Tuesday, February 5, 2013

US Home Price Data Fuels Stock Futures In Pre-Market...Best 12 Months In Last Six Years...VMED Up 15.69%...


BMO – ES + 6.50 and NQ +12.75futures point to a higher open in pre- market
SPY is…up 68 cents…

XLF is up 9 cents…
Euro is up 18 pips…
TLT is down .61…


Follow your rules for entry and exit…adjust stops to protect profits at this time according to your rules...

Quoting Up:  PCLN, GOOG, VMED, AAPL, AMZN, BBBY, GILD, FAS, V, DE, IBM, SWI, GS, VMW

Quoting Down:  BIDU, GOLD, VOD, INTC, SIRI, NFLX, CMG, CREE, SINA


Monday, February 4, 2013

EURO, SPY Pull Back As BBRY, NFLX, APKT Rise...


None of the sectors moved higher on Monday… XLU, XLI and XLP were the strongest sectors.   XLK was the weakest sector. 

Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers…3.69 to 1 on the NYSE and 3.28 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led

BBRY new symbol for RIMM.


While the chart continues in an uptrend today may have been the first day of the potential pullback we have been prepared for.

SPY down 1.71 at 151.24...volume 159 million shares…
VIX up 1.77 at 14.67
TNX down .37 at 19.73…
TLT up 1.48 at 117.02…
XLF
down .20 at 17.41…volume 49.9 million shares

AAPL down -11.30 at 442.32…volume 17 million shares…
FB down -1.62 at`28.94on volume of92.3 million shares…


Look for stocks that have reported good earnings and are in an uptrend. 

Earnings to Watch this Week:
Monday – BIDU, XRAY, GILD, HUM, LIFE, RCL, SOHU, SWI
Tuesday – ADP, CME, CMG, EXPE, FISV, HCA, K, PNRA, SIRI, VMED, DIS, ZNGA
Wednesday – AKAM BMCR, LF, NTES, NWSA, NUS, ORLY, PRU, TSO, TWX, V, YELP
Thursday – CTSH, CSTR, HAS, LNKD, MCHP, NUAN, OPEN, PCAR, PM, RVBD, SIAL,
Friday – AOL, CBOE, MCO  

Positive earnings reactions HUM, SWI

Negative earnings reactions BIDU, RCL, SOHU


__________________

Technical Commentary:
The SPY closed below the low of the high day after a one day bounce and is now neutral for the last nine days.  QQQ - 1.74%, SPY - 1.13%, IWM - 1.21%, DIA - 0.84%, moved lower as AAPL shares moved down -11.30 forming a black candle.  FB moved down -1.62.

The Euro closed below the low of the high day and was down 139 pips to close at 1.3512 forming the first day of a bull flag pattern.

Trade what you see on the chart of your position. Stay with the uptrend according to your rulesIf the stock begins to rollover protect your profits.  Many traders may have exited short term trades with profits on Monday.  So look potential re-entry.

Disk storage stocks WDC and STX were mixed.

Coal stocks ANR, ACI, CNX, BTU, WLT, and JRCC moved lower on Monday.


The Market Forecast Green Line is in the upper reversal zone. 

____________________


Setups
Breakout: DECK, GME, GMCR, JNPR, CERN, C, FFIV, TEX, SHLD, LVLT, RSH, ATML, NUAN, STRZA

Diagonal Breakout:  ZNGA, SWK, BAC, LSI, MGM, STI, SBAC, ESI,

Bull Flag: PCLN, MON, CRM, NIHD, XRX, DE, CHK, QCOM, CTXS, PBI, WMS, MJN, TIF, UNG, PMCS, MTW, PRGO, LVS, CRR, ATI, COST, ADI, AVX, SWKS, FTNT, TSCO, VIAB, ZION, FAST, FIVE, GS, MOS, SINA, HES, LIFE

Gap Up:  APKT, BRO, DECK,

Gap Down:  BIDU,


Moves
Gap Up:   

Gap Down:  GCI, GES, TIF,

Breakout:  CLB, GME, JDSU, CLF,
 
Bounce: BBRY, NFLX, HRV, DECK, GME, DNDN,  RMD, BPOP,

____________________


5 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Monday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included:  GOLD, MAT, PRGO, STX, KLAC

Lagging NDX stocks included:  FB, LIFE, EXPE, AVGO, ORCL, CELF, ALXN, EBAY, DELL, AAPL, SHLD, GILD, VMED, VIAB

Leading stocks> +2% on Monday included: NFLX, HUM, DECK, CDE, FAZ, RVBD

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  GRPN, SOHU, FB, SINA, GES, TIF, CRUS, RCL, FAS, ATI, SWKS, UCO, LVS, TBT, COH, A VECO

Stocks to Watch on Tuesday…
Holding Above 30 DMA = 77
SBUX, CSCO, VMED, EXPD, LLTC, PCAR, XLNX, TXN, ADI, SIAL, ADSK, DELL, FFIV, ORCL, COST, NWSA, DISCA, AMAT, CTSH, FOSL, KLAC, VIAB, NUAN, STX, LBTYA, WDC, CHKP, FAST, MCHP, SNDK, EQIX, STRZA, CHRW, SIRI, BIDU, VRSK, ADP, EBAY, EXPE, LINTA, MU,  SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, CA, CELG, GILD, HSIC, LIFE, PCLN, MDLZ, CTRX, ROST, SPLS, AVGO, ATVI, SHLD, MSFT, MYL, NTAP, MXIM, CERN, WFM, XRAY, VOD,  ISRG, GOOG, ORLY, BBBY, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, AKAM, CTXS, QCOM, ADBE, PRGO                                                        

Moving Above 30 DMA =1                                  
GOLD             

Moving Below 30 DMA = 14
ALXN, AMGN, BMC, CMCSA, ESRX, FISV, INTC, NVDA, VRTX, YHOO, FB, INTU, DLTR, AMZN                                                                                                                                      

Staying Below 30 DMA
DTV, SBAC, BRCM, ALTR, REGN, GRMN, MNST, AAPL

Eleven Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

Pre-Market Stock Futures Down...


BMO – ES - 7.25 and NQ -15.50…futures point to a higher open in pre- market
SPY is…down 85 cents…

XLF is down 9 cents…
Euro is down 83 pips…
TLT is up .98…


Follow your rules for entry and exit…adjust stops to protect profits at this time according to your rules...

Quoting Up:  GOLD, STRZA, PRGO, CSCO, BIDU, ADI, SNDK, DECK, RVBD, YELP, RCL, CSTR

Quoting Down:  GOOG, AAPL, AMZN, ISRG, EXPE, FB, VOD, ORCL, HLF, NFLX, FAS, IBM


Sunday, February 3, 2013

SPY, DIA, IWM, Euro, Make New High Close as Stocks Continue 11 Week Uptrend...


All nine sectors moved higher on Friday… XLF, XLB and XLK were the strongest sectors.   XLU was the weakest sector. 

Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners…3.41 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.62 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliners led on NYSE and advancers led on NASDAQ


The chart continues to indicate that the uptrend is more likely to continue, stay prepared for a potential pullback.

SPY up 1.54 at 151.24...volume 131.1 million shares…
VIX down -1.38 at 12.90
TNX up 0.25 at 20.10…
TLT down -1.52 at 115.54…
XLF
up 23 cents at 17.61…volume 57.9 million shares

AAPL down -1.87 at 453.62…volume 19.3 million shares…
FB down -1.25 at`29.73on volume of 85.8 million shares…


Look for stocks that have reported good earning and that are in an uptrend and with earnings winding down those that report good earnings and guidance. 

Earnings to Watch this Week:
Monday – BIDU, XRAY, GILD, HUM, LIFE, RCL, SOHU, SWI, VECO
Tuesday – ADP, CME, CMG, EXPE, FISV, HCA, K, PNRA, SIRI, VMED, DIS, ZNGA
Wednesday – AKAM, LF, NTES, NWSA, NUS, ORLY, PRU, TSO, TWX, V, YELP
Thursday – CTSH, CSTR, HAS, LNKD, MCHP, NUAN, OPEN, PCAR, PM, RVBD, SIAL,
Friday – AOL, CBOE, MCO  


__________________

Technical Commentary:
The SPY moved above the high of the low day after a modest two day pullback.  QQQ +1.18%, SPY +1.03%, IWM +0.88%, DIA +0.96%, moved higher as AAPL shares moved down –1.87 forming a spinning top.  FB closed down -1.25 after reporting better than expected earnings on Wednesday.

The Euro was up 74 pips to close at 1.3651, making a new one year high on Friday continuing its strong uptrend.

Trade what you see on the chart of your position. Stay with the uptrend according to your rulesIf the stock begins to rollover protect your profits.

Disk storage stocks WDC and STX were slightly lower.

Coal stocks ANR, ACI, CNX, BTU, WLT, and JRCC were mixed on Friday.


The Market Forecast Green Line is in the upper reversal zone. 

____________________


Setups
Breakout:  GMCR, JNPR, CERN, C, FFIV, TEX, SHLD, SWK, LVLT, RSH, BAC,

Diagonal Breakout:  ZNGA,

Bull Flag: PCLN, MON, CRM, NIHD, XRX, DE, CHK, QCOM, CTXS, FB, PBI, WMS, MJN, TIF, PBI, UNG

Gap Up: 

Gap Down: 


Moves
Gap Up:  PMCS, MTW, PRGO,

Gap Down:  TLAB, VPRT,  

Breakout:  CLB, LVS, CRR, GME, ATI, COST, ADI, AVX, JDSU, SWKS, FTNT, TSCO, VIAB, ZION, CLF, FAST, FIVE, GS
 
Bounce:  ATML, LSI, LVLT, MOS, C, BAC, MGM, STI, FFIV, TEX, SHLD, SINA, SWK, HES, RMD, SBAC, ESI, LIFE, BPOP, NUAN, STRZA

____________________


89 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included:  PRGO, ALXN, MU, LBTYA, ALTR, MCHP, CTRX, EXPE, DELL, SIRI

Lagging NDX stocks included:  FB, FOSL, STX, REGN, MNST, WDC, ROST, AAPL, AMZN, VOD

Leading stocks> +2% on Friday included: VECO, ATI, FAS, BAC, GMCR, VMW, SSYS, SINA, SOHU, ZION, STI, TBT, GRPN, AKS, ANF, VRSN, TSL, SLB, TSLA, C

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  YELP, FAZ, HLF, ESI, ZAGG, LDK, CSTR, COH


Stocks to Watch on Monday…
Holding Above 30 DMA = 79
SBUX, CSCO, VMED, EXPD, LLTC, PCAR, XLNX, TXN, ADI, SIAL, ADSK, DELL, FFIV, ORCL, COST, NWSA, DISCA, AMAT, CTSH, FOSL, KLAC, VIAB, NUAN, STX, LBTYA, WDC, CHKP, FAST, MCHP, SNDK, EQIX, STRZA, CHRW, SIRI, BIDU, VRSK, ADP, EBAY, EXPE, LINTA, MU,  SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, FB, CA, CELG, GILD, HSIC, INTU, LIFE, PCLN, MDLZ, CTRX, ROST, SPLS, AVGO, ATVI, SHLD, MSFT, MYL, NTAP, MXIM, CERN, WFM, XRAY, VOD, DLTR, ISRG, GOOG, ORLY, BBBY, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, AMZN, AKAM, CTXS, QCOM                                                          

Moving Above 30 DMA = 12
ADBE, ALXN, AMGN, BMC, CMCSA, ESRX, FISV, INTC, NVDA, VRTX, YHOO, PRGO                                
               

Moving Below 30 DMA = 0
                                                                                                                                      

Staying Below 30 DMA
DTV, SBAC, BRCM, ALTR, REGN, GRMN, MNST, AAPL, GOLD

Eleven Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up

Friday, February 1, 2013

Stock Futures Rise In Pre-Market...


BMO – ES + 10.50 and NQ + 23.00futures point to a higher open in pre- market
SPY is…up 93 cents…

XLF is up 10 cents…
Euro is up 70 pips…
TLT is down .34…


Follow your rules for entry and exit…adjust stops to protect profits at this time according to your rules...

Quoting Up:  PCLN, PRGO, AAPL, GOOG, WFM, BIDU, DELL, GILD, BRCM, NFLX, FAS, IBM, V, GS

Quoting Down:  MAT, WYNN, EBAY, BBBY, LVS, FAZ, TBT