Thursday, October 21, 2010

SPX Inches Higher Following NFLX, CAT, MCD Earnings...

The SPX rose +2.09 or +0.18% on Thursday forming a doji after Wednesday’s support bounce. The SPX closed above its 1,170 support level.  Advancers barely led decliners 1.04 to 1 on the NYSE…

(click image to enlarge)
Exchange     NYSE    NASDAQ
Advancers    1,518       1,016
Decliners      1,459       1,615

(click image to enlarge)
Index     Direction    Confirmation
VIX         Down           Yes – SPX
SOX        Down           No – COMPQ

Leading stocks on Thursday included NFLX, STI, DHR, PCP, VMW, TBT, ICE, GR, PNC, MCD, SINA, FCX, MA, DOW, WMT, NTRI, AMD, FFIV, CRM, DE, FLS, BUCY, UAL, RVBD, AMX, WHR, POT, GME, ACN, FAZ, AGU, JEC, A, BA

Losing stocks included CRUS, UCO, TSL, HSY, UNG, BAC, SNDK, AKS, CREE, MHS, SKX, USO, NETL, X, SWK, ATI, CLF, VOD, DECK, LVS, CHL, GES, TIE, CAT, HAS, TLT, HLF, CSTR, PCLN, ZION, BYI, VECO, MOS, CAM, CMG, ESI, WLT, GMCR, NDAQ, UNP, SWN, FAS, IPI, RMBS

Interest rates rose, bonds fell, the EURO pulled back, the SOX closed lower and the VIX closed lower -0.52 at 19.27.

Five of nine sectors moved higher on Thursday with Industrials XLI +0.81% and Consumer Discretionary +0.58% leading all sectors.

The SPY rose +0.26 making a new intraday high and closing 28 cents above the high of the low day which was Tuesday.

HSY’s bull flag bounce failed in reaction to earnings.

Wednesday’s Bull Flag entries AGU, LVS, VOD, AIV, DOW, WLT, IPI, FLS, DE, AMX, FDX, ATI, SPG, HANS, MOS, WFMI, CF, BA, paused on Thursday and provided a second entry opportunity.

Bull Flag Entries on Thursday – DHR, FCX, GR, MCD, TBT, UAL, UPS

Bull Flag Patterns to Watch on Friday – SWK, HLF, SINA, HAS, PCLN, JEC, GES, USD, DECK, UCO, UNP, VECO, SNDK, CMG

SPX
Resistance: 1,182, 1,190
Support: 1,170, 1,148, 1,130

Enter bullish trades with a bounce off support and a break above the high of the low day or a break out of horizontal resistance.

Enter bearish entry signals on a close below of the low of the high day or a bounce down from resistance on stocks that are closing below support.

The short term 3 day trend is neutral.
The three-month trend is neutral.
The twelve-month trend is up.

Continue to focus on and trade setups on the charts of the stocks you watch. Trade with the trend of the chart and follow your rules.

AAPL +1.04 –black spinning top
QCOM -0.40 – hammer
GOOG +4.01 –doji
BIDU +2.47 – hammer

NDX 100 stocks stronger than the NDX include FLIR, EBAY, AMZN, CTXS, EXPE, BIDU, AKAM, WYNN, GILD, COST, ATVI, SIAL, CTSH, IACI and SPLS.

Stocks weaker than the NDX: XLNX, VRTX, ADBE, NVDA, WCRX, APOL, GRMN, TEVA, NTAP, HOLX, BRCM, PCLN, FWLT, ILMN and ISRG.

Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA
HLF, PCLN, AGU, MCD, LVS, CMG, FCX, SINA, VOD, AIV, DE, DHR, DOW, UNP, URE, WLT, A, HAS, IPI, JEC, LXK, CAT, ICE, FLS, ATW, ACN, AMX, GES, NDAQ, UAL, USD, MA, HSY, CHL, FDX, NTRI, AMD, V, ATI, BA, DECK, GR, UCO, USO, WHR, CF, GS, SPG, HANS, MOS, SWN, UPS, VECO, CSTR, RVBD, TBT, WFMI, NYX, ZION, BUCY, FAS, NFLX, NTES, PCP
Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
PNC, STI, WMT
Moving Below 30 DMA = 6
BYI, CLF, MHS, SKX, SNDK, SWK
Staying Below 30 DMA
CREE, AKS, NETL, TIE, FAZ, POT, RMBS, TSL, ESI, BAC, GME, CRUS, X, FFIV, TLT, DLR, VMW, CRM, GMCR, UNG

Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

12 comments:

Judy said...

Good night DAVE! Thanks for the faithful post. Today looks like the battle of the sellers/buyers--lots of spinning tops. The MCD candle is interesting. Not sure what to call it. Looking forward to another fun trading day on Friday. Thanks for all you do for us. Judy

John H said...

Dave,
I don't comment much, but I do read and learn from your blog on a regular basis. Thanks for taking the time to share your knowledge with us.

Have a HAPPY BIRTHDAY on Friday!

Gary said...

Dave,

FYI, I've been having some trouble opening your charts. Don't know f it's on my end or yours.

Anonymous said...

Gary,

Yes, me too I cannot open the charts either on my side.

Anonymous said...

I am sure Dave was up very late last night after a rough week and just forgot to put the links in.

He deserves a day off.

Don

Joe G. said...

After spending a fantastic 4 days with Dave and the others in his group, his postings here now have fourfold value to me. I now have the rules and the knowledge to use the rules. From here on, it is up to me to have the discipline to follow my rules (which are now taped up on the wall next to my computer)!! This cowboy trader is getting tame !! Thanks Dave !!

Anonymous said...

HAPPY BIRTHDAY, DAVE!!!!!!!!!!!!
Cheers!
-Lois

Anonymous said...

That's right, it is Dave's Birthday.

Happy Birthday Dave!

I hope the trend continues for a very long time!

Have a Milkway on me to celebrate.

Don

Judy said...

Happy Birthday DAVE! Enjoy your day! Judy

Anonymous said...

I sure do appreciate your trading skills! And it's wonderful to have you "online" next week!!
Happy Birthday!!
Enjoy your day!!!
Scott L of Nashville

Anonymous said...

HAPPY BIRTHDAY DAVE!!!

Dave Johnson said...

THE CHART links ARE NOT ON YOUR END, IT APPARENTLY is a PROBLEM AT BLOGSPOT...I WILL GET the problem resovled by Saturday...

Thanks for pointing it out...

Thank you for the Birthday wishes also...

Dave