Wednesday, October 22, 2008
Oil and Gold Drop...Stocks Fall...Holding Above Support
DJIA - 514.45, -5.69%
SP500 - 58.27, -6.10%
NASDAQ Comp. - 80.93, -4.77%
Russell 2000 - 28.68, -5.40%
Exchange NYSE NASD
Advancing 536 422
Declining 2,936 2,453
Oil $67.25 -$5.43
Gold $735.20 -$32.80
$SOX 219.70 -14.39
Strongest Sectors: XLP -1.57%...XLV -2.48%...XLU -4.24%
Weakest Sectors: XLE -9.72%...XLY -6.83%...XLF -6.27%
Sector Watch
Up Trending:
Sideways:
Down Trending: XLP, XLF, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLE, XLU, XLB, XLK
Oil prices fell again on Monday to a new 52-week low and their lowest levels since the first half of 2007. This led to another rise in airline stocks which pulled back from their highs with the broad sell off later in the day. Leading commodity related energy, solar, coal, gold, steel and Ag-related stocks fell as much as 25%. AEM fell $8.70 or 25.16%.
This large drop in oil price is right before OPEC’s emergency meeting on October 24 to call for a cut in production. It will be interesting to see how lower prices influence discussions come Friday.
All sectors moved lower again on Wednesday.
All sectors moved lower again on Wednesday. Stocks were lower due to stocks like BA and T with disappointing earnings and concerns over a global recession. AAPL rose on Wednesday due to a positive earnings report.
The major indices stayed above recent short-term support levels established on October 10 and 16. Stay focused on these key support levels.
Notable Earnings scheduled for Thursday: AAI, ALK, BDK, BMY, CELG, CNX, DO, DOW, LLY, F, ESI, JBLU, LLL, MBI, NOV, POT, RTN, STI, UNP, BUCY, BNI, DECK, JNPR, WFR, MSFT, WDC, YRCW
Index Commentary
The DJIA formed a large black candle with a lower shadow…held above last Thursday’s low.
The SPX confirmed Tuesday’s bearish harami…above Thursday’s low…in sideways congestion.
The Nasdaq opened lower and closed near Thursday’s low…broke 3-day pennant pattern to the downside…continues in a sideways consolidation pattern.
The RUT broke 3-day pennant pattern to the downside…closed above Thursday’s low…consolidating in a potential W pattern.
After-Hours Trading on Earnings:
AMZN down $7 on outlook
AMGN rose $2 on positive earnings
BIDU fell $7
FFIV up 7.65% on positive earnings
CNW rose $1 on positive earnings
Stock Commentary
DECK broke the pennant and low of the high day…earnings on Thursday.
AAPL moved higher after earnings Tuesday evening.
BIDU formed spinning top…Wednesday after close…trading lower after hours.
ORCL confirmed shooting star and bearish harami…broke the low of the high day.
WYNN new closing low
SHLD another 52-week low
CTSH fell below the low of the high day today.
HANS formed a spinning top in sideways consolidation.
C fell to the October 10 S1 level.
Wednesday’s Action
Moving Up: PNRA, BRCM, UAUA
Moving Down: DECK, MA, AEM, ANR, CNX, STRA, MON, X, GS, POT, SOHU, CLF, MEE, MOS, AGU, FWLT, BTU, SCHN, GDX, PCLN, FSLR, FMCN, DRYS, KMT, V, IPI, ESRX, NDAQ, KRE, KBE, GRMN, NUE, SINA, MS, LAMR, COH, ONXX, MER, LDK, INFY, JASO, HANS
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Down
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral
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