Tuesday, May 28, 2013

Stocks Gap Higher After Asian & European Central Bank Comments...TSLA Revs It Up to All-time High as Big Money Pours In...

Eight of nine sectors moved higher on Tuesday…XLE, XLF and XLV were the strongest sectors…XLU was the weakest sector.

Breadth strengthened… advancers led decliners…1.38 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.37 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – Memorial Day
Friday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – strengthened, mixed
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – weakened, advancers led


SPY up .99 at 166.30…volume 143.6 million shares
VIX up .49 at 14.48…
TNX up 1.24 at 21.35…
TLT down 2.96 at 113.84...
XLF up .20 at 19.93…volume 47.8 million shares                 

AAPL down 3.71 at 441.44…volume 13.8 million shares
FB down .21 at 24.10…volume 50.1 million shares


Technical Commentary:
IWM +1.30%, DIA +0.73%, QQQ +0.65%, and SPY +0.60%.

Futures were higher overnight following the Memorial Day holiday as central bankers in Japan and Europe indicated they would maintain their accommodative monetary policies.  The SPY, IWM, QQQ and DIA gapped open in a bull flag bounce. 

Sectors XLB, XLE, XLF, XLI, XLK, XLV and XLY had a bull flag bounce entry.  XLP which had a bull flag bounce entry on Friday pulled back after hitting horizontal resistance.  XLU broke support as bond yields jumped.

TSLA +13.65% as big money revved up buying on 19.6 million shares, more than $2 billion total value on Tuesday.  TSLA made another all-time high.

AAPL -3.71 opened higher and closed back in the consolidation area of the past week between 435 and 445.

AMZN gapped up and pulled back after touching horizontal resistance.  Watch for a potential horizontal breakout.  GOOG made a bull flag bounce entry while PCLN and BIDU gained.  NFLX -6.36% slumped after disappointing viewer reaction to the release of the “Arrested Development” season.

GILD gained in its bull flag pattern. 

The Euro moved down 80 pips to 1.2852.  TNX interest rates jumped to 21.35 its highest level in over a year and TLT bonds -2.96 broke support.


Trade what you see on the chart of your position.  The intermediate term trend is up with short-term trend neutral in a bull flag bounce.  Traders should lock in profits when targets are reached.  As always look for re-entry according to your rules.  Tuesday was a re-entry day on many stocks like IWM, C and F.  See our Bounce List below.


Chart Signals Strategy Guidelines
Technical setups for short-term option trades be in and out by earnings release.
Over earnings release use earnings option strategies such as straddles, strangles, OTM calls or puts.
After earnings look for bullish setups in positive reaction stocks and bearish setups in negative reaction stocks.



EPS Reaction Summary
EPS Gainers –  HPQ, NTAP, AZO, MDT, CSCO, A, MCP, WCRX, NVDA, PCLN, GMCR, GRPN, TSLA, EA, DVA, WFM, CTSH, DTV, LBTYA, AIG, ADP, CBOE, REGN, FB, BZH, EXPD, GM, MDC, STX, V, YELP, ICE, JRCC, VIAB, CMCSA, DDD, AVP, HLF, CERN, CVX, DHI, TWC, ANGI, AKAM, ALXN, ALTR, BIIB, COG, CLF, CROX, DOW, ESI, FFIV, HOG, LRCX, LVS, MO, PHM, RCL, SIAL, XLNX, BA, BRCM, GLW, HES, DAL, COH, DD, NFLX, ILMN, VECO, LCC, RF, ZION, TRV, LMT, CAT, CHKP, HAL, HAS, CMG, GOOG, KMB, STI, MSFT, BTU, PEP, UNP, VZ, MAT, AXP, JNJ, INTC, KO, C, APOL

EPS Losers – CRM, GME, SHLD, DISH, XRAY, ATVI, RAX, MNST, Z, LNKD, TPX, ZAGG, CTRX, GRMN, MRK, SWI, AMZN, BIDU, CRUS, DECK, EXPE, HSY, KLAC, MXIM, QCOM, PTEN, ABC, MMM, AMGN, T, JNPR, PNRA, VMW, GE, IBM, ISRG, MCD, MS, PM, UNH, SNDK, EBAY, BAC, USB, GS, LLTC




The Market Forecast Green Line is in the Upper Zone.

____________________



Setups
H Breakout:  GRPN, HUM, SCTY, STI, ATVI, FAST, GILD, ROST, CNX

Diagonal Breakout: AMGN, CMCSA, BBRY

Bull Flag: GLW, GMCR, PHM, SOHU, YELP, BRCM, DTV, MAT, MNST, NVDA, PCLN

Potential Bullish Divergence:

Gap Up:

Gap Down: 

Bear Flag:  

At Support:  CLF, LNKD

Moves
New Highs:  COST, MU, SIRI, WDC, WFM, TSLA,

Gap Up: TIF, SCSS, VECO

Gap Down:  

H&D Breakout:  NTES, TBT, TRIP, VECO, ESRX,

Bounce:  SPY, A, BAC, C, CIEN, CMG, F, FAS, GMCR, GS, IBM, ICE, JNPR, LVS, MCD, MOS, NKE, SMH, SPLK, SSYS, STI, SWK, TRIP, TSL, URI, VECO, ZION, AKAM, AMAT, CELG, CSCO, EBAY, FFIV, GOOG, GRMN, MSFT, NTAP, ORCL, SBUX,  WYNN

MACD Divergence Bounce:

Bear Flag:  

Support Break:   TLT, FB,

______________________


77 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday…one was unchanged…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: NTAP, STRZA, ADSK, FFIV, AMAT, BIIB, XRAY, MSFT, AMZN, INTU, ALXN

Lagging NDX stocks included:  SHLD, EQIX, CHRW, BRCM, GOLD, YHOO, SBAC, FB, AAPL, MNST

Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday included: TSLA, TSL, VECO, TBT, TRIP, LDK, TIF, CIEN, F, SSYS, AKS, NTES, SWI, CREE, C, GRPN, JDSU, FAS, UCO, ZION, YELP, LVS, HUM

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  NFLX, CRM, LNKD, TLT, FAZ, URE

Stocks to Watch on Wednesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 69
ADP, GILD, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, YHOO, MSFT, SRCL, REGN, LIFE, ROST, WYNN, INTC, DTV, NWSA, SBUX, VRTX, WFM, COST, WDC, AKAM, AMAT, GOOG, NVDA, SIAL, SIRI, STX, BMC, BRCM, CA, ALXN, ESRX, ORLY, PCAR, XLNX, CERN, AAPL, FOSL, KLAC, LINTA, CHKP, ORCL, VIAB, VMED, ADI, EXPD, GRMN, LLTC, MYL, PCLN, MU, NTAP, SPLS, ALTR, BIDU, HSIC, SNDK, AVGO, FFIV, ATVI, CSCO, FAST, DISCA, BBBY, DLTR, EBAY, ISRG, LBTYA, PRGO

Moving Above 30 DMA = 7
AMZN, CELG, FISV, MCHP, MDLZ, STRZA, TXN

Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
CHRW, CMCSA


Staying Below 30 DMA
GOLD, MNST, SBAC, SHLD, QCOM, CTXS, EQIX, VOD, VRSK, XRAY, ADSK, ADBE, AMGN, EXPE, SYMC, MXIM, FB, CTRX, NUAN, CTSH, DELL, INTU

Five Month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

Up, Up, Up...Stock Futures In Pre-Market Begin The Week With Extended Gains...

BMO – ES + 13.25 and NQ + 27.25…futures point to a higher open in pre- market…
SPY is up 1.61…

XLF is …up .30
Euro is unchanged…
TLT is …down .75…

Follow your rules for entry and exit…adjust stops to protect profits at this time according to your rules...

Quoting Up: AAPL, AMZN, BIDU, CREE, FB, GOOG, LNKD, NFLX, PCLN, SNDK, STX, WDC, DDD, SSYS, FAS, TSL, TSLA, FSLR, GILD, ALXN

Quoting Down:  


Friday, May 24, 2013

Indexes Pause as TSLA, ISRG, BIDU, XLP, PG Move Higher...SHLD, CRM, P Finish Lower...

Two of nine sectors moved higher on Friday…XLP, XLF and XLK were the strongest sectors…XLU was the weakest sector.

Breadth weakened…decliners led advancers…1.23 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.08 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Friday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – strengthened, mixed
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – weakened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, advancers led


SPY down .14 at 165.31…volume 151.5 million shares
VIX down .08 at 13.99…
TNX down .12 at 20.11…
TLT up .16 at 116.80...
XLF up .02 at 19.73…volume 50.4 million shares                 

AAPL up 3.01 at 445.15…volume 9.8 million shares
FB down .75 at 24.31…volume 58.7 million shares


Technical Commentary:
IWM – 0.02%, QQQ – 0.05%, SPY – 0.09% and DIA 0.00%.

The broad ETFs finished the week lower for the first time in five weeks. 

The SPY, IWM, QQQ and DIA are still in bull flag patterns and we will look for a potential bounce entry on Tuesday.  Sectors XLB, XLE, XLF, XLI, XLK, XLV and XLY have formed bull flag patterns. XLP gave a bull flag bounce entry on Friday.  XLU continues as a MACD bullish divergence setup.

P gapped up at 19.10 then reversed -73 cents, -4.25% following earnings after the close on Thursday.

SHLD -7.92, -13.62% and CRM -2.44, -5.34% closed lower following earnings after the close on Thursday.

ISRG +23.07 and PG +3.18 both gapped up on Friday.

Many stocks and ETFs are in bull flag setups positioning for possible reentry.  See Bull Flag Setups below.

AAPL +3.01 continues to inch upward in a flag bounce, BIDU made a bull flag bounce entry and NFLX gained, while GOOG, PCLN, AMZN and BIDU moved lower in in bull flag patterns.

GILD bounced in a bull flag pattern.  TSLA +4.35 formed a bullish breakout setup following a bull flag bounce entry on Thursday.  Big money loaded up on volume of 16.1 million shares at an all-time closing high.

The Euro moved up 78 pips to 1.2932.  TNX interest rates slightly lower as TLT bonds +55 cents formed an inverted hammer candle.


Trade what you see on the chart of your position.  The intermediate term trend is up with short-term trend neutral in a bull flag pattern.  Traders should lock in profits when targets are reached.  As always look for re-entry according to your rules.  Friday was a re-entry day on stocks like BIDU and XLP while many others are setup for potential entry on Tuesday.


Chart Signals Strategy Guidelines
Technical setups for short-term option trades be in and out by earnings release.
Over earnings release use earnings option strategies such as straddles, strangles, OTM calls or puts.
After earnings look for bullish setups in positive reaction stocks and bearish setups in negative reaction stocks.



EPS Reaction Summary
EPS Gainers –  HPQ, NTAP, AZO, MDT, CSCO, A, MCP, WCRX, NVDA, PCLN, GMCR, GRPN, TSLA, EA, DVA, WFM, CTSH, DTV, LBTYA, AIG, ADP, CBOE, REGN, FB, BZH, EXPD, GM, MDC, STX, V, YELP, ICE, JRCC, VIAB, CMCSA, DDD, AVP, HLF, CERN, CVX, DHI, TWC, ANGI, AKAM, ALXN, ALTR, BIIB, COG, CLF, CROX, DOW, ESI, FFIV, HOG, LRCX, LVS, MO, PHM, RCL, SIAL, XLNX, BA, BRCM, GLW, HES, DAL, COH, DD, NFLX, ILMN, VECO, LCC, RF, ZION, TRV, LMT, CAT, CHKP, HAL, HAS, CMG, GOOG, KMB, STI, MSFT, BTU, PEP, UNP, VZ, MAT, AXP, JNJ, INTC, KO, C, APOL

EPS Losers – CRM, GME, SHLD, DISH, XRAY, ATVI, RAX, MNST, Z, LNKD, TPX, ZAGG, CTRX, GRMN, MRK, SWI, AMZN, BIDU, CRUS, DECK, EXPE, HSY, KLAC, MXIM, QCOM, PTEN, ABC, MMM, AMGN, T, JNPR, PNRA, VMW, GE, IBM, ISRG, MCD, MS, PM, UNH, SNDK, EBAY, BAC, USB, GS, LLTC




The Market Forecast Green Line is in the Upper Zone.

____________________



Setups
H Breakout:  ATVI, ESRX, FAST, GILD, ROST, CNX, GRPN,

Diagonal Breakout: AMGN, CMCSA, BBRY,

Bull Flag: AKAM, AMAT, BRCM, CELG, DTV, FFIV, GOOG, GRMN, MAT, MNST, MSFT, NTAP, NVDA, ORCL, PCLN, SBUX, WYNN, ALK, CIEN, CMG, CREE, CRM, FAS, GMCR, LVS, SPLK, SPY, SSYS,

Potential Bullish Divergence:

Gap Up:

Gap Down: 

Bear Flag:  

At Support:  CLF, LNKD,

Moves
New Highs:  COST, MU, SIRI, WDC, WFM, TSLA,

Gap Up: ISRG, PG,

Gap Down: SHLD,     

H&D Breakout:  

Bounce:  BIDU, CSCO, SNDK, YHOO, BAC, NFLX, NTES, SINA, ZION,

MACD Divergence Bounce:

Bear Flag:  

Support Break:    

______________________


42 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday…two were unchanged…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: ISRG, BIDU, MU, EXPE, YHOO, ROST, BIIB, COST, SIRI, LBTYA, PRGO

Lagging NDX stocks included:  SHLD, FB, GOLD, EXPD, MYL, REGN, MNST, INTU, CHRW, CHKP, NTAP, BBBY,

Leading stocks > +2% on Friday included: TSLA

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  ANF, CRM, ATI, CSTR, CREE, GES, CRUS

Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 69
ADP, GILD, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, YHOO, MSFT, SRCL, REGN, LIFE, ROST, WYNN, INTC, DTV, NWSA, SBUX, VRTX, WFM, COST, WDC, AKAM, AMAT, GOOG, NVDA, SIAL, SIRI, STX, BMC, BRCM, CA, ALXN, ESRX, ORLY, PCAR, XLNX, CERN, AAPL, FOSL, KLAC, LINTA, CHKP, ORCL, VIAB, VMED, EXPD, GRMN, LLTC, MYL, PCLN, ADI, MU, NTAP, SPLS, ALTR, BIDU, HSIC, SNDK, AVGO, FFIV, ATVI, CSCO, FAST, DISCA, BBBY, CHRW, DLTR, EBAY, GOLD

Moving Above 30 DMA = 4
CMCSA, ISRG, PRGO, LBTYA

Moving Below 30 DMA = 7
CELG, FISV, GOLD, MNST, SHLD, MDLZ, SBAC

Staying Below 30 DMA
QCOM, TXN, AMZN, CTXS, MCHP, VOD, XRAY, EQIX, VRSK, STRZA, ADSK, ADBE, AMGN, EXPE, SYMC, MXIM, FB, CTRX, NUAN, CTSH, DELL, INTU

Five Month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up

Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

Pre-Market Stock Futures Remain Down on Friday...


BMO – ES – 9.75 and NQ – 15.75…futures point to a lower open in pre- market…
SPY is down .87…

XLF is …
Euro is unchanged…
TLT is …

Follow your rules for entry and exit…adjust stops to protect profits at this time according to your rules...

Quoting Up: P, FSLR, 

Quoting Down:  GOOG, PCLN, LNKD, AMZN, BIDU, NFLX, SHLD,

Thursday, May 23, 2013

HPQ Soars, TSLA, DLTR Up, IWM, SPY and More Form Bull Flag...SHLD, CRM Crushed After-hours...


Two of nine sectors moved higher on Thursday…XLB, XLE, and XLE were the strongest sectors…XLU was the weakest sector.

Breadth strengthened slightly …decliners led advancers…1.39 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.09 to 1 on the NASDAQ…where advancers led decliners…

Thursday – strengthened, mixed
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – weakened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, advancers led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led

SPY down .48 at 165.45…volume 210.8 million shares
VIX up .25 at 14.07…
TNX down .03 at 20.23…
TLT up .55 at 116.64...
XLF down .12 at 19.71…volume 59.8 million shares                 

AAPL up .79 at 442.14…volume 12.6 million shares
FB down .10 at 25.06…volume 37.6 million shares


Technical Commentary:
IWM + 0.12%, QQQ – 0.23%, SPY – 0.29% and DIA – 0.05%.

Futures continued to drop Wednesday night and stocks opened lower on Thursday found support at overnight lows and rallied with many individual stocks like WDC, STX and TSLA with gains on Thursday.

The SPY, IWM, QQQ and DIA all formed bull flag patterns on Thursday.  Sectors XLB, XLE, XLF, XLI, XLK, XLP, XLV and XLY formed bull flag patterns.  XLU is a MACD bullish divergence setup.

DLTR +1.82 gained following earnings before the open on Thursday.

HPQ +3.63, +17.10% gapped up and soared on Thursday following earnings after the close on Wednesday.

P +1.40, +8.16% in after-hours trading following earnings after the close on Thursday.

SHLD -7.17, -12.33% and CRM -2.70, -5.91% crushed in after-hours trading following earnings after the close on Thursday.


Many stocks and ETFs are in bull flag setups positioning for possible reentry.  See Bull Flag Setups below.

AAPL +78 cents and GOOG gained while PCLN, AMZN, BIDU and NFLX moved lower in in bull flag patterns.

GILD formed a potential low day in a bull flag pattern.  TSLA +5.49 formed a bullish engulfing pattern on day xix of a bull flag setup.

The Euro moved up 78 pips to 1.2930.  TNX interest rates near unchanged as TLT bonds +55 cents formed a hammer candle.


Trade what you see on the chart of your position.  The intermediate term trend is up with short-term trend neutral.  Traders should lock in profits when targets are reached.  As always look for re-entry according to your rules.  Thursday was a re-entry day on stocks like TSLA and many others are setup for potential entry on Friday.


Chart Signals Strategy Guidelines
Technical setups for short-term option trades be in and out by earnings release.
Over earnings release use earnings option strategies such as straddles, strangles, OTM calls or puts.
After earnings look for bullish setups in positive reaction stocks and bearish setups in negative reaction stocks.



EPS Reaction Summary
EPS Gainers –  HPQ, P, NTAP, AZO, MDT, CSCO, A, MCP, WCRX, NVDA, PCLN, GMCR, GRPN, TSLA, EA, DVA, WFM, CTSH, DTV, LBTYA, AIG, ADP, CBOE, REGN, FB, BZH, EXPD, GM, MDC, STX, V, YELP, ICE, JRCC, VIAB, CMCSA, DDD, AVP, HLF, CERN, CVX, DHI, TWC, ANGI, AKAM, ALXN, ALTR, BIIB, COG, CLF, CROX, DOW, ESI, FFIV, HOG, LRCX, LVS, MO, PHM, RCL, SIAL, XLNX, BA, BRCM, GLW, HES, DAL, COH, DD, NFLX, ILMN, VECO, LCC, RF, ZION, TRV, LMT, CAT, CHKP, HAL, HAS, CMG, GOOG, KMB, STI, MSFT, BTU, PEP, UNP, VZ, MAT, AXP, JNJ, INTC, KO, C, APOL

EPS Losers – DISH, XRAY, ATVI, RAX, MNST, Z, LNKD, TPX, ZAGG, CTRX, GRMN, MRK, SWI, AMZN, BIDU, CRUS, DECK, EXPE, HSY, KLAC, MXIM, QCOM, PTEN, ABC, MMM, AMGN, T, JNPR, PNRA, VMW, GE, IBM, ISRG, MCD, MS, PM, UNH, SNDK, EBAY, BAC, USB, GS, LLTC


Key Earnings this week:
CRM, GME, HPQ, P, NTAP, ROST, SHLD,


The Market Forecast Green Line is in the Upper Zone.

____________________

Setups
H Breakout:  BBBY, FAST, SIRI, CNX,

Diagonal Breakout:  AMGN, CTSH, DELL, GLD,

Bull Flag: AKAM, AMAT, BIDU, BRCM, CELG, CMCSA, DTV, EBAY, FFIV, GOOG, GRMN, MSFT, NVDA, ORCL, PCLN, QCOM, SNDK, ATI, BAC, CIEN, CRM, DDD, FAS, FIVE, FSLR, GLW, GMCR, JNPR, NFLX, NTES, RCL, SINA, STI, YELP, ZION,

Potential Bullish Divergence: XLU, AMGN

Gap Up: P

Gap Down:  CRM, SHLD

Bear Flag:  

At Support:  ADSK, FB, ALK, ANGI, LNKD, Z,

Moves
New Highs:  ESRX, MU, MYL, STX, WDC, P,

Gap Up:  HPQ

Gap Down:   SBUX, WYNN, YHOO, LVS,   

H&D Breakout:   

Bounce: TSLA, UAL,   

MACD Divergence Bounce:

Bear Flag:  

Support Break:  ADBE,  

______________________


42 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday…one was unchanged…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: EXPD, MU, DLTR, WDC, GOLD, STX, BBBY, ISRG, ATVI, NVDA, FAST, AMGN, WFM, EXPE

Lagging NDX stocks included:  REGN, SYMC, WYNN, QCOM, YHOO, AVGO, MDLZ, CTSH, CHKP, EQIX, MSFT

Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday included: TSLA, UAL, HLF, SSYS

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  CRUS, GMCR, CLF, AKS, MCP, URE, CSTR, FCX, RVBD, DECK, CHL, ESI


Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 75
ADP, GILD, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, YHOO, SBAC, MSFT, SRC, REGN, LIFE, ROST, WYNN, INTC, DTV, NWSA, SBUX, VRTX, WFM, COST, WDC, AKAM, AMAT, GOOG, NVDA, SIAL, SIRI, STX, BMC, BRCM, CA, ALXN, ESRX, ORLY, PCAR, XLNX, CERN, AAPL, FOSL, KLAC, LINTA, CHKP, ORCL, SHLD, VIAB, VMED, LBTYA, CELG, EXPD, GRMN, LLTC, MYL, PCLN, ADI, MU, NTAP, SPLS, ALTR, BIDU, HSIC, FISV, SNDK, AVGO, FFIV, ATVI, CSCO, FAST,  MNST, DISCA, BBBY, CHRW, MDLZ, DLTR, EBAY, GOLD

Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
DLTR, EBAY, GOLD

Moving Below 30 DMA = 3
QCOM, TXN, LBTYA

Staying Below 30 DMA
AMZN, CMCSA, CTXS, MCHP, VOD, XRAY, EQIX, VRSK, STRZA, PRGO, ADSK, ADBE, AMGN, EXPE, SYMC, MXIM, FB, ISRG, CTRX, NUAN, CTSH, DELL, INTU

Five Month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral