LNKD, MELI, MYL, NUS, ZAGG
Friday – ANR, EAT, CBOE, CVX, VIAB, YOKU


Q2 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – SWK, SBUX, ALK, AMZN, CELG, CB, CLF, GILD, IP, MXIM, RCL, HSY, UA, UAL, V,   FB, BIDU, TRIP, COG, CTXS, ETFC, FFIV, AKAM, AAPL, EA, VMW, DAL, LCC, EMC, LLY, MCO, AKS, FCX, BTU, UTX, HAS, TXN, GE, HON, SLB, STI, WHR, CHKP, CMG, JCI, KEY, MS, OSTK, SWKS, UNP, UNH, BAC, IBM, SNDK, XLNX, CSX, GS, URI, YHOO, C, WFC

Negative Reactions – DLR, CERN, CRUS, DECK, DNKN, EXPE, KLAC, POT, PCP, SWI, TPX, EQIX, ABC, CROX, ANGI, ATI, CAT, WDC, PNRA, STX, NSC, USNA, TRV, MCD, MO, NFLX, ZION, BHI, AMD, GOOG, ISRG, MSFT, EBAY, INTC, MAT, SCSS, USB, AXP, KO, MOS


Chart Signals Strategy Guidelines
When the market is trending up Chart Signals looks for support bounce and resistance breakout entries. 

When the market is trending down Chart signals looks for resistance pull back and support break entries. 

When the market is sideways in consolidation Chart Signals will look for support bounce, diagonal breakouts and pull backs at resistance where price action stays between support and resistance

Technical setups for short-term option trades be in and out by earnings release.
Over earnings release use earnings option strategies such as straddles, strangles, OTM calls or puts.
After earnings look for bullish setups in positive reaction stocks and bearish setups in negative reaction stocks.


The Market Forecast Green Line and is in the upper zone. 

____________________

Setups
H Breakout: AKAM, AMGN, FAST, QCOM, ROST, SIRI, SYMC, TSLA, WFM, ALK, ATI, CMG, F, GRPN, SCTY, SPY, SSYS, TBT, TIF,

Diagonal Breakout: INTC, SHLD, WYNN, FSLR, GLD, GMCR, JCP, TLT,

Bull Flag: ADBE, ADSK, CMCSA, CSCO, DTV, GRMN, NFLX, NTAP, BAC, C, CIEN, CREE, FAS, GS, JNPR, PWRD, SPLK, Z,

Potential Bullish Divergence:  

Gap Up:

Gap Down: 

Bear Flag:   

At Support: MU, NUAN, ANGI, ZION,


Moves
New Highs:  ATVI, FB,

Gap Up: DDD,  

Gap Down: SOHU, UNG,  

H&D Breakout: AAPL, TSLA, VECO,

Breakout Test: 

Bounce: COST, FIVE,  

MACD Divergence Bounce:  

Bear Flag:  

Support Break: SNDK, STX, NTES,

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25 of 100 Leading NDX stocks closed higher on Monday and two were unchanged.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: ATVI, FB, TSLA, ISRG, CTXS, AAPL, SHLD, BIDU, FAST, MXIM, SIAL

Lagging NDX stocks included:  MNST, BIIB, SNDK, EXPE, ALXN, NUAN, EQIX, AMZN, STX, KLAC, FOXA, EXPD, PCLN

Leading stocks > +2% on Monday included:  SSYS, CRUS, HLF, VECO, LDK

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: SOHU, ZAGG, GRPN, MCP, UAL, NTES, CROX, AKS, BBRY, LNKD, COH, FAS

Stocks to Watch on Monday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 79
TSLA, SPLS, CSCO, AMZN, DLTR, ADBE, INTU, BBBY, MCHP, PCLN, SRCL, ALTR, CA, LINTA, MNST, ORLY, PCAR, ROST,VOD, VIAB, FB, LBTYA, KRFT, LMCA, FOXA, CMCSA, HSIC, DISCA, VRSK, ADP, ALXN, CHKP, CTSH, DTV, FOSL, NTAP, SYMC, WFM, NFLX, BMC, CELG, ESRX, FISV, LLTA, XLNX, ADI, ATVI, CHRW, COST, CTXS, EXPD, GILD, LIFE, MYL, PAYX, XRAY, TXN, SIAL, AKAM, AMAT, GRMN, KLAC, YHOO, AMGN, REGN, SBAC, ADSK, BIDU, FFIV, MDLZ, CTRX, GOLD, QCOM, AAPL, FAST, SBUX, MXIM, WYNN

Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
SHLD

Moving Below 30 DMA = 4
BIIB

Staying Below 30 DMA
CERN, EXPE, NUAN, VRTX, GOOG, SNDK, EQIX, WDC, MU, STX, AVGO, SHLD, EBAY, MSFT, NVDA, BRCM, MAT, DELL, ISRG, INTC

Four-Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral






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