Monday’s Action Moving Up: FSLR, GS, STRA, MA, CNX, SOHU, AMZN, NIHD, V, MER, SCHN, PCLN, MS, ZION, ESRX, PNRA, KBE, KRE, NDAQ, X, BTU, NUE, MON, FWLT, SINA, MOS, CLF, BIDU, DECK, INFY, COH, KMT, BRCM, LDK, JASO, ONXX, GDX, MEE, IPI, ANR, AGU, GRMN, AEM, RF, UAUA, HANS, DRYS, BUCY, EBAY, EXPE Moving Down: POT Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral – DJIA, Down – SPX, Nasdaq, RUT Short Term Market Trend: Up
Monday, November 24, 2008
DJIA and SPX Back Above October 10 Low
DJIA + 396.97, +4.93%
SP500 + 51.78 +6.47%
NASDAQ Comp. + 87.67, +6.33%
Russell 2000 + 30.26, +7.44%
Exchange NYSE NASD
Advancing 3,261 2,211
Declining 489 724
Oil $54.50 +$4.57
Gold $819.50 +$27.70
SOX 191.20 +10.98
VIX 64.70 -7.97
Strongest Sectors: XLF +15.19%...XLY +7.85%...XLE +7.23%
Weakest Sectors: XLU +1.01%...XLP +1.26%...XLV +1.99%
Sector Watch
Up Trending:
Sideways:
Down Trending: XLP, XLF, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLE, XLU, XLB, XLK
The rally that began on Friday broadened as the SPX, Nasdaq and RUT had larger point and percentage gains on Monday than they did on Friday. On the NYSE the number of advancing issues increased by 56% and the number of declining issues fell by 54%. The Nasdaq advancers also increased while decliners fell.
The Financial Sector, XLF, was the strongest sector up 15.19% on news of a government rescue plan for C which rose $2.18 or 57%.
Our Intermediate Term Trend reading on the DJIA changed to Neutral because the index closed for the second straight day above the Oct. 10 low support area. The Intermediate Term Trend on the SPX, which closed above its Oct. 10 low today, will change to Neutral on Tuesday if the index stays above the Oct. 10 support tomorrow.
Index Commentary
The DJIA followed Friday’s bullish engulfing pattern with a large white candle that closed above Thursday’s R3, Wednesday’s R1 and R2…closed above its Oct. 10 intraday low for second straight day…watch R3 from Wednesday…8,500 important intermediate resistance level.
The SPX confirmed Friday’s bullish harami with a large white candle…closed above Thursday’s R2 and R3 and R1 from Wednesday…closed above Oct. 10 low…840 is key support area and 915 a key resistance area.
The Nasdaq confirmed Friday’s hammer with a large white candle…closed above Thursday’s R3 and Wednesday’s R1…1,500 is a key resistance area…still trading below Oct. 10 low.
The RUT confirmed Friday’s bullish harami with a large white candle…closed above Thursday’s R2 and R3 and Wednesday’s R1…450 is a key resistance area…still trading below Oct. 10 low.
Stocks to Watch
Of the 31 stocks we listed to watch for the next trading day only one was negative on Friday or Monday. This is to point out the importance of mental flexibility and being prepared for a support bounce when the Chart Signals suggest a strong probability of a move occuring. Some of the gains on just the stocks were equal to more than some traders' annual gains.
Read Thursday's post and look at Monday's gains below.
We were expecting this technical bounce as we had posted this Thursday evening:
"Stocks continue to be technically oversold in the short-term, so be alert for a potential short-term bounce Friday or Monday. This could provide a bullish move on the few leading stocks or a counter bounce on the many down trending stocks."
The emphasis was as originally posted Thursday night.
Stocks to Watch Posted on Thursday for Friday
Support Bounce
AXYS +5.21%
Potential Support Bounce
SRCL +1.74%...CHRW +4.49%...TEVA +0.50%...SHLD +16.06%...FAST +5.03%
VMW +3.22%...WYNN +17.93%
Stocks to Watch Posted on Weekend for Monday
Potential Double Bottom
VRTX +6.86%...MBT +27.96%...UA +7.94% ...FSYS +16.77%...DGX +2.53%...ESRX +5.94%...UTX +5.23%...ARG +2.62%
Morning Star Patterns
FAST +5.03%...PRE +4.74%...FMC +8.61%
Potential Support Bounce
TDS +11.73%...CMP +10.48%...OTEX +2.04%...AMAG +4.71%...ESI +8.92%...MHS +7.72%...RIMM +1.03%
Support Bounce
URS +34.42%...MMM +3.20%...AMGN +1.99%
Potential Bull Flag
ADM +7.53%...CBST +6.13%...MYGN +1.36%
Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Support Bounce and Potential Double Bottom
MBT...TDS...WYNN...CBST...ICE...HSC...NFLX...RIMM...WFC...USB...ZION...KEY...UYG...DE...PCP
Leading Stocks Holding Above 30 DMA
TEVA… AXYS…AYE…CL…DV…EZPW…MMM…PCLN…PPD
Stocks Moving Above 30 DMA
ANSS…ASIA…BAP…CBST…DLTR…ESI…FLR…FSTR…MIG…OSIP…PRGO…RCI…SHW…SWN…TKC…WMS
Stocks Moving Below 30 DMA
RTN
Stocks Staying Below 30 DMA
AFAM…MYGN…VIVO…AOB…CERN…CHTT…FLIR…GILD…GIS…PSSI
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