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2025
SPX +24.74, 6,796, closed just below 6,800. Breadth strengthened on Wednesday as
advancers and advancing capital increased.
Government shutdown continued for the thirty sixth day. Apparently, politicians continue to
prioritize their political objectives over a fully functioning government. Is it commonly accepted that politicians
decisions lead to the outcomes that they generate?
Wednesday’s
rally recovers 30% of Tuesday’s pullback.
The visual evidence continues to indicate
that the current intermediate trend is more probable to continue rising. Remember an uptrend is a series of higher
highs and higher lows. To be an uptrend
there must be a pullback to a higher low which appears to have occurred on
Tuesday. The four-week SPY trend is
up. The three- and six-month trends are
up. Dave
Earnings:
There are more than 130 SPX earnings reports this week.
APD BDX CMI COP
DD DDOG EPAM EVRG MRNA NRG PH PODD RL ROK TPR VST VTRS WBD report EPS before
the open on Thursday. ABNB
AKAM CPT ED EOG EXPE GEN LNT MCHP MNST MTD NWSA SOLV TTD TTWO WYNN XYZ report after
the close.
NDX +0.72%, bull
flag pattern.
DJI, 47,311, +0.48%, bull
flag bounce, led by AMGN, CAT and MCD.
AMGN +23.16, +7.81%, a positive EPS reaction and AMD +6.28, +2.51%, EPS beat with initial negative reaction
turned positive.
NVDA -3.48, -1.75%, bull
flag pullback.
AVGO +7.04,
+2.00%, re-breakout setup.
ORCL +2.14,
+0.86%, remained below short and
intermediate-term support, eight-week consolidation.
Mega caps TSLA, GOOGL, AVGO, META, AMZN, BRK/B, AAPL rose
and TSM, MSFT, NVDA fell on Wednesday.
SPY up +2.34 at 677.58, 73.5 million shares, slightly below average volume.
VIX down -0.99 at 18.01,
QQQ up +4.03 at 623.28
AMGN, CAT, MMM, MCD led DJIA, 14 advancers, +3
EXPD, HSIC, DD, YUM led SPX, 306 advancers,
MU, AMGN, MRVL, LRCX led NDX, 61 advancers.
Up: IWM, QQQ, DIA, SPY,
Down:
The SPY
MFC green line is pointed down at 72.6
and price-action closed below Tuesday’s high and is defensive. -5.3
Nine
of eleven
sectors were higher on Wednesday led by XLF, XLV and XLP.
Uptrend sectors: XLK, XLV, XLY, XLI,
XLC, XLU, XLF, XLE,
Neutral sectors: XLB, XLRE,
Down trend sectors: XLP,
The 6-month intermediate trend breakout is up. The ten-day trend
is up.
3-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Down a little
61 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday.
46 NDX stocks are above their 30
DMA: MU, PANW, ASML, LRCX, WBD,
ZS, CRWD, AMAT, MRVL, XEL, EA, AEP, VRTX, AMD, AMGN, GILD, AAPL, GOOGL, KLAC,
ROST, CSCO, ISRG, BIIB, MDB, QCOM, CTSH, TEAM, AVGO, MRVL, NVDA, PDD, PLTR, AMZN,
REGN, MELI, TSLA, FTNT, IDXX, COST, MAR, ODFL, GEHC, GFS, INTC, KDP,
PCAR,
NDX Stocks to Watch on Thursday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 5
GEHC, GFS, INTC, KDP, PCAR,
Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
CSX, DDOG,
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